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few Profile picture
few
@fewseethis
professor on a mission to help many achieve true financial freedom. more #bitcoin is the goal. since 2016.
3 subscribers
Dec 26, 2023 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
🚨 is the #btc spot etf approval priced in? 🚨

is it a "sell the news" event?

or is it not?

let's find out! ⬇️🧵 Image 1/ this one is quite as simple as it gets! and yet so many get confused... remember that the market's job is to play with your emotions - and it's VERY good at what it does!

let's approach this systematically:
Jan 16, 2023 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
1st week of a new trend for #bitcoin ImageImage 3rd week closing in 45 min.

#bitcoin Image
Jan 12, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
once #bitcoin stabilizes a bit, will $ape live up to its name? Image shall we apes hunt these degenerate bears? Image
Dec 9, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
let's get ready for some possibilities when it comes to $gbtc's #btc fund:

IF lawsuit with sec results in an etf = bearish until etf launch, then mega bullish

IF fund is dissolved for any reason = bearish until liquidation actually happens, which would be the macro bottom

why? both cases present an arbitrage opportunity to long $gbtc shares and short (sell) #btc to capture the recovery of the -50% premium that will quickly close when rumors of either scenarios hit the market.

when the event actually happens and the negative premium has been closed...
Nov 30, 2022 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
$eth at weekly supply.

given how much depends on $eth in the 'crypto' ecosystems, it's logical that it's been inorganically propped up - which transpires in the price action.

next one to fall hard?

right or wrong, the SHORT setup is there for bears to take. ImageImage zooming in on lower time frames, a spike above the recent highs would constitute a possible level to define risk, depending on how it happens, if it happens. Image
Oct 23, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
obv is a momemtum indicator similar to rsi, the main difference being that obv takes volume into account while rsi is solely derived from price action.

for this reason it will vary based on the exchange which is how so many get confused. here is #bitcoin on coinbase: and this is what it looks like on bitstamp
Jul 20, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
free alpha: this one is a simple tip but IF you think about it deeply and look for ways to apply it over and over, the rewards are simply immense.

when investing/trading, apply the scientific method.

ok, but what's the scientific method exactly? it goes like this: 🧵 1/ 4 steps:

1. you articulate an hypothesis

2. you spend all your time and energy trying to prove that your hypothesis is WRONG

3. as long as you're unable to disprove your hypothesis, it is to be considered correct. go back to #2

4. once/if it is proven wrong, go back to #1
Jun 30, 2022 • 14 tweets • 6 min read
free alpha: how to buy the #bitcoin bottom?

you're typically told that trying to buy bottoms is the best way to lose all your money. but is it true?

let's find out: 🧵 Image 1/ i'm going to walk you through the simple process of buying the bottom, or near the bottom.

remember: simplicity = wisdom. not the other way around. and this method is really simple: you buy high time frame support, or reclaim of htf support.
Jun 26, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
update on stonks: i said the january '21 low would give a reaction. it's bounced bigly exactly from there.

futures market open in a few hours. where is it headed?

🧵 Image 1/ first of all here is where i posted that the 2021 lows would NOT just give without any kind of reaction:

May 1, 2022 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
i've been with #bitcoin for a long time and one thing that's helped me a lot is discernment when it comes to on-chain metrics.

time for a quick thread. what's useful, and what's not?

take 2 minutes to read and most of the confusion and controversy will clear up.

let's go🧵 1/ the number 1 concept to understand is that all on-chain metrics fall within 3 categories:

1. raw metrics pulled directly from #bitcoin addresses
2. interpretation metrics based on "entities"
3. derivatives, ratios, scores, etc of #1 or #2
Apr 5, 2022 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
$mstr as clean as it gets. breakout + strong reaction off the retest. given overall sentiment around stonks today seems like the market isn't spoofed by saylor's strategy. quite the opposite. read more about how i use $mstr to gauge market appetite for #bitcoin here:
Apr 3, 2022 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
$eth has been insanely clean to read. i've called the very top in november, the bottom at the end of january, and all major moves in between.

what's next? 👇🧵 1/ most recently (a couple of weeks ago) i pointed that $eth was ready to continue going up and was set to outperform #btc for a while:

Mar 29, 2022 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
#btc update. i gave all my entries + current game plan. everything points UP... except for one of my canaries: take a look at the $mara chart and let's dig in a bit.

🧵 1/ first of all my followers know how i've used $mara very successfully as one of my gauges for #bitcoin appetite in the market.

most recently we had an early confirmation of a new trend ignition:
Mar 28, 2022 • 13 tweets • 6 min read
#bitcoin - i called the top in nov and the $33k bottom in jan LIVE as they unfolded. together with my followers, we also surfed most major moves in between to compound our wins.

all PUBLICLY and LIVE as the action was happening. so where are we now? and what's next?

short 🧵 1/ all important quarterly close coming up in a few days.

back in december, the upcoming quarterly close gave us a clear signal that there would be trouble at the year open
Mar 28, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
the ability to see things coming *before* they unfold will set you apart from the crowds.

it's not about predicting anything, but rather about being awake, present, and impartial.

i posted this at the exact ignition point of the current #btc up trend:

and i posted this right before the war broke out in ukraine:
Mar 15, 2022 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
free alpha: #bitcoin dominance has helped me call all major inflection points in the market as well as the macro trends.

in conjunction with other factors it's like a symptom indicating of the general health of the market.

what's btc.d showing us now? let's dig a bit 🧵 Image 1/ i used btc.d to call the devastation that was to come to the alts market BEFORE it played out, giving LIVE alpha

this post is from mid-december - most alts are down 70% or more since, some a lot more

there were some exceptions but the trend was clear

Feb 27, 2022 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
i am long $brd which looks like it's gearing up for an explosive news.

someone told me an announcement is coming. IF that is true, well - the chart is certainly showing it.

let's dig in a bit and see what we find out 🧵 Image 1/ catch up on a little bit of history. i was long $brd as potentially having the biggest upside of any coin in 2022.

Feb 22, 2022 • 14 tweets • 7 min read
i called the #bitcoin bottom at $33k as it was happening live.

where are we now? what's next? read on for an interesting thread on multiple time frames.

will you be surprised at what we find? let's see: 🧵 Image 1/ how did i call the $33k bottom? i like to keep things really simple. there was a confluence at that level of several factors.

see this post where i pointed at this weekly channel *ahead of time* - marking the $33k region as a point of interest:
Feb 20, 2022 • 13 tweets • 6 min read
free alpha: make sense of pa using high time frame levels & develop an actionable strategy zooming in on lower time frames in a just few minutes.

read on! whether you're a seasoned trader/investor or new you'll be surprised at the findings.

we'll use #bitcoin as our example 🧵 1st you pull the naked quarterly chart and look at what you see.

this is what i posted on dec 20 a couple of months ago - kept me out of trouble in the consistent downtrend we've had since.

Feb 11, 2022 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
free alpha: the #bitcoin cme chart is another one of my "canaries in the coal mine".

here's one indicator that i've used VERY successfully & consistently - it helped me *confirm* all major bottom in 2021, adding confluence to keep my longs open and not get shaken out.

read on🧵 for more than 2 years, there has NEVER been a clear cross of the 10dma over the 20dma on the #btc cme chart that wasn't followed by a significant move to the upside, confirming the preceding low as a firm bottom.

here is the recent history:
Feb 3, 2022 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
alpha: $mara is a leading #bitcoin miner that's been acting somewhat like a leveraged, highly sensitive #btc.

take a look at the charts comparing $mara with #btc for the past year ImageImage if you look at the $mara htf chart and go through the history along with #btc price history, you'll see that there are times when $mara told you more about the possible outcome for bitcoin's price action then just looking at bitcoin.

btw, is this chart bullish or bearish to you? Image