1/ Gen Oleksandr #Syrskyi, commander of the Ukrainian ground forces: “The aggressor does not give up hope of taking #Bakhmut at any cost, despite huge losses in manpower & equipment.” they are losing “considerable strength right now”
1/ I could not agree more with Michael @michael_wasiura on that subject (& on other situations by the way) as it just drove me nuts for months... here excellent paper :
Undersupplied #Ukraine prepares #SpringOffensive with limited western arms newsweek.com/undersupplied-…
2/ so this morning i have posted this (see link below)
& have received numerous questions from friends, but i can't answer all (first of because i'm no psychic & also because there are too many variables now)
But i just wanted to let people know that this
3/ famous counter attack #SpringOffensive could appear (maybe not in some areas) as an "anti climax" situation, for months, and then things can suddenly change. we don't know, just don't expect sudden actions like in a Hollywood movie.
i mean even D day was followed by terrible
1/ So there is this video out there and #Prigozhin (with a map they draw only for the occasion & with big errors by the way) who wants to communicate something, like "he knows" about Ukr plans and the possible outcomes of a huge counter offensive.
but is it really to perform
2/ to perform an act (like for example Girkin is doing quite often) or simply (as i believe) because now he start to understand his own potential is going lower and lower by day, & by doing do, he wants to protect his own image of "conqueror" saying : "see! it's not my fault! i
3/ never had enough ressources in terms of man & materials (to accomplish what i should have accomplish with proper ressources & help from the Kremlin...)
before the ship sinks, the rats start to move out...
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 21, 2023 #RussianArmy is no more giving the tempo of ongoing operations along the front-line. Weak attacks are recorded everywhere except in the #Avdiivka area on small zones outside the city. #UkraineMap
2/ As the situation in #Avdiivka is very fluid (i have recorded dozens of attacks/counterattacks last week, to draw the exact FEBA line is not realist, but according to several reports it is likely looking like below to date. Ru are now trying to go with their previous moves,
3/ so going on the direction & led offensive actions in the areas of #Novobakhmutivka, #Krasnohorivka, #Avdiivka itself, #Syeverne, #Pervomayske but despite huge ressources in materials & men were not able to really capitalize anywhere where offensives took place. only small
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 19, 2023 #RussianArmy has stalled almost everywhere.
All Ru forces seems to be employed in the area of #Bakhmut & #Avdiivka. some minor progress have been noticed in few places
nothing dramatic. #UkraineMap
2/ Generally speaking the situation is the same as yesterday and both parties and several sources agrees on the fact, nothing has really changed so far on the frontline. so no need for big "blahblah".
the only location where Russians are progressing is south #Bakhmut & that"s it
3/ to be more precise Gen staff indicates it has stopped the Ru progress in the north of the city (first time mentioning precisely a location there) & with lots of Geolocs from AFU in the south & diff Ru true reports, there is obvious progress for them there.
one of the only
Attention si vs essayez de me faire un poke/ping sympathique de ne pas le faire en confondant mes cartes avec celle d'un type qui prend pour argent comptant (ingurgitent & régurgitent, sans réflexions aucunes) les "fuites" venant de Wagner & affiliés.
Merci
2/ et puis pardon... mais le commentaire "tiens au prix du sang"... c'est pathétique.
les RU ne l'a prenne pas au prix du sang... ça oui.
il ne faut pas inverser le rapport des pertes. cqfd.
3/ ah moi je n'avais rien dit de direct, mais bon ok.. et je n'ai pas eu le temps de voir son commentaire de gamin de 12 ans.. il est vexé choupette du coup il nous fait son petit craquage
ce qui est "drôle" c de voir les "projections" du pseudo ninja bleu...
a coté de ses pompes
Hello there!
have a great week end you all.
Bon week end à tous!
1/n
2/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 18, 2023 #RussianArmy are blocked almost everywhere. no real changes were recorded lately, only in the area of #Bakhmut, some minor progress have been noticed.
but nothing as real danger for now #UkraineMap
3/ "Day 388 of the russian full-scale invasion has begun.
yesterday night Ru launched 34x air strikes. 11x of them employed Shahed-136 UAVs. 10x of these UAVs were destroyed by Ukrainian air defense units, but unfortunately, 1x hit an industrial infrastructure facility. (Per Gen