Curated content & meditations on markets from a data scientist. 🔎🎲
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Mar 11, 2021 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
1/ How do you get good at really hard skills?
We learn new skills by iterating through a learning cycle, eventually becoming highly skilled through enough reps of this cycle. 2/ Example; Learning to play poker.
Exploration: Read about poker, the rules, strategy, history and current events.
Focused practice: Play poker. Put into practice some strategy you learned.
Mar 1, 2021 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
1/ What does fire have in common with stock market bubbles?
The fire triangle is a simple model for understanding the necessary ingredients for most fires. 2/ The triangle illustrates the three elements a fire needs to ignite: heat, fuel, and oxygen.
A fire occurs when these three elements are present and combined in the right mixture.
Feb 28, 2021 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
1/ In this thread I'll explain a psychological phenomenon we all fall victim to when researching stocks.
Ever heard of the turkey and polecat experiment? 2/ This experiment involves a mother turkey and a polecat, a natural enemy, whose approach triggers fear and evokes a vicious attack by the turkey.
When a stuffed polecat toy was drawn by string to a mother turkey, it received an immediate & furious attack.
Dec 31, 2020 • 23 tweets • 6 min read
1/22 MEGATHREAD: Long $TBR (ASX)
Extremely undervalued #gold play. 17% return p.a compounded over the last 10 years.
Let’s start with some history: 2/ $TBR is a gold producer & explorer listed on the #ASX in 1989. Anton Billis is founder & still CEO. The major asset for $TBR is the East Kundana Joint Venture (EKJV), in Western Australia. $TBR holds a 36.75% interest in #EKJV. Billis first pegged the EKJV in the late 80's.