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Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦
@MappingFL
Florida Data and Redistricting Guy (He/Him). Lefty Lutheran. Politics, religion, and wrestling. Sign up for my substack! This election is going to kill me
Aug 10 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Are you on meth?

FLDEMs, who were flat broke after 2022 when Chair Fried came in, have...

flipped Jacksonville Mayor
flipped HD35
Are targeting several school board seats this month
Are targeting several legislative seats in November

Statewide August turnout means jack shit and showing how @MichaelPruser does not understand actual campaigns...

Early voting began for most counties today

The absentee lists were reset by the FL legislature and have started from scratch

Statewide August turnout is not the focus here
Jul 10 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
As one of the few members of Election Twitter who is currently on campaigns right now…. Talking to regular voters daily…..

I can say, democratic primary voters (we got august races coming up) all are digging in on Biden staying in

They are angry about the public attacks This does miss 18-24s, as they are not folks we are talking to right now (primary is before classes start, college students are not an august factor).

But retirees, Black democrars, Hispanic democrats, suburbs, working class

All want Biden to stay
May 5 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
In 2016, Alan Grayson left the Hispanic-access #FL09 to run for #FLSEN

State Senator Darren Soto managed to win a 3-way primary, becoming the first Puerto Rican Congressman from FL.

The primary was only 29% Hispanic but Soto benefited from a split in the white vote #flapol Image The district at the time was still emerging as a Hispanic-access seat. However, weaker Hispanic registration and turnout rate meant that Hispanic voting power always lagged. This is why Alan Grayson had managed to take it when it was drawn in 2012. #flapol
Oct 19, 2022 • 12 tweets • 7 min read
Yesterday I released my Florida State Senate ratings. You can read all details!

mcimaps.substack.com/p/issue-73-my-…

Today, let me offer a THREAD on SD3, where Incumbent Loranne Ausley (D) is at risk of losing in her Biden +3 district; which covers the Tallahassee region #flapol #sayfie This district is heavily dominated by Leon County, which holds Tallahassee. In a modern context, Leon and maj-black Gadsden County dominate the vote total. However, the outside rural counties are deep red, with most blue pockets being maj-black precincts #flapol
Oct 4, 2022 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Several months ago, Ron DeSantis appointed a white Republican to the majority-black Gadsden County’s commission. That appointee has now resigned after a KKK costume photo emerged.

I delve into Gadsden politics and Ron’s horrible pick

mcimaps.substack.com/p/issue-71-gad…

#flapol #sayfie Image While I’ll give Ron the benefit of the doubt that the photo, which is old, was not likely known, it still was insulting for him to appoint a white Republican to Florida’s lone majority black commission - especially in replacing a black democrat #flapol.