Apurva Sheth, CMT Profile picture
I help investors and traders by bringing actionable insights and strategies to take the right decisions in market.

Sep 28, 2020, 12 tweets

Have you ever felt that you have lived the present situation before? Its called #Déjàvu. Right now I'm experiencing this moment in the markets. #PSUBanks are going through tough times. But this isnt new. They were in a similar situation back in 2016. (1/n)

#PSUBanks were dealing with NPA's and losses in Mar 2016. Their troubles are amplified after the #COVIDー19 outbreak. But it seems worst is over. Here's a weekly chart of #NiftyPSUBank index. (2/n)

#PSUBanks are forming bullish divergence in #RelativeStrengthIndex(RSI) on weekly charts. #RSI is a momentum indicator. Bullish divergence in it indicates that ongoing downtrend is losing steam. It doesnt guarantee a reversal but increases the chances. (3/n)

If you want to know how to trade the #RSI #divergences then you can read my detailed article on Contrarian Trading with the RSI I wrote back in 2016 here - tinyurl.com/y2zwxoaz (4/n)

Now here's the fun part. Several #PSUbank stocks are also forming similar pattern on the weekly chart. I'm sharing them all. Disclosure: You must not take this as an investment recommendation. These are for educational purpose only.
(5/n)

#StatebankofIndia #SBIN - the most hated stock in the market right now. Do check out my tweet on the #greedandfear cycle in #SBI as well -

#BOB #BankofBaroda - its an exception as there wasnt any divergence back in 2016. But look at the #divergence now - MASSIVE.

#CANBK #Canarabank - the divergence in 2016 was tiny. But look at the divergence now and that too from a deep oversold levels.

Here's how #PSUBanks fared for me back in 2016.
My Contrarian Trades in the PSU Banking Space - tinyurl.com/y5zpvls8

And cherry on the top is the #ratio chart of #BankNifty to #Nifty which is forming a bullish divergence with #RSI and is placed near major support level of 1.90.

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