medium.com/p/9a7cea166073
Thee Horizons H1, H2, H3 can be refactored through a systems lens. About two systems competing, with H2 being transitory factors that might strengthen or weaken H3 from H1.
Apr 16, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Here's a post refactoring causal layered analysis with systems lens. By linking the four layers through a #systems lens, we have a better idea of the systems intervention that we might need.
Causal Layered Analysis - like 5 Whys, but also more specific than that - it's an attempt to get at the deep stories that we walk around the world with and don't realise. I look at how Causal Layered Analysis might be use for adaptation and advocacy. medium.com/open-source-fu…
The quick intro to causal layered analysis (CLA) - has got four layers:
- litany
- causes and structures
- worldviews
- metaphors
Mar 27, 2022 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
#Migration flows as an civilisational issue.
Five things:
- #community_identity
- sudden infrastructure provision
- terms of movement
- resource provision
- economic absorption. #Ageing will also be another issue influencing how and where people move.
medium.com/open-source-fu…
Migration - people are going to move because of changing climate from food security and sudden weather events.
Mar 23, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
UKR-RUS conflict reveals 4 areas of wishful thinking... medium.com/p/f0413c37a9a0
Wishful thinking 1: "end of history" is here. Liberal Democracy is here. Everyone will converge there. Wrong. An open, free society needs to be actively defended, not taken for granted.