@panmisthropist 1/ I took the Income data and sweated it a bit harder...
Looked at what effect does 100K of net immigration LAST year have on the wage rise for each income decile this year.
I looked seperately at:
Total net immigration (Non-EU, EU27 & Brits)
Brits
EU
Non-EU
2/ Observations: 1. The correlation numbers are all very low ( a figure of 1 means perfectly correlated; a figure of 0.1 means only 10% of the changes in Y are down to changes in X). 2. The sums involved are tiny - pennies. 3. Draw your own conclusiosns vis a vis EU v non EU.
3/ Caveats:
The analysis has not been normalised for age ( younger people earn less generally; a bunch of 26 year old immigrants will bring down the average for a decile just by joining it, without affecting the existing members wages at all!)
4/ More Caveats
The very low correlation values mean the whole analysis is a bit of a nonsense anyway - like comparing the effect of different profile wing mirrors on cars' top speeds without taking into account one is a 1.4l diesel and the other is 4.0l V8.
/End
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All he wanted was: 1. Labelling of NI-only goods (jeez - would it kill us?) 2. UK to man BCP's properly (as promised). 3. UK to grant EC real-time access to UK databases (as promised).
It is vital for the fossil fuel industry that they spike smart meters and surge pricing NOW, before there is a significant number of EV's, which owners will charge at night ( or even sell back to grid in the evening) because effective demand side electricity management...
There are 3 very simple measures the UK government could take and the vast majority of checks on GB goods entering NI would disappear overnight.
That they are NOT doing these 3 things shows HMG are DELIBERATELY causing the problem at the expense of NI business and consumers.
1/
The 3 things: 1. Separately label GB goods intended for NI market only. (Jeez, we print sell-by dates, would it kill us to print "GB not for export"?) 2. Give EU realtime access to UK goods movements database (as promised). 3. Properly staff our BCPs (as promised).
2/
HMG could grant these 3 wishes in an instant. The EU would then: 1. Allow express lanes for NI only lorries 2. Permit 1 certificate per lorry, rather than 1 needed for each of maybe 100 different goods in a mixed load. 3. Dramatically reduce the amount of information...
3/
Oh FFS. "Mutual enforcement":
a hard border between NI and IRL, but the border officials swap around - Irish check NORTHBOUND goods for compliance with British rules and British check SOUTHBOUND goods for compliance with EU rules.
Was there ever a more stupid idea?
1/
A. IT CREATES A HARD BORDER BETWEEN NI AND IRL.
Is a young nationalist firebrand, who objects to "Brits asking for papers" really going to be mollified by the check occurring on his southbond journey, instead of his northbound return?
I've never heard anything so dumb.
2/
B. It means asking the EU to trust the UK to enforce EU border controls. However, after 5 years of lying, lawbreaking, treaty-reneging, threats, insults & general f*ckery, the UK can be trusted to honour an agreement like you'd trust Jimmy Savile to give your daughter a lift.
3/