Profile picture
Michael Otsuka @MikeOtsuka
, 11 tweets, 7 min read Read on Twitter
The regs in force during 14% 'contribution holiday' made it possible for #USS to run the scheme in the manner that @FirstActuarial & @ucu now recommend. That's what they did! More below on @USSbriefs JEP submission by @deepa_driver (tagging @Sam_Marsh101):
The '99, '02 & '05 valuations that Deepa analysis were *before* the days of tPR and Pensions Act 2004. They were all governed by Pensions Act 1995, which provided much more scope for #USS to fund & manage the ongoing scheme in the sensible manner @FirstActuarial recommends. 1/
In this long thread, I draw attention to the many ways in which #USS ran their scheme back then in the sensible manner that @FirstActuarial endorses: 2/
Here I note that they were able to do this b/c the regs back then did not inappropriately force schemes such as #USS to adopt an overly prudent discount rate & de-risk its portfolio into bonds. 3/
The Minimum Funding Requirement in force from '99 to '05 was one that #USS easily exceeded: its was 139%, 144%, & 126% funded in '99, '02, & '05. Hence no remedial action was called for. 4/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_f…
The scheme was in deficit in '05 by its own valuation methodology, which conservatively discounted liabilities at the rate of gilts+0%. But @ucu and @FirstActuarial rightly reject such a discount rate as inappropriate. 5/
And #USS was also right not to regard the deficit generated by such a discount rate as calling for either contribution increases or benefit cuts. 6/
See this embedded tweet and the ones below for the rationale #USS offered at the time for keeping calm & carrying on w/o raising contributions. 7/
One can criticise #USS for ignoring the 2005 deficit rather than hiking contributions only if one thinks the liabilities should be discounted at a rate of gilts+0%. But nobody at @USSbriefs thinks that. 8/
On the best estimate minus approach to the setting of the discount rate that @FirstActuarial advocates, and which conformed to the regulations in force at the time, the scheme was in surplus throughout the '99-05' period of 14% employer contributions. 9/9
Note how friendly the regulations in force from '99 to '05 were to investment in equities. Non-pensioner liabilities matched by equities. NB 'equity easement' of pensioner liabilities for large schemes such as USS. (MFR = minimum funding requirement which USS greatly exceeded.)
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Michael Otsuka
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!