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Apr 17, 2020 • 20 tweets • 8 min read
Yesterday I sat in on an excellent (booked out) #economics webinar with expert input from Dr Carolina Alves, Prof Stephen Kinsella and Dr. Catriona Cahill examining the impact of #COVID19 on UK and IRE.
Here are my notes!
Short sharp shocks: It's important to separate the 'scenarios' from the 'forecasts'. The first is narrative-based! We are assuming a short, sharp shock. Short - (a quarter); sharp (as seen in unemployment figures); and a shock - this wasn't predicted.