🧵1 What is this pacifism of old Germans 🇩🇪? I will try to explain from personal observations. In recent days these mostly elderly people have published a stream of open letters, articles, interviews that imply that at the end it´s better #Ukraine loses the war or more territory (2) ...than continuing the war. I disagree and they make me angry. It´s so obviously wrong. Have they not learned the lessons of Munich in 1938? But thinking about my family and many others, the answer is: No. They learned the lesson of their life in 1945. They were kids...

If #Belarus regime makes concessions, we will be fast in legal-constitutional territory. Scenarios: 1. Supreme Court accepts appeal to review elections results (problem: Loss of time/momentum. Ballots were destroyed and can be falsified) 2. #Lukashenka resigns (parliament must approve), new elections in 30-70 days (art81 Constitution), Prime Minister will be interim head of executive (classical transition challenge: old institutions supposed to now organise honest elections. Central election commission tainted, but with proper public srcutiny, obser-