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🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
@ncdave4life
Mar 29 • 10 tweets • 11 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 1/8》Jim, in this article, you reported that "rising sea levels are washing away a small seaside town in North Carolina" and "blame can be directed all over… and of course, climate change."
businessinsider.com/photos-show-se…

That's incorrect. It has nothing to do with climate change.
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 2/8》NC's Outer Banks are barrier islands, made of sand, which have ALWAYS moved around, through dynamic processes that are pretty well understood.

If your house is on the wrong side of one of those moving islands, you have a problem. But it's not a climate problem.
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 3/8》Here's a classic 1965 educational film from Encyclopedia Britannica Films and the American Geological Institute, courtesy of the LSU Center for GeoInformatics, which explains it:

@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 4/8》That video explains sand beaches are affected by manmade structures and the forces of nature. (It's 20 minutes long at normal speed, but I preferred watching it sped up to 1.5x.)

It has nothing to do with climate change.

Do you understand graphs?
sealevel.info/acceleration_p…
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 5/8》The best long sea-level measurement records on the east coast are from New York City. Here's what those measurements show:
sealevel.info/MSL_weighted.p…

Paper:
link.springer.com/article/10.100…



Compiled thread:
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1618799…

sealevel.info/Avg_of_2_NYC_g…
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 6/8》That's consistent with most of the world's best coastal sea-level measurement data.
sealevel.info/learnmore.html
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 7/8》Climate industry propagandists also like to blame storms on climate change. But that's false, too. The data show that climate change is not worsening storms, either.
sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes 8/8》Please do not promote the "climate crisis" scam by blaming things on climate change which have nothing to do with climate change.

@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes @ThreadReaderApp @Rattibha @threaddotblue unroll
@JamesPasley1 @SundayStarTimes @threadreaderapp @rattibha @threaddotblue And here's how @BusinessInsider Business Insider's James Pasley @JamesPasley1 responded when I showed him an inaccuracy in his @thisisinsider article:
sealevel.info/JamesPasley1_b…

Sadly, I guess he's unconcerned about accuracy.
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1641124…

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More from @ncdave4life

🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Mar 24
@Gladfly1 @rdqBlueRidge @TWTThisIsNow @25_cycle @Rose1962bush @SlymasterSteven @ejwwest @Willard1951 @insane_voice @AGWIsHappening @Gordon_DHG @TheDisproof @Stephen90045069 @AristotleMrs @Canadianworker2 @PierreTherrie19 @IceAge2150 @Nockit1 @JohnGiuliano7 @Robert76907841 @1Astroturf @UlaLomu @Moderna5G_666 @MikeDel21893959 @DanielMcDonald4 @mel_wright123 @ScienceBlog3 @MartinJBern @Narvuntien @RidaAller @Tempora23227548 @BL4CKsH33P6 @Climatehope2 @crankyfucker @cjtjgeol @claude_roumain @sapp_erlot @Michael71718318 @CloneDwarf @WinWithScience @Hedendom @Barbarajdurkin @RoyPentland 1/8」The skillfulness of models is dependent on

🗹 1(a). how well the processes which they model are understood, AND

🗹 1(b). how faithfully those processes are simulated in the computer code, AND

🗹 2. whether the results can be repeatedly tested so the models can be refined.
@rdqBlueRidge @TWTThisIsNow @25_cycle @Rose1962bush @SlymasterSteven @ejwwest @Willard1951 @insane_voice @AGWIsHappening @Gordon_DHG @TheDisproof @Stephen90045069 @AristotleMrs @Canadianworker2 @PierreTherrie19 @IceAge2150 @Nockit1 @JohnGiuliano7 @Robert76907841 @1Astroturf @UlaLomu @Moderna5G_666 @MikeDel21893959 @DanielMcDonald4 @mel_wright123 @ScienceBlog3 @MartinJBern @Narvuntien @RidaAller @Tempora23227548 @BL4CKsH33P6 @Climatehope2 @crankyfucker @cjtjgeol @claude_roumain @sapp_erlot @Michael71718318 @CloneDwarf @WinWithScience @Hedendom @Barbarajdurkin @RoyPentland 2/8」If you can check ALL those boxes, you can certainly build a useful computer model.



threadreaderapp.com/thread/1500873…
@rdqBlueRidge @TWTThisIsNow @25_cycle @Rose1962bush @SlymasterSteven @ejwwest @Willard1951 @insane_voice @AGWIsHappening @Gordon_DHG @TheDisproof @Stephen90045069 @AristotleMrs @Canadianworker2 @PierreTherrie19 @IceAge2150 @Nockit1 @JohnGiuliano7 @Robert76907841 @1Astroturf @UlaLomu @Moderna5G_666 @MikeDel21893959 @DanielMcDonald4 @mel_wright123 @ScienceBlog3 @MartinJBern @Narvuntien @RidaAller @Tempora23227548 @BL4CKsH33P6 @Climatehope2 @crankyfucker @cjtjgeol @claude_roumain @sapp_erlot @Michael71718318 @CloneDwarf @WinWithScience @Hedendom @Barbarajdurkin @RoyPentland 3/8」Current GCMs are obviously untested and untestable, because the predictions they make are for the distant future.

The predictions of early GCMs can be compared against reality, but they failed miserably. I wrote this about the most famous of them:
sealevel.info/hansen1988_ret…
Read 9 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Mar 20
1/11》Democrats are soooo gullible! This Ben Barnes fairy tale is obvious Democrat disinformation.

Barnes, now 85yo, is a lifelong Democrat wheeler-dealer, and close associate of John Kerry. He's a protégé of President Lyndon Johnson (one of the dirtiest Texas politicians).
2/11》I'm sure Victor Shi & the other leftists touting this wouldn't believe a far-fetched story by a lifelong Republican politician, smearing a Democratic President. So why do they believe a far-fetched story by a lifelong Democrat politician, smearing a Republican President?
3/11》Barnes's story makes no sense. He now claims that in 1980 he met with "Arab" leaders, and asked them to ask the Iranians to not release the hostages before Election Day, because if they waited then Reagan would offer them a better deal. But:
Read 16 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Mar 18
@IMariashikongo @GretaThunberg Cyclones have always happened. The simple fact is that they've not worsened, neither due to #ClimateChange, nor due to anything else. So blaming them on an imaginary #ClimateCrisis is simply wrong.

sealevel.info/learnmore.html…

climatlas.com/tropical/globa…
@IMariashikongo @GretaThunberg sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@IMariashikongo @GretaThunberg #ClimateChange is real, but all the significant, proven effects are positive, not negative.

The large, beneficial effects of CO2 emissions come directly from the CO2, itself. The slight warming effect is of little consequence.

sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
Read 8 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Mar 11
1/13》Sen. Roberts was wrong.

Well, his first 36 seconds (apparently learnt from scientists) was correct.

But the rest, which he called "beyond the science," culminating in his claim that "humans do not affect the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere," is codswallop.
2/13》Mankind currently adds about 5 ppmv/year of CO2 to the atmosphere.

Nature removes an average of about 2.5 ppmv/year of CO2 from the atmosphere.

Economic downturns, like the Covid-19 recession, reduce that 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆, as do CO2 emission reduction schemes…
3/13》…𝗕𝘂𝘁 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵. The Covid-19 pandemic temporarily reduced 2020 CO2 emissions between 4% and 7% (0.2 ppmv to 0.35 ppmv), and emissions rose in 2021.
google.com/search?q=how+m…

A 50% (≈2.5 ppmv) reduction would've been needed to prevent a 2020 increase in CO2 level.
Read 14 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Mar 11
@ChrisBBacon3 @Diablo6714 @BenKoby1911 @AristotleMrs @Mark_A_Lunn @fischerfischy @JimBlack48 @Anvndarnamn5 @Jaisans @Climatehope2 @Willard1951 @glinch72 @S_D_Mannix @DenisDaly @stitchnstab @CarrudoDon @Michael_D_Crow @Veritatem2021 @LiveLifeBK24 @JusticeTrudeau @TheDisproof @priscian @Joeyd87745119 @Devonian1342 @Data79504085 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @JustThi30117912 @SniemN @BointonGiles @ammocrypta @SeekerTheGreat1 @ubique60 @CDMarshall7 @EthonRaptor @RMcgillss @paligap17 @MaggieL @Willy1000 @AuroriaTwittori @3GHtweets Skrable et al (2022) is a mess.

But how can you know that if you can't read it? The publisher apparently has a policy of providing free access to articles and papers for 8 weeks, then paywalling them (except that often the first page of the article is still available online).
@ChrisBBacon3 @Diablo6714 @BenKoby1911 @AristotleMrs @Mark_A_Lunn @fischerfischy @JimBlack48 @Anvndarnamn5 @Jaisans @Climatehope2 @Willard1951 @glinch72 @S_D_Mannix @DenisDaly @stitchnstab @CarrudoDon @Michael_D_Crow @Veritatem2021 @LiveLifeBK24 @JusticeTrudeau @TheDisproof @priscian @Joeyd87745119 @Devonian1342 @Data79504085 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @JustThi30117912 @SniemN @BointonGiles @ammocrypta @SeekerTheGreat1 @ubique60 @CDMarshall7 @EthonRaptor @RMcgillss @paligap17 @MaggieL @Willy1000 @AuroriaTwittori @3GHtweets It took a bit of work to find a preprint of the paper, but I managed it.

I also found all five of the “comments on” the paper which the journal has published. For the latter I contacted the authors of several of those responses, directly, and asked them to send me preprints.
@ChrisBBacon3 @Diablo6714 @BenKoby1911 @AristotleMrs @Mark_A_Lunn @fischerfischy @JimBlack48 @Anvndarnamn5 @Jaisans @Climatehope2 @Willard1951 @glinch72 @S_D_Mannix @DenisDaly @stitchnstab @CarrudoDon @Michael_D_Crow @Veritatem2021 @LiveLifeBK24 @JusticeTrudeau @TheDisproof @priscian @Joeyd87745119 @Devonian1342 @Data79504085 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @JustThi30117912 @SniemN @BointonGiles @ammocrypta @SeekerTheGreat1 @ubique60 @CDMarshall7 @EthonRaptor @RMcgillss @paligap17 @MaggieL @Willy1000 @AuroriaTwittori @3GHtweets I put them all (paper & responses) in a folder, here:
sealevel.info/Skrable2022/

The published responses to Skrable et al (2022) are all critical of it. If anyone is inclined to take the paper seriously, I encourage you to read “both sides” before settling on your conclusions.
Read 4 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Mar 8
@Ladidas7 @RightToLifeUK Of course not. If such a scenario were real, nobody I know (and no pro-life organization), would advocate causing the mother's death.

But it's not real. You just made it up. It's an excuse, not a reason.

Any such condition which could kill the mom would also kill her baby.
@Ladidas7 @RightToLifeUK The vast majority of abortions in the UK are obtained by perfectly healthy mothers, of perfectly healthy babies, in perfectly normal pregnancies. The problems driving pregnant moms to make that tragic choice are not medical, they're social & financial.

Baby boy sucking his toes:
@Ladidas7 @RightToLifeUK Pro-life Christian organizations stand ready to help pregnant mothers solve those problems, without killing their babies.

But abortion promoters want to prevent them from doing so, by stopping Christian pro-lifers from even offering that assistance to the mothers who need it.
Read 8 tweets

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