๐ฐ Performance bonus (PB): A %age of the EMIs collected, only when the loan is paid back
Some basics about the performance bonus!
๐ In case of defaults, #Fintechs used to compensate the lending partners (LPs- NBFCs & banks) under #FLDG (first loan default guarantee) agreement
๐ However, RBI was unhappy, as it geared LPs to give credit with relaxed norms. Thus, it banned FLDG partnerships!
๐ Now, LPs needed comfort as fintechs mostly brought in 1st-time borrowers w/o a credit history. Without a solution, loans wonโt happen
๐ Thus they brought down the overall commissions paid & introduced a performance bonus (PB) issued when all EMIs have been paid. They like to call it โLoan Collection Feeโ. This way, banks donโt pay much to fintechs if defaults happen. Itโs FLDG reverse-engineered. Intelligent๐
All that said, letโs dive into Paytmโs 3 lending products!
(BRACKETS denote the wtd avg QoQ growth rate for last 8-qtrs.)
BNPL (Postpaid) ๐
No. of users: ~80L
Total lending to date: Rs 25k cr
Q4FY23 disbursals: Rs 6.8k cr (27%)
Avg loan size: Rs 5.9k (13%)
No. of loans: 5.6 cr (12%)
Paytm earns ~2.5% C & ~0.75% PB ๐ฐ
Main takeaway: ~80L users have taken 5.6cr BNPL loans. Means, an avg user has used BNPL for at least 7 months now! ๐๐
Personal Loans ๐
No. of users: ~6L
Total lending to date: Rs 12k cr
Q4FY23 disbursals: Rs 3.5k cr (33%)
Avg loan size: Rs 1.3L (8%)
No. of loans: 10.4L (24%)
Paytm earns ~3% C & ~1% PB ๐ฐ
Main takeaway: 10.4L loans to ~6L users Means, 40%+ repeat borrowers- Thatโs amazing! As more people complete one loan & come back for another, biz will need lesser marketing ๐๐
Merchant Loans ๐
Total lending to date: Rs 8k cr
Q4FY23 disbursals: Rs 2.3k cr (38% QoQ)
Avg loan size: Rs 1.7L (7% QoQ)
No. of loans: 5.6L (29% QoQ)
Paytm earns ~3.5% C & ~1.5% PB ๐ฐ
Main takeaway: No. & value of loans growing mush faster than BNPL, and also Personal loans. This is good news, as Paytm earns way more on each Merchant loan disbursed! ๐๐
Broader takeaways ๐
๐ Growing avg loan size for all 3 show higher usage with time for respective users
๐ As nos. show, every underlying metric for each of the 3 products is doing damn good
๐ More importantly, the products on which Paytm earns, are also growing much faster
Given its multiple biz verticals, people donโt know much about Paytmโs superb lending biz. Hope, this helps change that ๐
PS: I post one such deep-dive daily 11am. If interested, doย follow! Note: This is a personal #investmentย thesis & not aย #stockย /ย #stockmarketย rec
The company released its Q4FY23 results some days back. So, I dived in & sliced through its numbers for the last 16 qtrs.
Here is all that I learned ๐
In last 4yrs:
๐ย Revenue/month: Rs 85cr | Up ~90%
๐ Profit/month: Rs 25cr | Up ~278%
Just look at those numbers!
How did it happen?
Outstanding jump in paying subscribers:
๐ 72% up in the Top-8 cities (~1.1L users)- 20% up in last 1yr alone
๐ 62% up in the cities with >5L people (~53k users)- 25% up in last 1yr alone
An avg #Rapido rider does ~3 trips a day, earning just Rs 200! ๐ฎ๐ฎ
Whatโs his persona & motivation? What does @rapidobikeapp earn out of it?
Hereโs all that the companyโs data reveals! A thread ๐
This morning, @livemint published a great data-rich story on #Rapido by @sumantbanerji. What did it show? A lot of things. But some key numbers are all that probably matters.
This wild & unethical play has got the Govt up in arms against them!
Hereโs all you should know ๐
As per Govtโs Vahan portal, the number of scooters sold by Ola & Ather to date (as per Vahan) stand at 1.72L & 1.25L.
But Vahan portal doesnโt yet include sales from Telangana & Lakshwadeep. Thus, letโs round up the sales to account for some of that:
๐ Ola: 1.8L
๐ Ather: 1.3L
But, what really drove those big numbers?
๐ Govtโs FAME scheme which has been massively subsidising electric scooters
๐ In layman terms, the scheme says that after subsidy, the ex-showroom of a price of a scooter should be <Rs 1.5L. And this subsidy could go up to Rs 60k!
#GujaratGovtโs directives on dividends & buybacks is a big bad negative for the stateโs 7 PSU stocks! ๐๐
Hereโs why I booked profits in 2 of those, with no plans to reinvest ๐
Here's how the share prices surged in the last week ๐๐
๐ Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited (11%)
๐ Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd - India (23%)
๐ Gujarat State Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd (29%)
๐ Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Limited (9%)
๐ Gujarat Mineral Development Corp (18%)
๐ Gujarat State Petronet Limited (8%)
๐ Gujarat Gas Limited (3%)