Ian Ellis Profile picture
Jun 3 4 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
.@FHeisbourg asks @SecDef a question that many with friends in the military have heard anecdotally for years:

"A number of active duty, high-ranking American officers actually talk about imminence—2025 & 2027—being the most frequently cited dates" for armed conflict with #China.
"Are we going to continue to hear active duty, high-ranking American officers take that line, or will there be silence in the ranks?" 🇫🇷

🇺🇸 @SecDef: "xi challenged his military to develop the capabilities to conduct military operations by 2027—doesn't mean he's made a decision."
U.S. 🇺🇸 Officers "have the ability to say what they're thinking." @SecDef #SLD23

"Conflict is neither imminent or is it inevitable. We're going to do everything we can to make sure that we're doing the right things to maintain the status quo." @IISS_org
"But the way that you deter any misguided decision is by having a combat credible military, and we have one, and we will continue to have one." @SecDef @IISS_org #SLD23

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Ian Ellis

Ian Ellis Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ianellisjones

Jun 3
🚨 Video: A Chinese warship came within 150 yards of hitting American destroyer USS Chung-Hoon.

Embarked journalists captured the moment on video & witnessed the near collision.

"The fact this was announced over the radio prior to doing it clearly indicated it was intentional."
"Global News has been traveling on the HMCS Montreal, the Canadian frigate participating in the mission, since May 25th in the South China Sea.

A People's Liberation Navy ship picked up considerable speed and cut in front of the bow of the Chung-Hoon."
The Montreal's Commander, Capt. Paul Mountford said the maneuver was "not professional."

"I am hoping that is an isolated incident that won't happen again for us, because we have international law on our side," Mountford told @globalnews. "This is international waters."

Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jun 1
The America Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) left Sasebo, Japan, for the first time since I began tracking movements in April.

This coincides with North Korea's spy satellite launch—the ARG was nearby in Tsushima Strait.

Reagan Carrier Strike Group underway in the Philippine Sea. Image
The Nimitz Carrier Strike Group (CSG) is underway in the Western Pacific in the vicinity of Guam.

The Makin Island ARG is headed east en route to its homeport of San Diego.

A U.S. Coast Guard ship is conducting joint maritime exercises with the Philippines and Japan this week.
Here’s the latest on North Korea’s failed launch:
Read 4 tweets
May 22
🚨 Major show of force from the US & China before the G-7 Summit:

- Chinese Surface Action Group circles Japan.

- Two US Carrier Strike Groups operate in the Philippine Sea & port in Japan ahead of the meeting.

- Russian ships transit the East China Sea.

Latest map & update: Image
👀 A lot of military activity around Japan as world leaders from the G-7 + India + Australia + Ukraine meet:

- Chinese ships circumnavigate Japan
- US Carrier Strike Groups & ARGs in the Philippine Sea & Japan
- Exercises at Kadena Air Base
- Russian ships move to East China Sea
‼️ Chinese Warships Circle Japan Ahead of G-7 Summit: @USNINews

Japan’s Ministry of Defense has released multiple reports tracking the movement of Chinese vessels from 29 April to 16 May.

Source and more information here:
Read 13 tweets
May 20
Musk on Taiwan:

The growing belligerence between China and the US "should be a concern for everyone."

Will China "make a move to take control of #Taiwan?" @davidfaber

"There is some inevitability to the situation." @elonmusk

Is it likely to happen? "That is their policy." 👇
Musk has deep & unique insight into China, dealing with both the government & private industry. He knows how they think & do business.

"The official policy of China is that Taiwan should be integrated. One does not need to read between the lines. One can simply read the lines."
When asked about Tesla operations:

"Almost no one realizes that the Chinese economy and the rest of the global economy are like conjoined twins. It would be like trying to separate conjoined twins. That's the severity of the situation."
Read 4 tweets
May 8
"The Chinese believe whoever rules the word rules the world."

@USNavy Rear Admiral Mike Studeman—in an eye-opening speech—exposes China's masterful facade:

"The Chinese are very good at engineering a veneer of responsibility regarding all of their actions."

60 mins in 5 👇
"Whoever frames the narrative dominates the narrative."

Keep this in mind when you see a headline from the Chinese government.

The PRC "are very effective at being the first mover on the issues. They get their story out first and they're ready to explain away almost anything."
China is "focused on what they call gaining greater and greater discourse power."

"To name a thing, to be able to be the one to define it. That's the objective there. That leads to an ability to have influence. In a vacuum, their messages actually do resonate."
Read 5 tweets
May 8
Tracking @USNavy assets over the past week:

Nimitz Carrier Strike Group transits to the Philippine Sea from South China Sea

Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group is in Subic Bay, Philippines, from Manila

USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier is underway in the Eastern Pacific twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The Ronald Reagan CSG, the only forward-deployed aircraft carrier, is in port in Yokosuka, Japan.

The America ARG is in Sasebo, Japan.

The Carl Vinson CSG is in port in San Diego.

The Gerald R. Ford CSG left Norfolk Tuesday afternoon on the first global deployment.
Interesting note from @USNINews: Image
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(