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Coiner-Yadox Profile picture
Coiner-Yadox
@Yodaskk
yadox.eth yadox.sol $BTC & $alts FA,TA,& Onchain #wassie
Oct 20, 2024 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
You all probably won't read all of this coz you lazy, but basically there is a lots of similarities between late 70s and now: inflation rising asf, war risks all over the world, and a LAST MACRO WAVE 5 in gold and markets
$BTC is currently in the same position as gold in 1978 IMO

Look what ChatGPT is saying :
### **Inflation and War Risk: Late 1970s vs. Current Dates**

#### **Inflation in the Late 1970s**
The late 1970s were marked by what is known as the "Great Inflation." Key characteristics include:
- **High Inflation Rates**: Inflation rates soared, reaching as high as 14% by the end of the decade². This period saw persistent and high inflation, driven by factors such as oil price shocks, loose monetary policies, and high government spending.
- **Economic Impact**: The high inflation eroded purchasing power and led to economic instability. The Federal Reserve eventually had to implement very high interest rates to control inflation, which led to recessions².

#### **Current Inflation**
In recent years, inflation has also been a significant concern, particularly following the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions:
- **Rising Inflation**: Inflation rates have increased globally, with some countries experiencing rates above 6%¹. Factors include supply chain disruptions, increased demand post-pandemic, and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on energy prices.
- **Central Bank Responses**: Central banks have been raising interest rates to combat inflation, similar to the late 1970s, though the current rates are generally lower than the peak rates of the 1970s¹.

#### **War Risk in the Late 1970s**
The late 1970s were a period of heightened geopolitical tension, primarily due to the Cold War:
- **Cold War Tensions**: The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 significantly increased tensions between the Soviet Union and the West⁵. This period saw a sharp increase in the perceived risk of nuclear conflict.
- **Impact on Markets**: The geopolitical instability contributed to market volatility and uncertainty, influencing investor behavior and market trends.

#### **Current War Risk**
Today, geopolitical risks remain a significant factor:
- **Russia-Ukraine Conflict**: The ongoing conflict has had substantial economic and market impacts, particularly through its effects on energy prices and global supply chains¹.
- **Global Tensions**: Other geopolitical tensions, such as those involving China and the US, also contribute to market uncertainty.

### **Wave 5 Macro in Elliott Wave Theory**
In both periods, the behavior and psychology of wave 5 in Elliott Wave Theory are influenced by these macroeconomic and geopolitical factors:
- **Late 1970s**: The high inflation and war risk contributed to a speculative mania and market volatility. Wave 5 during this period would have been characterized by heightened emotions, such as greed and fear, driven by economic instability and geopolitical tensions.
- **Current Period**: Similar factors are at play today, with high inflation and geopolitical risks influencing market behavior. Wave 5 in the current context might also see significant divergence between price and momentum indicators, reflecting underlying market instability.Image What's pretty cool is that in the Late 1970s**: The high inflation and war risk contributed to a speculative mania. Giving the last macro wave 5.

Which is EXACTLY what I think is happening on trad markets and especially in crypto
Oct 20, 2024 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
$btc target 249k, 5T mcap

Same mcap target as gold in the 70s

$btc 69k past ath was around 1.2T also
See similarities in charts also Image I'll let you guess where we currently are here imo
Mar 16, 2023 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
$btc $btcusd

Wyckoff Accumulation 9 months range

FTX was the terminal shakeout and half the market out there is still waiting for a black Swan ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Thread

1/x Image Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic
&
Vocabulary used
Image
Jan 12, 2022 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
$btc $btcusd

Several scenarii I can see from there, each one have valid arguments imo at this point

- 1 year accumulation range / macro Ascending triangle into continuation of bull

- Bull market is already over, thus we look for a lower high next

thread
1/x Image $btc $btcusd
On 5D, it looks like a nice ascending triangle if we have a local bottom around 40k (with a target around 100k)

Meaning all 2021 would be in fact a huge 1 year re-accumulation.

2/x Image
Nov 20, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
$Ethbtc

Again...

A 2 year Wyckoff accumulation breaking out with a Livermore accumulation cylinder, and now re - accumulating into an ascending triangle / pennant on top of the Livermore.

If you don't like this chart and expect a rally to at least 0.1, IDK what to tell you Image
May 20, 2021 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
$btc $btcusd #BTCUSD

T
E
R
M SHAKEOUT
I
N
A
L

(1/X) Image large penetration of support line
sudden increase in volume

Candle that penetrates the zone of liquidity and that returns practically the totality of the move in 1or2 candles

Terminal shakeouts is used to define movements with much deeper penetration and with higher volume

2/X Image
May 17, 2021 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
$btc $btcusd #btc

Update 3 :
of version of the Options Expiry/ Max Pain chart Image $btc $btcusd #btc

Update 4 : keklmao
of version of the Options Expiry/ Max Pain chart Image
May 4, 2021 • 25 tweets • 8 min read
$BTC $BTCUSD #BTC

🅼🅴🅶🅰 Thread on several Models / indicators / On Chain Analysis

Part 4

Update at $btc=57k, May 2020 Taking support on NVT like previous cycles
Mar 16, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Options thread
$btc $btcusd Big expiry March 29th

We've seen past months that those expiry are starting to have a bigger and bigger impact as Options OI is growing fast
(i would love to have historical data for Max pain for each expiries, tbh)
Mar 14, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Oh, look, a cool Screenshot?
Should I retweet it? Naaaah

"better take it, make it as my own, and clout chase" Oh, it's coming from HERE?
WHO COULD HAVE GUESSED

Dec 10, 2020 • 27 tweets • 8 min read
$BTC $BTCUSD #BTC

🅼🅴🅶🅰 Thread on several Models / indicators / On Chain Analysis

Part 3

Update at $btc=18k, Dec 2020

Balanced price
Starting to curve up, like start of precedent bull markets
Nov 13, 2020 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
If I recall correctly, both 2017 20k top and 2019 14k got TD13.
So that's an important warning to me, here.
$btc Unfortunately, I cannot check and verify by myself, as I don't have access to Bloomberg charts
Nov 13, 2020 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
$btc $btcusd #BTC

2017 20k top & today's Price Action

(☞ﾟ∀ﾟ)☞ Image Thanks to @ManuelW69213255 for noticing it !
Oct 23, 2020 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
OCTOBER BEAR THREAD
$btc
coz i just want a place to show all the possible bear things $btc
increase supply coming to Binance
Oct 21, 2020 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
just a smol thread on 4 different ways to show that $btc $btcusd #btc 13-14k was a good target i've shared in the past 2 weeks

1/6 $btc channel break

Oct 21, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
O . O holy damn fck, this is massive.
(ง •̀_•́)ง
Oct 17, 2020 • 29 tweets • 14 min read
$btc $btcusd #BTC

OK, so @cryptoquant_com is doing a closed beta and I'm lucky enough to be able to test it.

Let's make a Big thread right here to connect Onchain Analysis & Technical Analysis

Is $btc in a bull market or what ?

1/x $btc $btcusd #BTC
Let's begin with Difficulty, Hashrate & Price, on a log scale.

A 10 year uninterrupted increase.

2/x Image
Jun 6, 2020 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
$alts
Cheatsheet Image best ex: $zil Image