⚛️ @abcnews's recent #FactCheck made a classic rookie error in calculating that the latest US nukes had "build times of 10.1 and 10.4 years".

depending how you count it, it took somewhere between 13.9 years and ~19 years to build them.

easy mistake to make.

let me explain… 🧵

https://twitter.com/abcnews/status/1770562231320637946

ABC's analysis assumes the build time is the elapsed period between "construction start" and "grid connection" dates.

in the real world, a nuclear power building project begins years before "construction start" and often finishes months after "grid connection".

☢️beware #nuclear porkies #2 🤥

australians🇦🇺: you're going to hear lots about ontario🇨🇦, which does have a very clean grid and cheap retail power.

but you should know 🧵

1. average age of ontario's nuclear fleet is 40 years. all government owned, but ~half privately operated. 2. the current nuclear price (as determined by the ontario energy board) from this old fleet is CAD 10.1¢/kWh which is the same as A$113/MWh.



ontario's proposed new nuclear power stations will cost much more…oeb.ca/sites/default/…

⚛️ why #nuclear power is a distraction for australia

if implemented, the #coalition's plan would see:
• increased gas & coal usage
• increased cost
• increased emissions
• higher chance of blackouts

read on to find out why… 🧵 firstly, let me say i have a deep interest in nuclear.

i've visited multiple nuclear plants, met with companies planning to build SMRs and nuclear VCs, taken a nuclear course at @MIT and closely watched the sector for years.

i encourage the use of nuclear where it makes sense.

🤓 an interesting thing about the govt's proposed 'new vehicle efficiency standard' (NVES) is how they're consulting.

they've put 3 options on the table, and are wanting to hear the public's views.

but first, a little 🧵 about the NVES: we've been talking about 🚗⛽️ efficiency standards since at least 2008!

over 85% of cars sold worldwide are covered by a new vehicle efficiency standard, but not here!

russia & australia: the only developed countries without 🚗⛽️ efficiency standards.

https://x.com/SmartEnergyCncl/status/1648231661773963265?s=20

i asked #chatgpt4 to show me what other australians think people from #Victoria look like: …then i asked #chatgpt4 to show me what other australians think people from #NSW look like:

my wish for you all today is that you’re not seated at xmas dinner next to your uncle who wants to convince you that australia needs to go #nuclear. ☢️

bit if you do get cornered, you might want to remind him that… 🧵 1. about 90% of our coal power will shut down by 2035, the rest well before 2040 — due to age and economics

2. nuclear won’t be able to contribute meaningfully to our grid before 2040 — SMRs won’t be commercially available for years, and large-scale nukes take that long to build

🤓 90% of our coal power to retire by 2035 and *all* gone by 2038!

…according to the most likely projection in the much anticipated *draft* 2024 integrated system plan #ISP just released by @AEMO_Energy.

our grid is transitioning from fossil to renewable energy.🎉

read on! 🧵 this is the much anticipated *draft* of the 4th biennial edition of the ISP — first published in 2018 in response to the 2017 #FinkelReview of australia's NEM.

…the ISP was an evolution of the annual transmission planning reports #NTNDP produced for many years by AEMO.

i visited CATL, the world's largest battery manufacturer, in china early this week and saw the production process from lithium compounds through to tested cells.

i asked our host if the company would consider opening a factory in australia and he gave me a sobering answer… australia mines about half the world's lithium and battery manufacture is _highly_ automated, requiring relatively little labor per unit of production.

…and we're installing a *lot* of grid storage.

so i thought it might make sense to locate some cell production here 🇦🇺…

🧵 9 march 2017 was a remarkable day in australia's energy transition.

it could be said that our understanding of batteries' role in the grid fundamentally changed between morning and evening.

a short thread… at 9:56am @AEMO_Energy published a report stating:

"being modular & scalable, electrochemical batteries such as Lithium-ion (Li-ion) are capable of helping maintain power quality at small-scale power (approximately 1–100 kW) & medium-term storage…"

aemo.com.au/-/media/files/…

some columnists reckon labor must be getting nervous about #nuclear…

i suspect the opposite is true, and that #labor reckons the #coalition is making a big mistake.

putting aside the fact the technology dutton & co are spruiking is decades away… how do the politics look?

🧵 this very recent polling from AFR / freshwater strategy is fascinating.

australians *love* solar and really like wind. nuclear is slightly more popular than coal.

coal & nuclear both opposed by 35% of australians.
*much* less opposition to wind & solar.

freshwaterstrategy.com/2023/09/26/afr…

🧵electoral reform moral: careful what you wish for!

in 2018 victoria quietly introduced a new set of electoral funding laws — a well intentioned set of 'reforms' aimed at kicking out big money from politics.

unfortunately the 'reforms' have made our elections less fair.

cont.

https://twitter.com/simonahac/status/1676347448426479618

the new laws introduced a donation cap: nobody may give more than $4320 to a party or candidate over the electoral cycle.

expecting this would massively reduce donation income, the parties agreed to compensate themselves for the loss of income… with our tax dollars.

dutton's "rampant child sex abuse" is @LiberalAus' 2023 version of howard's 2021 "children overboard".

a manufactured moral panic demonising the most vulnerable for rank political gain.

shame on any @LiberalAus MP who doesn't condemn this tactic. it won't be forgotten. *"children overboard" was 2001 obviously. :(

while i'm here… who can forget dutton's racist 2018 "african gangs" dogwhistle?

there’s a range of opinions on #nuclear energy — some love it, some hate it, with many energy experts somewhat ambivalent.

…regardless, few will be cheering when germany’s last 3 nukes are retired this weekend while nearby coal power stations spew CO₂.

theguardian.com/environment/20… german energy policy experts have patiently explained to me that the nuclear phaseout was a prerequisite for the country’s massive investment in renewables.

…but still a great shame the politics couldn’t be turned around, closing #coal first, resulting in much lower emissions.

🤓 time for a update on $SMR @NuScale_Power’s pilot project!

#nuscale is hoping to complete the *first* small modular #nuclear reactor #SMR in the USA in 2030, for UAMPS — a utah based energy buying group that supports dozens of small-town energy companies. 🧵 #nuscale's VOYGR is a pressurised water reactor, with 2 key features:
• simplification & passive safety features reduce size & complexity
• small modular units, allowing increased proportion to be made offsite and benefit from manufacturing economies of scale. (wright's law!)

🤓 @mattjcan hasn't done his research on nuclear. 🧵

for a preview of the future — almost — squint at south australia.

gas (orange) & imports (purple) currently balance SA's grid. as you can see the need for balancing is very variable.

source: @OpenNem here's a recent week of nuclear generation (red) from france… compared with total demand (black).

nuclear 'wants' to be run flat out… it can be modulated up and down a little, but it kills the (already poor) economics and shortens equipment life.

source: @energy_charts

in #TheBigTeal i wrote how libs+newscorp work together to publish 🐴💩.

libs electioneering strategy in play today:
- libs complain to an authority
- leaked to newscorp
- newscorp gives us ~4 hours to respond

next?
- article written selectively quoting us
- complaint dismissed …and here it is.

confected, false accusations by @LiberalAus, and the @australian doing their dirty work.

theaustralian.com.au/nation/victori…

true story:

during the election campaign, a journalist gained my confidence then wrote a blatantly false article about me.

i called him up and asked him why.

the best he could offer was that his editors "think you're decapitating democracy".

still stunned by that response. the paper totally missed that the community independents movement was grassroots democracy on a scale no experienced in our lifetimes.

they deliberately misrepresented my role.

…and ran a concerted (yet unsuccessful) campaign — confusing news & opinion — to elect one party.

as the gas industry banks massive war-profits and destroys australian manufacturing in the process, @APPEALtd's new deer-in-the-headlights CEO @SamMcCulloch1 gaslights the nation.

let's have a look at her lies in this train-wreck of an interview👇 🚂💥

https://twitter.com/abc730/status/1588108719723724800

mcculloch wants us to believe that gas used in the power sector is significant.

truth: power generation isn't even in the top 3 uses for gas — only 6.6% of our gas is used for electricity.

exporters take more than 80% of our gas.

source: energy.gov.au/sites/default/…

exactly 1 year since #KooyongIndependents launched their search for the perfect candidate… and found what they were looking for in @Mon4Kooyong.

how it started: how it's going: the day that advertisement ran in @theage and the @FinancialReview, frydenberg acolyte #TimSmithMP got pickled early in the evening, drove his jaguar into a house (still not fixed!) and blew 0.131 BAC.

coincidence?

https://twitter.com/SimoLove/status/1454654778391228425?s=20&t=YIaShAzGSiFtChxe8KSQBg

.@JEChalmers missing the opportunity to say “it’s not my job to predict the end of the invasion of ukraine, but it is my job to mitigate the impact of putin’s actions on the australian people, and that’s why we’re…” #insiders

https://twitter.com/beema41/status/1586486902781116417

🤓 today i visited the site of australia’s first nuclear power station* — the jervis bay nuclear power plant.

*project cancelled in 1971, in the very early stages of construction

(ironically the lights are solar powered.) geotechnical works were undertaken and an area was cleared just behind the stunning murray’s beach to build the 600MW(e) UK-designer “steam generating heavy water reactor”.

it was proposed in 1969 & supported by PM gorton, but when PM mcmahon succeeded he deferred the project.