#Ukraine June 20, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dnipro-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS2 for today πŸ‘‡
@escortert 0/n
First, read June 20 part1 (PdS1)
- that's the real June 20 part 1, typing error in the date -
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+482 (20/06) PdS2 - Sectors #Louhansk,#Siversk,#Avdiivka & Backstage
1-review of military problems πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί
2-review of fronts outside πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ offensive
3-brief geopolitical review

The "Katyusha" have it in for us πŸ‘‡
2/n

Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, pick it up again with NΒ°CDLXXXI-II of #WarInUkraine πŸ‘‡

3/n

1/ This new section presents an "audit" of the military problems posed to πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ by πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί
In the opposite column, each risk is presented in terms of how it is or isn't managed.
In the last column, my inevitably subjective assessment of πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ 's coverage of the risk. Image
4/n

The πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ assault doctrine can be adapted to night assaultsπŸ‘‡, as #AFU have the right equipment in number and quality.
5/n

ATGMs and anti-tank weapons have been installed in large numbers on the contact line by πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί, forcing MBTs to launch short, violent assaults and then withdraw Image
6/n

(2b) Each of these ATGM munitions narrowly missed πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ tank πŸ‘‡
7/n

(2c) Counter-battery with precision artillery like Caesars can reduce πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί fire support

Here, south of #VelykaNovosilka
8/n

(2a) Ka-52s are a problem, but AA Defense is a solution

Ka-52 damaged by an AA missile (at tail rotor level) then jettisoned its fuel tanks πŸ‘‡
9/n

Russian-led electronic warfare has been causing problems for πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ for several weeks now.
Curiously, it was mistakenly thought that Western sanctions and electronic countermeasures tools would be enough to solve the problem

But no... Image
10/n

The miniaturization of EW units makes them difficult to detect, and πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ is condemned to a cat-and-mouse game that doesn't seem to be the most satisfactory solution.

here, a Sobolyatnik 1L277 portable recognition complex destroyedπŸ‘‡
11/n

The fiasco of the 47th Brigade column south of #Orikhiv was caused by an obvious solved problem: minefields
We remain surprised that greater care was not taken to set up mobility corridors by πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ ... Image
12/n

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ MICLIC used in #PyatikhatkyπŸ‘‡to clear mines
14/n

2/ review of fronts outside πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ offensive

(i) #Louhansk front, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί no tactical gains

πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί are back on the offensive to regain the initiative on the whole segment, without success so far.

- In the #KupyanskπŸ‘‡ direction, Image
15/n

We finally have imagesπŸ‘‡ of the (known) control of #LymanPershyi by πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί but still no images of a phantom bridgehead on the western part of the Oskil, which probably doesn't exist
t.me/fedorenkoys/42
16/n

- In the #KreminnaπŸ‘‡ direction, all-out assaults on the western flank of #Kreminna in the #Yampolivka, #Torske, #Dibrova, #Hryhorivka axes involving the πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί 76th div. Airborne

- In #Svatove direction,
In the #novoselivske axis, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί assault repulsed Image
17/n

(ii) #Donetsk front, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί no tactical gains

- In the #Siversk direction,
In the #Spirne axis (southeast), πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί assault repulsed

- In #Vuhledar direction, mine stockpile destroyed by the glorious πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ 72nd brigadeπŸ‘‡
18/n

πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί have done everything to push back πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ positions near #pobieda πŸ‘‡
19/n

A real battle took place towards #pobieda

Result: πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ marginal tactical gain

πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί IFV discovered and destroyed by πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‘‡

20/n

-In the #Marinka direction, despite Soviet suicide tanks and thermobaric bombs, #Mariinka razed to the foundations is still not πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί, frantic assaults being repelled

At #Mariinka, a rotation ends badlyπŸ‘‡pour πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί

21/n

- In the direction of #AvdiivkaπŸ‘‡

In the #Krasnohorivka axis, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί assaults repelled
In the axis of #Novomykhailivka (SE), πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί assaults repelled Image
22/n

3/ brief geopolitical review

(i) Western space,

πŸ‡«πŸ‡·'s support for πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦'s NATO membership

(ii) Asian space

#BLINKENπŸ‘‡ says #China has promised not to supply weapons to πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί but there's still the problem of "dual-use" components
state.gov/secretary-of-s…
23/n

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, 16 months I've been looking deep into your eyesπŸ‘‡

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, I πŸ’™πŸ’› you

PHOTO: @blue_eyedKeti Image
24/n
Thanks @escortert for this new update
Source PdS2 June 20

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More from @applepie110101

Jun 20
#Ukraine June 19, updates from @escortert.
usually in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS1 for today πŸ‘‡
1/n
#WarInUklraine D+482 (20/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive

The offensive was not a failure, as it improved lesπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ positions on the entire southern front, but it was placed under tactical inventory.

Hail Caesar! πŸ‡©πŸ‡°πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ 8x8 155 mmπŸ‘‡
2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to #WarInUklraine chronicle NΒ°CDLXXXI πŸ‘‡
Read 15 tweets
Jun 19
#Ukraine June 18, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS2 for today πŸ‘‡
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+481 (19/06) PdS2 - Sectors #Louhansk,#Siversk,#Avdiivka & Backstage

The rest of the front, off the offensive, is frozen in a war of positions where πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί apply ISIS methods!

Leo courtπŸ‘‡
Read 18 tweets
Jun 19
#Ukraine June 19, updates from @escortert.
usually in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS1 for today πŸ‘‡
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+481 (19/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive

Territory retaken by πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦:
In week 1, 100 km2
In week 2, 15 km2

Conclusion from @TheStudyofWar: "#AFU seem to be marking an operational pause in their offensive"😎
2/n

Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to #WarInUkraine chronicle NΒ°CDLXXX πŸ‘‡


mastodon.world/@applepie11010…
Read 23 tweets
Jun 19
#Ukraine June 19, fresh update from @CedricMas.
1. UKR push slowly along to several distant axis, probes ?
2. RUS mainten pression in Avdiivka and Kreminna-Siversk sectors
3. UKR plan remains obfuscated
Read the thread for details πŸ‘‡
#Ukraine June 19 (1) Situation update on the morning of the 481st day of the invasion.
Operations continue, as difficult as ever to understand and follow. Image
#Ukraine June 19 (2) The UKR are making efforts on several axes, but without committing troops to achieve significant results.
They are therefore "pushing" slowly on several axes far from each other.
In Bakhmut, for example. ImageImage
Read 15 tweets
Jun 18
#Ukraine June 18, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS2 for today πŸ‘‡
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+480 (18/06) PdS2 - Sectors #Louhansk,#Siversk,#Avdiivka & Backstage

Lots of indecisive fighting and unproductive diplomacy

2 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ BM-27 Uragan 220-mm MLRS delivering their birds and getting away fast (avoid counter-battery)
Read 17 tweets
Jun 18
#Ukraine June 18, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS1 for today πŸ‘‡
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+480 (18/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ attack on the entire front line, including sectors where the offensive initiative is πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί!

Is this preparation for the long-awaited main offensive movement?

challenge
2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to chronicle NΒ°CDLXXIX of #GuerreEnUkraine πŸ‘‡
(in French)
Unroll available on Thread Reader

Read 22 tweets

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