Putin has lost his war! This thread will explain my reasoning why Putin has lost. First I recognise those who help inform my argument. @WarintheFuture @MarkHertling @general_ben @KofmanMichael @McFaul @GenMhayden @ZelenskyyUa @LawDavF
Credibility. 1/ criticalthreats.org/analysis/the-c… Credibility is the basis of my argument Putin has lost. To get to my position it is instructive to appreciate credible positions for peaceful negotiations between Ukraine and Putin’s Russia.

As we enter what is the end-game of this war between Ukraine and Russia it is worth 2/

I'm primarily interested in the Strategic Communication battle between @ZelenskyyUa and #Putin in the #UkraineRussiaWar . My sources for understanding the current battle include @MarkHertling @WarintheFuture @general_ben @EliotACohen @TheStudyofWar @TimothyDSnyder Thread. 🧵/1/ My last thread covered the Strategic Communication (StratCom) battle for Ukraine starting pre-Feb 24th up until 3rd Sept. As I explained in that thread, #Ukraine began with very conservative strategic messaging and had grown bolder with success. twitter.com/intent/retweet… /2/

Having been an enthusiastic observer of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, I find myself trying to understand what Ukraine is trying to achieve in the Kherson Oblast. My key sources for this conflict have been @MarkHertling @TheStudyofWar @DefMon3 @WarintheFuture @IAPonomarenko To understand this counter-offensive, launched in earnest less than a week ago under stringent OPSEC, all Twitter sources I routinely rely upon have been noticeably quiet. However, I think there is enough information through open source to make an educated guess. Thread. 2/