SA COVID UPDATE 10 DECEMBER

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Weekly positivity rates per province
• Weekly testing/100k per province

Notable drop in positivity today.
Gauteng average also went down for the first time in just over a month. Weekly positivity rates

• Unbelievable jump in positivity last week with significant increases for all provinces
• Biggest increases from LP (+22.4%), MP (+21.1%) & GP (+18.7%)
• Nationally positivity almost 3 times higher than the previous week at 24.9%

SA COVID UPDATE 22 JUNE

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Current hospital admissions

781 deaths coming through today on the hospital report for Gauteng, most are from last week with some from the preceding weeks. This was expected considering the high no. of admissions. Current admissions

• Another big increase for GP in the last week with current nos. surpassing the previous wave
• All others also up from last week except FS and NC
• NW up to the height of the 2nd peak
• While WC, KZN & EC are going up, it's not as quick as the last wave

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 12 FEBRUARY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Table on weekly positivity rates per province
• Table on testing/100k per province Weekly positivity rates

• Positivity rates for all provinces going down last week, all provinces now below 20% with EC (5.5%) being the lowest
• Biggest decreases from LP (-6.6%), KZN (-3.5%) & WC (-3.5%)
• National positivity rate was down to 11.2%

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 16 DECEMBER

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• 7 day average of new deaths
• Excess deaths tracking

The smaller provinces starting to pick up now, but we will probably only see the extent of the effects on those provinces in January. 7 day average of new deaths

• EC at the highest point its ever been - currently averaging around 93 deaths a day!
• WC also going up quickly in the last week - ave. just below 45
• Deaths ticking up more regularly in KZN now
• GP will probably start going up around next week

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 15 DECEMBER

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Hospital numbers graph
• EC hospitals currently with the most covid admissions

Full house today - hospital admitted figure going up for all provinces.
Also 3rd highest day for deaths in WC. Hospital numbers graph

• WC and EC both at their highest points - EC appears to be close to a peak while WC just keeps going up
• KZN going up quickly and GP just starting to pick up momentum now
• ICU numbers in WC and KZN have also gone up very quickly in the last week

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 23 JULY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• 7 day average of new cases
• Daily new cases graph of Free State

#COVID19inSA #COVID19SA 7 day average of new cases

• Highest daily increases for FS, MP & NC
• GP average has seen a decline over the past few days while KZN has leveled off
• WC curve on my graph took a small dive after the reallocation of cases so for one of the days I had to put an increase of 0

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 20 JULY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Cumulative cases graph
• Comorbid diseases table

Cases from WC have been reallocated so numbers have gone down there, as a result I can't work out what the actual increase for cases and recoveries were today. Cumulatve cases graph

FS curve the one that stands out on this graph by the way it's been bending up.
Here's a quick comparison of number of days to go from 1000 to 10 000 cases to give you an idea of the growth in FS:

FS - 24
WC - 28
EC - 37
NW - 37
GP - 59
KZN - 62

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 20 JUNE

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• No hospital update given today

Since, according to the official numbers, GP now has more active cases than WC... today I'm going discuss why maybe that's not actually the case.

#Covid19SA #COVID19inSA I know there's going to be a lot of talk about GP now having more active cases than WC, but in theory, I don't feel it's true.
Since WC changed it's testing strategy, the dip in the 7 day average was very noticeable - and not consistent with I expected from the curve.

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 27 MAY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Update on weekly deaths
• 7 day average of new cases graph

#COVID19 #COVID19inSA [1/3] Weekly deaths in SA from Natural causes:

Tracking weekly deaths occurring vs the expected average is very important to gauge the impact of the virus.

Looking at SA on a whole, the effects are not really noticeable, but taking a closer look at WC...

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 24 MAY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• New table today on % of deaths from confirmed cases per age category
• Active cases graph

#Covid19 #Covid19SA [1/2] Table on % of deaths per age category:

In this table I looked at what % of people have died from those that tested positive in each age category.

Approximately:
• 1 in 6 people over 80 have died
• 1 in 8 between 70 - 79 have died
• 1 in 16 between 60 - 69 have died

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 22 MAY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• Todays graphs: Total deaths per Province and 7 day average of new cases
• Also a quick look at the lag of test results in WC

#CoronaVirusSA #Covid19inSA Cumulative deaths per Province (As of 22 May)

• Worrying to see EC following the trend of WC
• KZN and GP deaths have slowed and not much to speak of in other Provinces

PROVINCIAL UPDATE 20 MAY

• Changes from yesterday highlighted
• 7 day average graph

Today saw the most recoveries recorded in one day (990), and more recoveries than new cases for once.
Media always seem to report the negatives, so just trying to look on the bright side :) 7 Day rolling Ave graph (As of 20 May):

• WC growth rate slowed in the last few days
• KZN and GP meandering along the same path for a while now
• Still too early, I feel, to say if the smaller provinces are experiencing any serious growth