Thread by @HaidHaid22

🚨🧵Key Developments in Syria as of December 6:
1- Significant changes in the control map have been reported, with regime forces fully withdrawing from southern Syria, including Daraa and Sweida. These areas are now controlled by local groups not linked to offensive in Homs.

2- In northeastern Syria, reports indicate voluntary regime withdrawals from Deir ez-Zor, with the territory handed over to the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). This marks the first time the SDF has achieved full control over this region during the conflict.

3- The SDF’s expanded control now includes the Bukamal border crossing. This could limit the regime’s ability to receive reinforcements and supplies from Iraq. However, there are rumors of a possible agreement between the regime and the SDF to allow these supplies to continue.

4- These territorial changes have reduced the regime’s hold to Homs, Damascus & the coast. The battle for Homs has more critical; losing the city could not only further diminish the regime’s control but also isolate its remaining strongholds in Damascus and along the coast.

5-The regime’s inability to secure additional support from its allies further increases the likelihood of Damascus falling to opposition, barring any unexpected developments. These developments add urgency to the Russian-Turkish-Iranian meeting currently taking place in Doha.

6-If no agreement is reached between these countries—which appears unlikely at this stage—continued fighting will likely remain the only path forward. In such a scenario, the next major battleground after Homs is expected to be Damascus.

7- The SDF's recent expansion in Deir ez-Zor is set to escalate tensions with Turkey, with the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army urging Manbij civilians to avoid military positions—signaling an impending operation against the city.