Japanese-Turkish, PhD IR, Working on Seapower, Geopolitics, Mil. Strategy, FP. Analysis and Owner of World News Journal @wnewsjournal (RT ≠ Endorsement)
1) Here is the previous thread on the strategy of the Russo-Ukrainian War that includes issues like information warfare, Allied trainings for Ukraine, situation in #Avdiivka offensive and #Kherson counter offensive, Zaporizhzhia and modern day fortified wars and other issues.
12) Few words on #Tokmak. We have to carefully asses the claims that state #Russia’s defences in the town is in the brink of imminent collapse. The town is one of the #Ukraine’s critical operational goals with Melitopol. Its South has key railroad link that makes the land bridge. 
1) You can find all earlier Twitter threads on war in #Ukraine and #Russia's unlawful invasion and more in this interactive map. Please remember that this map is not for showing the exact lines of contacts but to understand strategies.
13) The Attacker could use firepower to prevent this laying process. But just like the first aspect, defenders could increase their fire power which would decrease the operational pace. Russian decision to relocate troops from Kherson and further risking of air power shows this. 
1) You can find all earlier Twitter threads on war in #Ukraine and #Russia's unlawful invasion and more in this interactive map. Please remember that this map is not for showing the exact lines of contacts but to understand strategies.
1) As always please take a look for understanding how a counter-offensive should be conducted, what are the goals and requirements and for the events that occured between September to November.
1) As always please take a look for understanding how a counter-offensive should be conducted, what are the goals and requirements and for the events that occured between September to November.
1) As always please take a look for understanding how a counter-offensive should be conducted, what are the goals and requirements and for the events that occured between September to November.
1) Transnistria was a region within the Moldovan SSR which was heavily Russified during the Soviet Union. After the independence in 1991, tensions between pro-Russian population and Moldovan Government was escalated against a suspicion of possible unification with Romania. 
1) Please take a look for understanding how a counter-offensive should be conducted, what are the goals and requirements and for the events that occured between September to November.
1) Please take a look for understanding how a counter-offensive should be conducted, what are the goals and requirements and for the events that occured between September to November.
1) Trenches are parts of Positional Defence with fortifications and other geographical distribution of assets to a certain area in the battle scene. Clausewitz defined positional defence as an approach where a military exploit from the relationship between tactic ↔️ strategy. 
But please remember that many key intakes in this thread will continue to be in play during the Winter Offensive. So I will not repeat them in this thread.
Before starting a detailed analysis of an counter offensive, we have to look to the timeline that brought us until now. Since May, after the Russian decision to relocate its main target from whole of Ukraine to Dombass and Southern Ukraine, Russia focused on an all-out offensive.
If Russia shift from blockade to a such kind of gray book than we could define it as a a shift to 'guerre de course'. So what can be done? Ukraine could arm its own civilian fleet which is risky and problematic as it would make these ships as a legal target. So unlikely.