James Orin Murfin Professor @umichpolisci, Director @umichDemocracy, @scriptsberlin @AEIfdp | past Director @UChicagoCISSR @CarnegieEndow | Democracy | Asia
Nov 23 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
Weak autocracies are far more common than strong autocracies.
They are also often far more dangerous and damaging than strong autocracies.
Never take hope from an autocrat’s weakness. Instead, prepare for the worst.
A 🧵 based on 2 of my books: (1/N)
By weak autocracies I mean those with limited coalitional support and with weak ruling organizations (or as political scientists like to say, institutions) like factionalized parties, incohesive militaries, and ineffective state apparatuses (2/N)
Oct 12, 2022 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
Yesterday a 97-year-old Arizona man told me "I'm terrified how close we're getting to #authoritarianism in this country." Sounds like something I might say! But his example? Gavin Newsom. Which has inspired some new thoughts on #democracy and its multiple opposites. A 🧵 1/18
It now occurs to me that people with different political orientations think democracy’s opposite is a totally different thing. Loosely speaking, please hear me out…..
For the Center: Authoritarianism
For the Right: Socialism
For the Left: Oligarchy
2/18
“From Development to Democracy: The Transformations of Modern Asia,” written with @JosephWongUT.
What do we argue? And how do we try to offer new thinking on #development and #democracy in East and Southeast #Asia?
A 📘🧵! 1/21 @PrincetonUPress@JosephWongUT It might help to start by noting that the book’s working title was always “Democracy through Strength,” until the very last minute.
That’s our main argument, and it’s still the title of our theory chapter. 2/21