Michael A. Horowitz Profile picture
Geopolitical analyst | Head of Intel @LeBeckInt | Commentator on international affairs | Author of Hope & Despair: Israel's future in the new Middle East.

Mar 11, 2022, 25 tweets

Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 11

Last night several Russian strikes hit the city of Lutsk in western #Ukraine

Russian strikes also hit Dnipro in central Ukraine

Video of the strike in Dnipro earlier this morning

Russian strike also hit Ivano-Frankivsk in western Ukraine, near the border Romania, Slovakia and Hungary

We're now after the two-week mark. As a reminder according to plans found by the Ukrainian military (if those are accurate), Russia planed a two-week offensive to capture #Ukraine.

That should have seemed unrealistic then, and certainly is now

Video published by pro-separatist sources from Volnovakha in the Donbass, as the city has reportedly fallen to Russian forces

The city has been mostly destroyed, after days of clashes and heavy bombardment by Russian forces.

A Russian pilot who ejected from his aircraft (unclear which) was killed after his parachute did not open

The Ukrainian military recaptured the village of Viktorivka south of Chernihiv. This is the second town to be recaptured in as many days, as Ukrainian forces are trying to prevent Russian forces from surrounding the city.

🚩Russian Presidential spokesperson Dmitry Peskov does not rule out a meeting between Putin and Zelensky in principle, but says negotiators must first do their part.

Peskov also said that Putin speaks with Macron almost every other day (via TASS) #Russia #France

ATGM strike against a Russian tank by the Ukrainian 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade. They claim seven vehicles were destroyed.

Russian Forpost (Russian version of the Israeli IAI Searcher MkII drone) was shot down over Zhytomyr according to Ukrainian sources

Russian forces deployed under the Mariupol Donetsk highway in the Volnovakha area

From the look of it probably in the Novotroitske area

Protest in Berdyansk, near Mariupol, to denounce the Russian occupation

🚩 Ukraine Security Service (SBU) accuses Russia of firing at targets in Belarus to accuse Ukraine of "provocations". The SBU denies being involved in strikes in Belarus, and says Kyiv is not planning to attack the country.

This is quite concerning, as it could be the signal for Belarus to get more directly involved in the Ukraine war. This comes just as Lukashenko is visiting Moscow

This is a scenario many, including myself, have warned about.

The Ukrainian military intel also warned a few days ago that Russia was preparing a deliberate provocation to justify the entry of Belarusian troops in #Ukraine

During his meeting with Putin, Lukashenko also claimed he had evidence that Ukraine was preparing to strike Belarus

The Ukrainian army also released this video of the alleged incident.

Source:
facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…

Note that for now, the incident is not confirmed from the Belarusian side, official or unofficial (below ⬇️ from an account that has closely tracked movements related to the Ukraine war)

ATGM strike against a Russian armored vehicle in Mariupol

Full statement from the Ukrainian Minister of Defense, accusing Russia of preparing false-flag attacks against Belarus (translated)
facebook.com/MinistryofDefe…

Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.

A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.

Keep scrolling