Viki Male Profile picture
Aug 23 15 tweets 6 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
🇺🇸 Yesterday, the FDA approved an RSV vaccine for use in pregnancy.

There was a non-significant difference in preterm birth in the trial, which patients will be informed about.

Let's look at the minutes of the meeting to understand these decisions... 🧵

fda.gov/news-events/pr…
Before we start, here are links to the trial report...



And the meeting minutes... 2/

nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NE…
fda.gov/media/169361/d…
RSV is the leading cause of death in babies <6 mo, and is implicated in 50% of hospitalisations for respiratory illness, so development of a vaccine is a priority.

I should declare an interest here... my baby son was very sick with RSV 😢 and I would have loved to avoid that. 3/
In the trial, the effectiveness of the vaccine against severe RSV disease in babies under 3 months was 81.8%, meeting one of two pre-specified efficacy goals.

They did not meet the efficacy goal for non-severe disease. 4/

nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NE…
Image
Great! And the committee voted unanimously that efficacy was sufficient to approve this vaccine. 5/

fda.gov/media/169361/d…
Image
But what about safety?

There was no significant difference in any safety outcome, but the committee did spend a long time discussing whether a non-significant difference in preterm birth (4.7% vs 5.7%) was a concern. 6/

nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NE…
Image
Looking at the data in more detail, in high and low income countries there was no difference at all in preterm birth rates.

The difference is driven specifically by South Africa. 7/

fda.gov/media/169361/d…
Image
This might give us some reassurance that the difference is due to chance (in line with it not being significant) since it doesn't appear in other countries.

Or it might be a real difference, specific to S. Africa (although this might still be reassuring, for non-SAffers...) 8/
If it is a real effect, a possibility we should consider is that, given this occurs in a massive COVID wave, and that we know COVID can cause preterm birth, the RSV vaccine is interfering with the COVID vaccine. There wasn't the data to address this, though. 9/ Image
But it does feed into wider questions about the possibility that antenatal vaccinations may not work so well if they are co-administered. So, if the RSV vaccine is to be offered, we have to give some consideration to when exactly. 10/ Image
Regardless, the Committee agreed that if they approved the vaccine, it would be important to have a very solid surveillance plan. It was pointed out that a rapid analysis of the Vaccine Safety Data Link could provide firm answers on this in a matter of months. 11/ Image
But while this uncertainty persists, of course it's important that people can make a fully informed decision about whether or not they will get vaccinated. So information about this will appear in the documents clinicians use to counsel their patients (the "label"). 12/ Image
After this discussion, the Committee voted on whether to approve the vaccine on the basis of safety. 10 voted for and 4 against. 13/ Image
The final recommendation was to approve the vaccine...

👉🏻 With robust monitoring

👉🏻 Counselling patients about the non-significant difference in preterm birth

👉🏻 Between 32 and 36 weeks, to reduce the risk of preterm birth

14/

fda.gov/news-events/pr…
Image
Here ends my summary of the meeting minutes, although I would encourage anyone who is interested to read them themselves.

Here also ends my lunchbreak. I will continue this thread with my own views on the decision later today...

15/ (to be continued...)

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More from @VikiLovesFACS

May 11
@davidicke Hi David. Independently-generated data looking at safety of COVID vaccines in more than 360,000 people vaccinated in pregnancy find no increased risk of any pregnancy problems.

How do we reconcile that with the spontaneous reporting in your video?... 🧵

docs.google.com/document/d/19F… Image
@davidicke First, for context... it would probably help you to realise that those 458 spontaneous reports were out of approximately 48,000 people who had been vaccinated in pregnancy at that time. 2/

nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
@davidicke And these are reports of events that occurred after vaccination. There is no requirement that the events are thought to have occurred because of vaccination.

That's actually explained in the report. 3/

phmpt.org/wp-content/upl… Image
Read 8 tweets
Apr 26
@MarkWar16520311 To understand adverse effects of vaccines, it helps to think about the phases of the immune response. First, we have the innate response, which we might think of (roughly) as being inflammation. This lasts from minutes after vaccination to 48 hours-ish. 1/
@MarkWar16520311 Most adverse events happen in this timeframe and whenever we see inflammation-type symptoms (sore arm, fever, myocarditis), we should straight away be thinking: that might be the vaccine. 2/
@MarkWar16520311 Of course, some of those are so well-established (and mild) that we don't even investigate them anymore (sore arm, fever). But this logic is one of the reasons that myocarditis was taken quite seriously as a potential side effect (and indeed turned out to be one - rarely). 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 14
@toadmeister Hi Toby! We’ve discussed before how data from hundreds of thousands of humans shows no increased risk of pregnancy loss or congenital abnormalities following COVID vaccination in pregnancy.

But since you’re keen, let’s talk about the rodent data… 1/

docs.google.com/document/d/19F… Image
@toadmeister It’s not true that these data were recently released as a result of an FOI request. Pfizer went out of their way to get them published following peer review, and they’ve been freely available since the summer of 2021, here… 2/

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
@toadmeister One thing the blog post doesn’t show is that vaccinated rats ovulated more but had the same number of pups. This increased rate of ovulation among vaccinated rats is what seems to cause a slight decrease in the rate at which eggs can implant. 3/

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Read 8 tweets
Mar 28
#Menstrual changes in those who received a #CovidVaccine (3,635), caught #COVID (1,802), both (1,354) or neither (5,788)...

🦠 Infected more likely to report shorter cycles, missed periods, heavier periods, spotting

💉Vaccinated only: no difference

1/

cell.com/iscience/pdf/S…
Previous studies have found menstrual changes associated with vaccination, but these have been small and short-lived, so it's perhaps not surprising that a retrospective survey design can't detect them. 2/

This is the first study I know of that attempts to directly compare menstrual effects of COVID vaccination and infection, finding that infection is likely to be more of a concern. 3/3
Read 4 tweets
Mar 24
🇮🇱 48,868 babies followed for first 120 days of life. Does being born after a #CovidVaccine booster in #pregnancy protect against hospitalisation for COVID?

👉🏻 Yes! With 53% effectiveness compared to two doses only.

1/

nature.com/articles/s4159… Cumulative COVID hospitalisations in babies whose mothers we
Other important findings…

👉🏻 Protection is greater when the booster dose is given later in pregnancy

👉🏻 Protection wanes as babies get older, with no significant protection after 90 days, in this study.

2/ Graph showing that babies whose mothers were vaccinated late
A lot of parents and paediatricians have been in touch with me recently querying the policy of offering a booster as early as possible. Wouldn’t it be better to delay and maximise protection for babies? The authors have something to say here… 3/ Screenshot from paper: “Moreover, as the circulation of SA
Read 4 tweets

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