#Ukraine May 02, updates from @escortert.
Usualy Macette Escortert threads are in two parts
-> PdS1, #Donbass Theater
-> PdS2, #Zaporizhia #Crimea #Russia #Backstage
Here is the PdS2 for today
0/n #Ukraine May 02, First read the 1st part
1/n #Ukraine May 02
#WarInUkraine D+433 (02/05) PdS2 - Theaters
#Zaporizhzhya
#Crimea
#Russia
1/Front X, Hyp. Z, rising tension
2/Dnieper, left bank & #Crimea, rising lines
3/Backstage, shooting stars
@Liberov
2/n #Ukraine May 02
Time machine,
If you missed the CDXXXII-II diary of #WarInUkraine, here it is👇
3/n #Ukraine May 02
1/Front X, Hyp. Z, rising tension
(i) dashboard
Weather🟢
Preparation in depth, in progress🟠
- artillery model the front line
- Destruction of PCs, EWs, logistic centers
Deception operations, ongoing🟠
Offensive movement, Front X, Axis Y 🔴
4/n #Ukraine May 02
(ii) Weather Context 🟢
5/n #Ukraine May 02
Sunny and warm
6/n #Ukraine May 02
2/Dniepr, left bank & #Crimee, increasing lines
(i) 800 km of defense lines were built by 🇷🇺 for 820 km of front line!
Within a month, #RF added lines north of #Melitopol and at the outlet of the left bank of the Dnieper👇
7/n #Ukraine May 02
What can we think about these defense lines 🇷🇺?
-the first observation is that there are holes in the racket: indeed, for 1 km of front line, there can be several defense lines, so the 800 km built do not cover the 820 km of front line
8/n #Ukraine May 02
- a defense line isn't designed 2 be a stop line but a speed bump
- effectiveness of a defense line is measured by the decrease in the speed of enemy penetration (DVPE)
Unroll available on Thread Reader
https://t.co/Ce5N4Y8uQw
9/n #Ukraine May 02
-the EPD is a major tactical factor because it allows the reserves and/or rapid reaction forces to move into line
-there are doubts about this param which depends on 3 factors:
-quality of military engineering (good construction)
10/n #Ukraine May 02
-value of the defenses (seasoned and well-equipped infantry)
-capacity to maneuver laterally and vertically in defense
(ii) In the Dnieper Delta, the Russian 126th Coastal Brigade bombarded the positions 🇺🇦 on Potemkin👇 Island
t.me/dva_majors/139…
11/n #Ukraine May 02
If you forgot, dizzy head that you are, where is Potemkin Island while you should know it by heart, here is the beautiful map of @Pouletvolant3
12/n #Ukraine May 02
3/Backstage, shooting stars
We know the replacement of the "butcher of Mariupol" Col General M. MIZINTSEV (left) at the head of logistics of the Russian armies: Col General A. KUZMENKOV (right)
What interpretation can be made of this change of position?
13/n #Ukraine May 02
This fact falls under the hypothesis, often supported here, of "great regression" of the army 🇷🇺
The rapid turnover (between 3 and 6 months) of generals is incompatible with effectively organized command structures
14/n #Ukraine May 02
This disorganized system is "desired" by #Putin in order to prevent the emergence of a general with a too blinding popularity
Another sign of the "great regression": the decay of the Russian state itself threatened in its monopoly of legitimate violence
15/n #Ukraine May 02
#Budanov 👇states that the general staff 🇷🇺 is trying to unify the command of the growing number of PMCs on the ground
The state 🇷🇺 is trying to control the monster it has birthed but it probably won't succeed as the proliferation is so strong
16/n #Ukraine May 02
One more sign: cadets👇 are graduating months before the end of training
The quality of middle command will decline while the quantity is down, given the high number of officers killed
17/n #Ukraine May 02
NOTICE OF INTERNATIONAL ARREST WARRANT
Name: PUTIN
First name: Vladimir Vladimirovich
Date of birth: October 7, 1952
Wanted for the war crime of illegal deportation of child population and illegal transfer of child population from occupied areas of 🇺🇦vs🇷🇺
18/n #Ukraine May 02
Number of war crimes 👇committed on CHILDREN by this individual👆
Please note: these numbers are far below the reality
19/n #Ukraine May 02
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