Eurasia Group. Director, Energy, Climate & Resources. Focus on link between politics & economics. Ex-Reuters. Views my own
Jan 30, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
#Europe’s risk of #gas shortages even next winter have dropped sharply due to increased non-Russian supply and reduced usage. As a result, inventories will likely be at 60%+ capacity at the end of March, up from 20% from a year earlier - they could be full again by summer. A🧵
Lower demand (industry savnigs+ mostly mild weather + consumer restraint) and high levels of alternative supply have allowed for gas inventories across Europe to be 70%+ full halfway through winter. 1/
Nov 11, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Europe’s risk of a winter #EnergyCrisis is fading thanks to brimming inventories, high alternative #gas & #LNG imports, a sharp reduction in industrial consumption, and unseasonably warm weather that has delayed the onset of heating. 🧵
@EurasiaGroup is therefore lowering the odds of severe rationing in Northwest Europe this winter from 25% to 15%. 2/