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Chris Prener Profile picture
Chris Prener
@chrisprener
recovering academic, mostly recovered EMT | sociologist | vaccines + health + RWE + geospatial + data science | #rstats+#rspatial evangelist | wanderlust for 🏔
Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture 1 subscribed
Jan 4, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
My #COVID19 site will not be updated until tomorrow, but I wanted to walk through some plots from St. Louis's hospitalization data release today. These are the most detailed, up-to-date in-patient data we get in MO. We're getting new patients at the fastest rate of the pandemic. I lump confirmed/suspected cases together into one trend, whose one-day value from today is near its all-time high from our winter '20-'21 surge. Our confirmed COVID+ number, 964, is its highest ever. And the 7-day average is climbing steeply past its first and delta wave highs.
Dec 28, 2021 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
We want a fire department officer to have the authority to order businesses or buildings evacuated if a nearby incident that threatens peoples’ lives. Should we insist that they go to the council first, too? “Sorry, there’s an ammonia leak, but I’ll have to get legislative OK…” I feel like reasonable people can think that example through and identify a couple of salient points:
✳️ time is of the essence - waiting until the next council meeting is unreasonable
✳️ the council doesn’t have HAZMAT training - they have no way to judge the seriousness here
Dec 26, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Schools going remote should literally be our last step because we’ve tried everything else. That means enforced community mask mandates, pausing high risk environments (clubs, bars, indoor dining, gyms), de-densifying classrooms, upgraded school HVAC, limiting extra curriculars… The real problem in MO is that there is no appetite for sacrificing to keep kids in school. There is not a single place in MO that can justifiably say they’ve done the hard work to keep essential workers, hospital staff, first responders, and students safe.
Aug 29, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Editing a page and a half or so of demographic history on the O'Fallon neighborhood in North City - an early Black community in St. Louis until racist housing policies destroyed it twice during the 20th century. What a heartbreaking tale that encapsulates so much. 🧵 1/ In the late 19th/early 20th centuries, the blocks just west of what today is Fairground Park had a large number of Black renters. The 1916 exclusionary zoning ordinance (very short-lived) targeted a number of blocks here to be inhabited by Black families only. 2/
Jul 21, 2021 • 20 tweets • 13 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Tuesday, 7/20 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. A few highlights are below 👇.

We’ve now plowed past 2,000 new cases per day on average in the last week, a place we were last at this past winter. 68% of new cases are outstate. 1/19 Recall that comparisons across time are hard because of various testing shifts. What is striking, though, is we have achieved significant transmission without either of our two largest cities being major contributors. This has been a rural and smaller metro outbreak so far. 2/19
Jul 20, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Breaking: Reposting the #StLouis Pandemic Task Force’s urgent appeal for a return to universal masking 👇. They’re very concerned about the numbers of deaths and ICU patients they’re seeing. For some context and commentary, see the three follow-up tweets I posted to my original (now-deleted tweet) here 👇
Jul 20, 2021 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Monday, 7/19 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. A few hospitalization trends to note are below 👇.

Our statewide and regional 7-day averages climbed again yesterday, inching closer to 2k new cases per day on average statewide. 1/11 A reminder to folks that the New York Times data (my source) runs a day behind, so today’s data reflect cases reported by Missouri on Sunday. Lots of small drops in a number of regions, as we’d expect. 2/11
Jul 19, 2021 • 10 tweets • 6 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Sunday, 7/18 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. A few very, very concerning points 👇.

Our statewide and regional 7-day averages climbed again yesterday. We’re now getting close to 2k new cases per day on average statewide.

1/10 ImageImageImageImage Honestly, I am a bit shocked because of the temporal shifts we’re used to seeing - slowdowns in reporting on the weekends. There is a bit of that, but also some areas that saw big increases reported. 2/10
Jul 18, 2021 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
I supported Gardner’s run for office, believe in the idea that we need transformative DAs, and think the leadership of Black women in STL is incredibly important.

But this latest incident, of no prosecutor showing up at a homicide case for months, is really beyond the pale. I started hearing rumblings about staff deserting the office - not because they didn’t believe in Gardner’s politics - but because they felt there was not leadership, no management there. “Well I’ll take this with a grain of salt,” I told myself.
Jul 6, 2021 • 12 tweets • 8 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Monday, 7/5 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. A few highlights are below 👇.

Our statewide 7-day average is headed towards 1,000 new cases per day, with increases in all 3 meso regions. “Outstate” remains most concerning, though. 1/12 In that broad “outstate” swath, there are now three areas of greatest growth in new cases - NW MO around St. Jo, Mid-MO, and SW MO. Of these, SW MO is by far the most concerning. 2/12
Jul 4, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
I haven't been to @SLULAW's building ever! But my office is in the former law library... does that count? I really don't know. 🤷

Anyway. I'm not a lawyer, *but* let's think about this collectively for just a minute... does Webster Groves *have* to admit any group? Image The most relevant case law here I'm aware of is Hurley v. Irish American Gay, Lesbian, and Bisexual Group of Boston. This allowed the *private* organizers of the Boston St. Patrick's Day parade to exclude groups based on their message because...
Jun 20, 2021 • 9 tweets • 7 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Saturday, 6/19 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. A few highlights are below 👇.

Our statewide 7-day average is now the highest in the United States, and "outstate" is making up 69% of those new cases each day on average.

1/9 In Northern MO, things are slowly improving in the recently hard-hit trio of Putnam, Linn, and Livingston counties. Linn's 7-day average, however, remains in the top 10 nationwide for counties with more than 10,000 residents. 2/9
Jun 18, 2021 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
Look, if you think Sam Page is a dictator, you need to learn about life in actual authoritarian places, because Wildwood ain't one of them.

Let's work through a few things here, though, setting aside the a-historical "dictator" analysis. 1/ First, emergency powers are common in all democracies for dealing with a range of threats, from wars to disasters, terrorist attacks, and pandemics. And there are legitimate critiques we can make of them (see Giorgio Agamben's work, for example). 2/ press.uchicago.edu/Misc/Chicago/0…
Jun 16, 2021 • 17 tweets • 12 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Tuesday, 6/15 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. Quite a few highlights are below 👇.

The growth you can see in the statewide 7-day average, placing us tied for no. 3 nationally, is almost entirely from “outstate” MO. 1/17 The two regions I am most concerned remain the same: Northern Missouri and Southwest Missouri. That said, the number of counties in those areas that I'm watching has grown considerably over the past week. 2/17
Jun 15, 2021 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
I’ve fully updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Monday, 6/14 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

Our 7-day average statewide and in “outstate” Missouri continues to climb. Missouri is currently tied for third (with Utah) in terms of state-level rates of new cases.

1/4 ImageImageImageImage I’ll give a full update tomorrow, but new counties in both Northern and SW MO are experiencing sharp increases - Chariton and Worth counties, for example, in Northern MO. 2/4 ImageImageImageImage
Jun 14, 2021 • 8 tweets • 6 min read
My #Missouri #COVID19 website has been fully updated for Sunday, 6/13 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. As a reminder, I'm doing slightly more frequent threads again since 7-day averages are growing again.

The 7-day averages statewide and “outstate” crept up a bit again yesterday. 1/8 ImageImageImageImage The general areas of concern remain the same - Northern MO and parts of Southwest MO, but the number of counties with concerning trends has grown over the past few days in SW MO in particular. 2/8 Image
Mar 25, 2021 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
I’ve got a few thoughts on the mass vax event I was at today at STLCC’s Forest Park campus.

The excellent - we got vaccinated! 🥳

The great - the @Missouri_NG, @MoSEMA_ DMAT, @SLMPD personnel (including recruits, I think?), and volunteers were all super friendly. 1/12 Once you reached the inside of the gymnasium, the check-in, paperwork, vaccination, and post-vax 15 minute waiting period were all really smooth, well-organized, and efficient. 2/12
Mar 24, 2021 • 15 tweets • 12 min read
I’ve updated my #Missouri #COVID19 website for Tuesday, 3/23 - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi…. A few highlights, and *new* hospitalization plots, are below 👇.

We saw continued declines in #KCMO and “outstate” but did see a slight bump in new cases in the #StLouis metro area. 1/15 ImageImageImageImage We’re now two weeks out from the addition of antigen cases and have seen no real overall change in our current 7-day averages ☝️. This is great news from a tracking perspective, and means our sense of the virus over the past few weeks was not distorted. 2/15
Jan 31, 2021 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
This is my #Missouri #COVID19 evening update 🧵 for Saturday, 1/30. My website has been fully updated - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

An increase in cases around #KCMO was not enough to offset declines elsewhere, and so the statewide 7-day average fell a bit more yesterday. 1/4 Tonight’s @StLouisCovid memorial is for Peggy Grosberg Ross. She was a philanthropist who supported BJC, including a scholarship at the Goldfarb School of Nursing named for the burn nurse who saved her life. Ms. Ross passed away in January at age 90. 2/4 stlouiscovidmemorial.com/peggy-grosberg…
Jan 30, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
There are not good gifs for 1940s country music. Disappointing. The Hillbilly Shakespeare deserves better. Don’t even try to search for the Carter Family... who are these people!? NOT mother Maybelle, I know that much...
Jan 30, 2021 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
This is my #Missouri #COVID19 evening update 🧵 for Friday, 1/29. My website has been fully updated - slu-opengis.github.io/covid_daily_vi….

The statewide and regional 7-day averages dropped a bit more yesterday, continuing the trend of small changes this week. 1/4 ImageImageImageImage Tonight’s @StLouisCovid memorial is for Lawrence F. Pranger. He was an Army veteran, a grandfather, a Shell Oil Company retiree, and was active in his parish and as coach at St. Francis Xavier School. Mr. Pranger passed away in December at age 82. 2/4 stlouiscovidmemorial.com/lawrence-f-pra…