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#Wagner’s ongoing persistence within #Bakhmut is incompatible with the overall slow-down in the pace of RU offensive operations elsewhere in #Ukraine as conventional RU forces appear to be largely shifting focus to prepare to receive a much-anticipated UKR counteroffensive. (1/5)
https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1654635589302403073
2/ Aside from very limited and localized attacks in the #Kreminna area and near #Donetsk City, Russian forces have largely ceased offensive operations throughout the theater, likely signifying a transition to the defensive.
3/ It would be an operationally sound decision for the Russian MoD to begin withholding and stockpiling ammunition and supplies in order to prepare for any Ukrainian counteroffensive actions, and #Prigozhin’s desperate statements indicate that the Russian MoD is likely doing so.
4/ ISW has recently reported that #Prigozhin began appealing to the Russian MoD to provide #Wagner with necessary ammunition once again after a brief period during which it seemed that relations between Prigozhin and Russian military leadership had improved.
5/ #Prigozhin’s renewed anger reached its peak in the May 4 video of him essentially screaming at #Gerasimov and #Shoigu and accusing them of the deaths of #Wagner fighters. isw.pub/UkrWar050523
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