Tweets: low-wage work, good jobs, and long Covid + labor market. Nonresident Senior Fellow @BrookingsInst. Alum @goodjobsinst, @mckinsey
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Oct 31, 2022 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
@Cutler_econ and I have a #longcovid oped @BostonGlobe. Tl;dr — with millions with activity-limiting LC symptoms, and millions more suffering other infection-associated chronic illnesses, we can’t afford to go back to normal. We need a new approach. (1/) bostonglobe.com/2022/10/31/opi…
There’s a lot we don’t know about long Covid (definitive prevalence, impact on work, how long it lasts). And you might think, it’s new, so of course we don’t know everything yet! But LC is hardly the first infection-associated chronic illness. #mecfs has been around decades. (2/)
Oct 6, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
And today we have new #longcovid data from the UK’s ONS. 3.5% of population (2.3M) experiencing LC. Of those, 46% have been sick for at least 1 year. 72% had activities limited; 15% had activities limited “a lot”. ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
The UK and US data aren’t perfectly comparable because they ask dif Qs. US’s HPS asks about lingering symptoms after a Covid infection that last 12 weeks. UK’s ONS asks people to self identify as having “long Covid” for at least 4 weeks. (2/)
Oct 5, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
The Census Bureau’s household pulse survey just released new #longcovid data, incl. questions about the impact of LC on day-to-day activities (!!). Today: 4.4M US adults — 25% of those with LC — have activities “limited a lot” by LC. (1/)
Another 10.4M are “a little” limited (56%), and 3.8M have LC but aren’t limited at all (19%). This is broadly comparable to UK findings: among ppl with LC for 12+ weeks,
20% are limited a lot, 53% are somewhat limited, and 27% aren’t limited by LC. (2/)
Sep 5, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Great thread on #longcovid trends in the UK, using ONS data. ~1% of pop age 35-69 has daily activities limited “a lot” by LC. ~2% of that group has had symptoms >1 year (ie, less recovery than might be hoped). (1/2)
ONS now switching to virtual data collection. They found ppl are 30% more likely to say they have #longcovid on a virtual survey. (Note: US household pulse survey is virtual.) ONS statisticians posited a couple potential reasons:
Sep 1, 2022 • 8 tweets • 7 min read
@zeynep@KashPrime@BenMazer While I like the push for better quality numbers — which I continue to say I agree with! — I don’t agree that existing data gives us a clear answer. This fed piece talks about some of the challenges of using CPS data to estimate LC impact federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/…@zeynep@KashPrime@BenMazer Also I am clearly not saying 2-4M ppl need disability. Some ppl still working, just at ⬇️ hours. Others are temporarily not working — it needs to be a year for SSDI. It’s a point in time estimate, not a claim about long-term disabled. I assume much smaller # would need disability
Aug 31, 2022 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Latest @nytimes AM newsletter by @DLeonhardt covered US perception of Covid risk. Incredibly, only ONE mention of #longcovid: “vaccines reduced the chances of long Covid”. Meanwhile, my research found 2-4M Americans may be unable to work due to LC; millions more are affected (1/)
Two major issues with this omission. First, a recent study of 13M ppl, published in @NatureMedicine, found that vaccines reduce the risk of #longcovid by only 15%. Certainly not enough of a risk reduction to cross LC off the “things to be worried about” list. (2/)
Aug 24, 2022 • 15 tweets • 7 min read
NEW REPORT: using updated data, I find that 2-4m Americans are not working due to #longcovid. This is costing us ~$170 billion annually in lost wages alone. A thread (1/) brookings.edu/research/new-d…
In Jan, I published a report estimating 1.6 M Americans were out of work due to long Covid. The report called on census bureau to add long Covid questions to existing surveys, like household pulse and current population survey (2/) brookings.edu/research/is-lo…
Jan 11, 2022 • 7 tweets • 7 min read
#LongCovid could be playing a meaningful role in today’s labor shortage. In a @BrookingsMetro blog out today, I show that 1.6M people may be out of work due to Long Covid. A brief 🧵(1/5) brookings.edu/research/is-lo…
My estimates rely on best-available studies of #LongCovid incidence, severity, duration, and impact on work. Even using conservative assumptions, my analysis suggests 1.6M Americans may be out of work due to #LongCovid — that’s 15% of all unfilled jobs. (2/5)
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