The proposed "Online Safety" bill can be interpreted ambiguously and applied selectively to imprison average people for discussing average sociopolitical issues, for up to 5 years. Disclaimer: personal interpretation; not a lawyer. 1/9
If the govt. deems what you said is a "false statement" (??) and deems it could lead to a riot by someone else, you could be imprisoned for up to 3 years, *even if the riot doesn't take place*. 2/9
If your discussion of a religious matter offends or outrages someone, you may be liable to imprisonment up to three years if the govt. deems you made a "false statement". 3/9
If someone feels insulted or provoked by something you said, and then they go onto commit a crime, *you* could be imprisoned for up to three years, if the govt. deems what you said to be a "false statement". 4/9
If you critically discuss orders given to military personnel, or discuss the negative social impact of such orders, you could be imprisoned for up to seven years if the govt. deems that your discussion contains "false statements". 5/9
If you fail to comply with the commission's directive within 24 hours, you could be imprisoned up to five years. There is no apparent way for you to appeal or file a grievance. 6/9
If you make a payment to an organisation that maintains a website that the commission declares as a location making "prohibited statements", you could be imprisoned up to 5 years, or face a fine up to 5 million rupees. On second offence, this could go up to 10 years + 10mil. 7/9
You may not be able to file a case against the commission if it believes that it acted in "good faith". Even if the commission applies this law selectively to different classes of people, it may be protected from prosecution if it is believed it acted in "good faith". 8/9
Even if you actually do not commit the offence, simply being in communication with someone who did, could open you up to imprisonment up to half the maximum term of the offence. 9/9
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I truly hope I'm wrong and stability advocates are right, but current outlook for #SriLanka 2023:
a) new taxes
b) electricity tariff hike
c) many will run out of savings (which they've been dipping into in 2022)
d) inter-monsoonal power cuts
e) debt repayment restarts
1/4
f) tourism picks up but other exports languish
g) public agitation shifts from middle class (2020 trigger: gas & petrol) to working class (2023: food & child care)
h) govt. suppression attempts make public even angrier
i) new round of protests
2/4
A better (but unlikely) path for 2023 might be:
a) all Rajapaksas pressured to resign from parliament
b) rapidly activate commissions in 21A: bribery, audit, police, public service, procurement
c) plan to cut defence expenditure by 50% -> funnel to vocational training
3/4
What happened to Sri Lanka has happened many times since recorded political history began, circa 500BC in Ancient Greece. A corrupt politician who becomes unpopular, diverts attention away from himself by starting a war across the border. 🧵 1/11 #lka
If no such border exists, he finds an enemy within: usually a minority with a culture different enough to elicit dislike. He blames them for the very ills he himself is responsible for. 2/11
As natural bigots step out from within society's shadows, he secretly funds and enables them. Their repeated attacks eventually elicit counterattacks from the now desperate minority. He presents this as proof of the minority "threat". 3/11
Why some politicians will laugh as people die on the streets, and why it makes no sense to appeal to their guilt, shame or humanity. A thread. 1/8 #lka
Becoming less empathic as you gain power, appears to be an evolutionary adaptation meant to help tribal leaders put the tribe's needs before any one individual. However, these traits evolved when prehistoric human tribes were probably < 100 strong. 2/8
The human brain is ill equipped to handle modern (i.e. after 2000BC) levels of power, which may involve power over hundreds of thousands of people. 3/8
Why I did not bother with the presidential "election":
While changing a nation's executive branch in 100 days is eminently doable, reforming a parliament is a much longer process. The ruling party still controls parliament so any decision is to their favour. 1/4 #SriLanka#lka
This July 20 "election" only had a menu of lesser evils to choose from. The current ruling party was built over 20 years, so we cannot reasonably expect to change it in 100 days. It's a much longer process. 2/4
We need a massive public education campaign on the necessary reforms, and make the demands for those reforms heard loudly for an extended period. Primary among them: abolishing the executive presidency, establishing independent institutions that can... 3/4
While we're fighting the short term battles of keeping the economy aloft, seeking justice for the 9th May attacks and repealing the state of emergency, don't forget long term goal of eliminating the root cause: the executive presidency. #AbolishPresidencyLK
In case anyone is still under the illusion that a strong presidency can help stability and growth, here are some data. Out of 150 republics and constitutional monarchies, the top 25 most stable countries had only 2 with executive presidents. #AbolishPresidencyLK
Of the 25 most politically unstable countries in this list, all except 6 had executive presidents. #AbolishPresidencyLK