#Bitfinex is printing themselves money again. Quite literally. They're using a new account to try and obscure it but i can pretty much prove it at this point.
Lemme walk you through.
So Tether printed $100 million to an account 10 hours ago on TRON.
This is a fresh account with 5 TRX txn and 2 other txn.
I can prove the account was made on or via Bitfinex. That first txn in comes from the Bitfinex TRX funder wallet. Still need to do more research on those, but it seems all or nearly all Bitfinex INs have that wallet for TRX funding (including the bots).
In any case, here's the $100 mil arriving in Bitfinex Hot, and you'll notice the bulk goes out right away.
To a wallet i know well, -TGEeu.
This wallet is "Bitfinex 2" on TRON (just not labeled as such), which i've named after Bitfinex 2 on Ethereum, which is properly named.
I don't know what their exact function is - but they've heavily been used for chainswaps back and forth between TRON and ETH.
Knowing both wallets on both chains serve the same function allows us to also track money coming in.
That 6D10H chainswap was funded with this block in -TGEeu. The biggest contributor/closest to $70M is $63M 6D15H ago.
We look that up in Bitfinex Hot (page 361 fml) and we find:
And reminder; Kraken gets most its funding on TRON from....
All of this HAS to be direct transfer btw, not trade.
Bitfinex LITERALLY does not have $100M of 24 hour trading volume. People forget that you can send crypto from wallet to wallet directly too, and exchange wallets function absolutely no differently.
Also lol at vol vs assets.
What, you thought their API was gonna report transfers as trading volume? Please.
In the end it all ends up in Binance though. Imagine that; $5.6B into Kraken from Tether directly, all this activity, yet their top wallet's got $200M in it - with a combined $270M for Bitfinex.
And finally i might as well highlight something i've been meaning to for a while: TRON's rampant bot creation/destruction.
TRON recently passed 150 Million accounts! And active accounts didn't budge from 2 million.
Just compare these graphs and realize how bad the problem is.
Bonus:
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
#Bitcoin fell to $90K again, pushing Bitfinex back up to $1.0006. This comes as no surprise to followers of the Tether watch, since i said it wasn't gonna hit $100K based on peg strength, and nothing has changed.
It's a simple relationship, the more BTC rises the more Bitfinex falls, and at the rate of rising and falling, at $100K Bitfinex will be around $0.998, which is the limit of this charade.
Why? OBSERVED HISTORY! It's the rest that comes up with conjecture. I've got a chart!
There's only 2 "official" depegs on that chart, both denoted a top in Bitcoin for an extended period of time. That simply cannot be coincidence, especially not if i increase the line a little bit more to 0.999 and then draw boxes around the depegs and the BTC price at the time.
I'ma bout to lose my goddamn mind. I've broken down a monthly+ chart of Bitfinex's USDT:USD peg, compared to BTC:USD on Coinbase and Tether's market cap; everything since the recent BTC bottom.
I mean to me these patterns are obvious. This is such a disaster.🧵
To clarify:
Every ponzi has a dollar (or local currency) limit. That's the real cash pile, which they use to service real dollar obligations; obligations that don't take casino tokens.
The real cash limit here is whatever leverage Abraxas/Cumberland/Wintermute can build up.
Meaning Abraxas and Cumberland lend to buy USDT, Wintermute lends to buy crypto, then Abraxas/Cumberland sells USDT to Wintermute for Crypto, they use the dollars to lever down/cycle again, while Wintermute pushes everything into Binance where it cycles until retail buys it.
You know why the fucking Greek 10 year is trading 1.4% below the US 10 year? Why the market is *explicitly* saying the US is riskier to lend money to than Greece?
Greek debt-to-gdp in 2023 was *lower* than 2012. Italy is our worst basket case running 6% deficits - still lower.
The UK isn't even lower than 2020, and a full 20% higher than 2012. The United States managed to lower it by 3% vs 2020, but is worse off compared to 2012 at 22.7% higher debt to gdp. And it's higher.
Europe has known, and has experience with, Austerity. That's the difference.
#Bitcoin tagged a $94K handle because the cartel needed some USD. We're sorry for the inconvenience this caused (thanks for the $1B in liquidations though).
The peg was restored and we'll return you to your regular slumber forthwith.
USDT:USD on Kraken can only spike if somebody throws a bunch of dollars at it, which means somebody is buying Tethers with dollars en masse. Not the behavior of somebody trying to rapidly get out of crypto, it'd be the other way around.
And why not buy USDT with BTC directly?
Cause it's all a fraud anyway. Kraken's orderbook until a deep de-peg is only $7 million deep. And USDT/USD is tied for biggest volume on Kraken with BTC/USD. Which has $15M to clean out the book until $500 lower (can't check further). This is all very shallow.
#Tether's done $1.4B in 2 days at 0%, so Saylor had best hurry up if he wants to keep pace with their rate of printing. $3.5B just this week alone. Especially since Tether's still at a high premium so they'll print way more. Infact they're printing hundreds of millions right now.