“But it’s believable to me that if there’s an impact it would be at the higher end (of the market),”

Let's say 700 homes change hands per year in West Side #Vanre. Avg say $3M per home. That's roughly $2B per year.

Say half that is mortgaged, so

vancouversun.com/business/local… 2/ $1B per year COMPLETELY controls the West Side mkt.

Last week I tweeted about ONE woman from China 10 years ago looking to buy 4 to 5 homes on the West Side. If she's looking to spend $20M, all you would need would be 49 more of her to completely buy up every

WHAT LIES BENEATH IN THE #VANRE MARKET?

(Warning: This will be a long thread, grab a cuppa coffee)

Most people are familiar with Warren Buffet's saying "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked."

I believe it may be EXACTLY what lies beneath the 2/ level of the tide that could be the final nail in the #Vanre mkt once the full effect of foreign owners (FLIPPERS) selling their West Side SFD's kicks in. Considering that we are already 35% off the peak mkt highs, that in itself is an ominous thought.

Now, I've always

I tweeted yesterday that of the 230 West Side #vanre sales that have taken place since Aug '18, only about 5% of those (that were not either new builds or mega mansions $10MM plus) sold ABOVE their July 1, 2017 assessed value. And yet, of the 17 new West Side listings... 2/ posted today, 11 (65%) are listed ABOVE their July 1 2017 assessed value, and the rest are all listed ABOVE their 2019 Assessment (July 1, 2018) Seems logical 🤦‍♀️And many of these "new listings" are really re-listings that are still way overpriced. Most of these homes...