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Aug 19 14 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Variant update for Ontario & Ottawa, Canada (August 19, 2023)

XBB.1.5* "Kraken" and its descendants are still hanging around with XBB.1.5.10 making a comeback as EG.5.* "Eris" tries to become dominant here while XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" is slowly decreasing. 🧵1/ Graph of top 7 COVID variant family frequencies from PCR test genomic sequencing. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D )
You can find weekly Ontario stats including variants at ( ).

The visualization tool for variants was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( ). 2/covid.gilchrist.ca/Ontario.html
app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjo…
To learn how to see what variants are circulating in your area, please read this guide ( ). 3/
Looking at the top variants circulating in Ontario now we have:
13% = EG.5.1.1 (Eris)
10% = XBB.1.5.10 (Kraken)
5.3% = GJ.1.2
5% EG.5.1 (Eris)
4% = XBB.1.16 (Arcturus)
4% = XBB.1.5 (Kraken)

4/ Graph of 7 COVID variant frequencies from PCR test genomic sequencing. Visualization tool was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiNzE5YzczODItMDQzMS00M2EzLWFjNWYtMjg3OTY3NTNhZDM3IiwidCI6ImRjMWYwNGY1LWMxZTUtNDQyOS1hODEyLTU3OTNiZTQ1YmY5ZCIsImMiOjEwfQ%3D%3D )
COVID wastewater levels in Ottawa, Ontario have been increasing over the past month. Weekly stats available at ( ). 5/ covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html
Graph of wastewater levels in Ottawa, Ontario. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
Ottawa PCR test positivity has also been increasing quickly. The # of tests being done daily now is about 10x less than this time last year and almost 100x less than 2021. This also makes it much more difficult to detect new variants that may cause significant issues. 6/ Graph of COVID-19 PCR test positivity and # tests in Ottawa, Ontario. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
With increased transmission and infection also brings an increase in hospitalization. In late July there were only 2 people hospitalized *for* COVID-19 in Ottawa, two weeks ago that increased to 8, and there are 30 people as of last week. 7/ Graph of # of people currently hospitalized *for* COVID-19 in Ottawa, Ontario. Weekly stats available at ( http://covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html )
If you stopped masking indoors because levels of wastewater and/or hospitalization were lower than before, you may want to reconsider as school is about to begin so transmission will likely increase even more in the near future. 8/
When you may see most people around you abandon any kind of public health measures like masking, why should you still care about not getting infected? 9/
At least 10% of people who get COVID-19 infections develop Long COVID which is often debilitating and has impacted more than 65 million people worldwide. It impacts multiple organ systems and there are no tested and validated treatments ( ). 10/ nature.com/articles/s4157…
Diagram showing the Long COVID symptoms and the impacts on numerous organs with differing pathology. Image from: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41579-022-00846-2
It is important to wear the right *kind* of mask (not a procedure mask) and ensure it fits properly to actually get the protection you need. You can learn more here ( ). 11/
See how different the results were for me when comparing an ear loop mask and headband N95 ( ). 12/
Masks work to block aerosols that contain respiratory viruses and also wildfire smoke so useful for both. How do they do that when particles can be so tiny compared to the mask? This will explain ( ). 13/
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More from @jeffgilchrist

Jul 10
Novavax Fall 2023 Vaccine Booster Update

Novavax presented at the June 15th FDA VRBPAC meeting to provide neutralization results from testing with various combinations of the original vaccine, BA.5, XBB.1.5 and XBB.1.16 boosters. This thread will highlight the presentation.🧵1/
An unrolled one-page web view for this long thread that may be easier to read or share can be found here ( ). 2/
You can watch the Novavax presentation here ( ) and download the Novavax slides here ( https://t.co/ztwfYM0ScF ). 3/youtube.com/live/gBOyPREXG…
fda.gov/media/169540/d…
Read 57 tweets
Jul 1
Wildfire smoke - now extra toxic plumes from sun UV

Did you know just one of the many fires burning in Quebec is the size of an entire Canadian province (PEI), or large enough to stretch between the cities of Ottawa and Montreal or Toronto to Niagara Falls? 🧵1/

Read on to learn more about why the smoke now smells like plastic and the health impact. An unrolled one-page web view for this long thread that may be easier to read or share can be found here ( ). 2/
You can see from this fire smoke map that tiny PM2.5 aerosols don't just drop 6 feet away but can travel all over the continent with the smoke from northern Quebec blanketing New York City and even producing hazy skies in Europe ( ). 3/ https://t.co/lBbNeaHVYPfiresmoke.ca/forecasts/curr…
Read 24 tweets
Jun 25
Wildfire PM2.5 Air Pollution and Equivalent Cigarettes

Ottawa, Ontario and surrounding area has again been engulfed in high levels of PM2.5 pollution from wildfire smoke equivalent to smoking 1 cigarette every 2 hours. This thread will also include health protection tips.🧵1/
There are several PurpleAir air quality monitors in Ottawa with this station showing the rapid increase in US EPA PM2.5 air quality index (AQI), higher being worse ( ). 3/ https://t.co/2k9F846wVMmap.purpleair.com/1/m/i/mAQI/a10…
While the AQI is an index, the actual PM2.5 pollutant is measured in micrograms per meter cubed (ug/m^3) and there is a handy calculator and table found here to convert between the two ( ). 4/aqicn.org/calculator
Read 24 tweets
Jun 6
Lots of places in Canada and USA now impacted with bad air pollution from forest fires. Reminder that running bathroom exhaust fans for long periods of time could likely pull more outdoor air into your home as seen on this graph inside my home. 🧵1/ Graph of PM levels increasi...
Particular matter (PM) levels skyrocketed in the city today from forest fire smoke but thankfully our HVAC filter and HEPA filters inside the house are keeping levels 100x lower than outside. 2/ Graph showing outdoor PM le...
The reason running exhaust fans bring in more outside air is because the air going out of your house from the fans needs to be replaced with makeup air which often gets pulled int from cracks/holes in the house. When outdoor is polluted/bad you want to avoid doing that. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 20
Variant update for Ontario, Canada (May 20, 2023)

After a bit of a dip down, XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" is really taking off now accounting for 20% of sequences while XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" remains level around 5%. XBB.1.5 "Kraken" no longer has the majority at 38% and dropping. 🧵1/ Graph of top 7 XBB.1.16* an...Graph of top 7 specific COV...
You can find weekly Ontario stats including variants at ( covid.gilchrist.ca/Ontario.html ). 2/
The visualization tool for variants was created by @Mike_Honey_ ( app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjo… ). 3/
Read 4 tweets
May 7
Fit Testing to ensure a good seal on your mask [Part 2]

This thread describes my quantitative fit testing experience with some real-world results of various types of #masks including #NIOSH #N95 and ear loop and how 1 mask leaked 70x more than the other on my face. 🧵1/ Photo showing a Canadian ma...
The table of contents with quick links and unrolled one-page web views for this multi-part thread can be found here ( ). 2/
If you missed Part 1 which explains the difference between qualitative and quantitative fit testing and how they work, you can find it here ( ). 3/
Read 49 tweets

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