1/6 Check out the June issue of the Canada Communicable Disease Report describing how PHAC’s epidemic modelling is used to inform decisions on #PublicHealth measures for control of #COVID19.
canada.ca/en/public-heal…
2/6 Modelled scenarios show the impact of different combinations of #publichealth measures like #PhysicalDistancing, detecting & isolating cases, and tracing & quarantine of contacts. #TestandTrace #COVID19
3/6⬆️ intensity of #publichealth measures work to keep #COVID19⬇️. As we lift broad population-based #PhysicalDistancing measures like work closures, we need to ⬆️intensity of other measures like #TestandTrace to maintain epidemic control.
4/6 Table 1 translates this as the range of POSSIBLE outcomes for Canada over the course of the #COVID19 pandemic. Applying public health measures with intensity achieves greater epidemic control.
5/6 Table 1 above, from the CCDR article, shows these outcomes as rate estimates per million population as opposed to the total numbers that appear in the #GOC April 28th update on modelling. canada.ca/content/dam/ph…
6/6 The epidemiologic data tell us we are on the right track with the epidemic currently coming under control in most parts of Canada. Modelling tells us we need to #KeepitUp to maintain epidemic control of #COVID19 going forward.
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