📍Delta variant #B16172:
50-70% more transmissible
2.7x more likely to be hospitalized than #B117
“Many people could end up in hospital, 🇬🇧 NHS could be thrown into another surge.”
Says @globalhlthtwit of @IndependentSage. #COVID19 #DeltaVariant
2) Latest UK @PHE_uk assessment on #DeltaVariant #B16172:
📌Severity is now RED (previously insufficient info)
📌Vaccines is now RED with high confidence (previously moderate)
3) Two separate studies on hospitalization severity—one from England 🏴 and one from Scotland 🏴— both found Increased severity of #DeltaVariant #B16172
➡️ Risk of hospital admission (Hazard Ratio = 2.61 in England and HR = 2.39 in Scotland) compared to the Kent variant #B117!
4) Keep in mind that this ~2.5x higher hospitalization risk for #B16172 #DeltaVariant versus #B117 #AlphaVariant is on top of #B117 being 64% more severe than the original earlier strain. Thus 1.64*2.5= #DeltaVariant having *4.1x* the risk of hospitalization vs original! 👀
5) How fast is #DeltaVariant #B16172 taking over the total number of cases in the UK? Pretty darn fast. It’s now approaching / near 75% of all cases in the UK.
6) And just how fast is it surging versus other previous variants? Pretty much the fastest known variant to date. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
7) "Do not let this variant spread. It's a very dangerous variant” says epidemiologist Dr. @dgurdasani1. The delta variant, #B1617, first found in India, is driving new #COVID19 wave in 🇬🇧—and it's spreading quickly around the world, including in Canada🇨🇦 cbc.ca/amp/1.6050085?…
8) there is growing concern and anger by many scientists that @PHE_uk is ignoring the dangers and media is ignoring the risks
9) Other experts agree the latest UK reports on the #DeltaVariant are “grim”.
10) Pediatric cases among school age kids soaring too.
11) Why is the #DeltaVariant #B16172 so transmissible and pathogenic? Scientists think they found the molecular reason… it has enhance cleavage (activation) at a special furin site on the virus that allows enhanced human cell entry. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
12) As a reminder, for the world 🌎 and for 🇬🇧 residents… you stand at the precipice of potentially this…. Choose wisely.
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