J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
J'avais pris un nv compte pour me détendre... C'est raté. ex Night Owl - ex consultant - Nowadays cat specialist. Cartes, réflexions & Analyses... parfois.

Jan 29, 2023, 14 tweets

1/ Part 2 -
Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on January 29, 2022
Datas/figures.
first thing first today's recap :

2/ Week / (weeks reminder) recap

3/ early weeks recap & month recap
(NB. the weeks are from Sunday to Sunday but the month recap is from 24th (first day of war to 23rd of the following month)

4/ weeks before reaching critical limits for current RU army - at this format-
(i take 5800 MBTs bc 15% to add and extra 10-15% for repair = approx 7.6k to 8.5k)

Slope is quite steep this week directly acting on the current global stat (like in the scheme if you need info)

5/ i do not have updated graphics but here some to help you visualize some datas if need be
(with the help of Peter!)

6/ if needed some materials and complementary informations here as a reminder (unroll the thread)

7/ Also for the people telling "yeah but Russians are still advancing" etc etc - and before my next Macro analysis...
just watch this map again... &consider to get OUT of some very closed-up/magnified "maps" sometimes.
nothing is going wrong

8/ considering the Gigantic amount of men and materials Ru have poured in, during these last months.
on the contrary .. it shows how Ukraine is managing really well (considering who they are facing) what is happening now.
also consider this 1km/month on the "worst" area.

9/ recap of the day from gen staff
to date - i still need to do a thread about missiles & what might certainly remains as twittos claims r clearly BS & not even able to understand the com tactics of SBU/Budanov when he "presumably" assess the remaining stock or production rate.

10/ to make you smile, some VERY important graphic concerning the famous #Leopard2 😅😅😅👋

11/ Also did you know that #Bakhmut existed over 100 years before #USA was established?
Here's the map of Cossack city and fortress of #Bakhmut in 1618 (from @EuromaidanPR )
and also this en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of…
taken in April 2014 - back to Ukr in July !!
So keep cool people !

12/ #Leopard2 again

13/ ok and last but not least (as usual)
i'm just going to paste here the datas of killed in ukraine (we could also apply a safe 15%-20% on top of that, as we always have some delay to actual and real reports)

14/ "Leur ais-je donner assez de support de réflexion?...J'espère qu'ils auront bien compris tous les tableaux, il ne manquerait plus qu'ils me demandent des infos jusqu'à minuit.... "

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