recovering academic, mostly recovered EMT | sociologist | vaccines + health + RWE + geospatial + data science | #rstats+#rspatial evangelist | wanderlust for 🏔
I lump confirmed/suspected cases together into one trend, whose one-day value from today is near its all-time high from our winter '20-'21 surge. Our confirmed COVID+ number, 964, is its highest ever. And the 7-day average is climbing steeply past its first and delta wave highs. 
Recall that comparisons across time are hard because of various testing shifts. What is striking, though, is we have achieved significant transmission without either of our two largest cities being major contributors. This has been a rural and smaller metro outbreak so far. 2/19 
For some context and commentary, see the three follow-up tweets I posted to my original (now-deleted tweet) here 👇
A reminder to folks that the New York Times data (my source) runs a day behind, so today’s data reflect cases reported by Missouri on Sunday. Lots of small drops in a number of regions, as we’d expect. 2/11
Honestly, I am a bit shocked because of the temporal shifts we’re used to seeing - slowdowns in reporting on the weekends. There is a bit of that, but also some areas that saw big increases reported. 2/10
In that broad “outstate” swath, there are now three areas of greatest growth in new cases - NW MO around St. Jo, Mid-MO, and SW MO. Of these, SW MO is by far the most concerning. 2/12 
The most relevant case law here I'm aware of is Hurley v. Irish American Gay, Lesbian, and Bisexual Group of Boston. This allowed the *private* organizers of the Boston St. Patrick's Day parade to exclude groups based on their message because...
In Northern MO, things are slowly improving in the recently hard-hit trio of Putnam, Linn, and Livingston counties. Linn's 7-day average, however, remains in the top 10 nationwide for counties with more than 10,000 residents. 2/9 
The two regions I am most concerned remain the same: Northern Missouri and Southwest Missouri. That said, the number of counties in those areas that I'm watching has grown considerably over the past week. 2/17 
I’ll give a full update tomorrow, but new counties in both Northern and SW MO are experiencing sharp increases - Chariton and Worth counties, for example, in Northern MO. 2/4 
The general areas of concern remain the same - Northern MO and parts of Southwest MO, but the number of counties with concerning trends has grown over the past few days in SW MO in particular. 2/8 
We’re now two weeks out from the addition of antigen cases and have seen no real overall change in our current 7-day averages ☝️. This is great news from a tracking perspective, and means our sense of the virus over the past few weeks was not distorted. 2/15
Tonight’s @StLouisCovid memorial is for Peggy Grosberg Ross. She was a philanthropist who supported BJC, including a scholarship at the Goldfarb School of Nursing named for the burn nurse who saved her life. Ms. Ross passed away in January at age 90. 2/4 stlouiscovidmemorial.com/peggy-grosberg…
Tonight’s @StLouisCovid memorial is for Lawrence F. Pranger. He was an Army veteran, a grandfather, a Shell Oil Company retiree, and was active in his parish and as coach at St. Francis Xavier School. Mr. Pranger passed away in December at age 82. 2/4 stlouiscovidmemorial.com/lawrence-f-pra…