Excited to share this new journal article, I co-authored with Beiling Yan, that’s now published in Canadian Public Policy (by @utpjournals): utpjournals.press/doi/full/10.31…

#CdnEcon #Econtwitter ...Our goal in this paper was to analyze the potential to increase Canada’s exports and foreign direct investment abroad.

To do so, we constructed a unique administrative dataset @StatCan_eng with detailed information for millions of firms that operated in Canada from 2010-15.

Almost there: EDC's Canadian Economy Recovery Tracker (CERT) is showing significant recent progress, driven by big improvements in COVID cases and loosening government restrictions edc.ca/en/guide/edc-c… #CdnEcon ...Here are the COVID indicators, which are looking much, much better than in May.

Some timeless tips on how to speed-read the federal budget policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/marc…

(from the @IRPP achieves with @DavidDeault) #CdnEcon

https://twitter.com/jenditchburn/status/1383932754182610948

Tip 1: To deconstruct the budget, first consider its construction:

Fundamentally, this is an exercise in assembling the evidence that best supports the government’s narrative, not necessarily to provide a comprehensive, objective view of the economy or the fiscal situation.

Released today, @ExportDevCanada's Canadian Economic Recovery Tracker.

Things are starting to improve through mid-February, with COVID cases falling and oil prices rising

edc.ca/en/guide/edc-c… #CdnEcon ...In the past month, the number of weekly COVID-19 cases in Canada has declined as provinces adopted stronger restrictions.

These case count improvements, in turn, have just recently allowed some jurisdictions to start to slowly ease restrictions again.

Here's the latest from @AndrewDiCap, @Jen_Topping and I on EDC's survey of the initial impacts of COVID-19 on Canadian exporters edc.ca/en/blog/covid-…

#CdnEcon First the good news:

1) It looks like the worst is behind us...

Our survey corroborates other indicators for May, which suggest the Canadian economy has turned the corner—tentatively emerging from the worst of the global pandemic, and taking the first steps on road to recovery.

Congrats to this year's Doug Purvis Memorial Prize Winner:

Journal of Labour Economics

Edited by: David Card and @POreopoulos

#ACEA2020 @CanEconomics Here's a link to the volume: journals.uchicago.edu/toc/jole/2019/…

which includes papers by lots of top Canadian academics such as @kevinmilligan @tammyschirle @KoryKroft @fabolange @mikalskuterud @MilesCorak Casey Warman and others not on Twitter ;)

#CdnEcon

Any thoughts on this #CdnEcon?

I've heard this refrain a lot in the lat few weeks.

It's too hard to forecast right now, so we won't attempt to do so.

What do you think? ...As someone who has spent many years forecasting, this reaction strikes me as incredible --- especially among forecasters.

Of course any point forecast will be wrong, it was also so.

New report on Canada’s Energy Future: Supply and Demand Projections to 2040 — the first long-term energy outlook from the Canada Energy Regulator (replacing the National Energy Board) cer-rec.gc.ca/nrg/ntgrtd/ftr…
#CdnEcon Key Findings of this report:

1. Energy use grows slowly in the next 20 years.

Energy use per person is expected to decline by 16% by 2040, while energy use per dollar of GDP is expected to decline by 29%. #CdnEcon

I'm preparing slides for social media workshop for @EDC_Economics next week.

I'll talk about Twitter... so I'm interested in others' experiences with this platform. ...Topic 1: Why do you use Twitter?
- What are the potential benefits?
- Any examples of positive experiences, things you've learned by using Twitter?

I'm seeing lots of very proud & excited people finishing their PhDs this month, which is awesome!

It's now been 10 years since I graduated.

People occasionally ask for advice on doing a PhD - basically is it all worth it?

Obviously it depends on lots of factors... .It's fair to say that it was really hard. It felt like running a marathon. Lots of ups and down.

I spent some days doing math like this, or writing code. It was a slow and deliberate process. Occasional flashes of deep insights, and other times asking "why am I doing this?"

Tomorrow @PeterGHallXIII and I will be discussing the latest results from @ExportDevCanada's Trade Confidence Index (our semi-annual survey of 1,000 Canadian exporters).

In addition to the usual questions on the outlook, we've added #NAFTA, investment, #CPTPP and more. #CdnEcon ...Here's a rundown of the results, starting with a short video by @PeterGHallXIII to tee up the release of @ExportDevCanada's latest Trade Confidence Index #CdnEcon