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Jim Grace Profile picture
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Feb 11 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
FT: "UK to make new offer on Northern Ireland in talks with EU"

ft.com/content/6b3106…

Oooooh what can it be?

1/
OK: “red and green channels”, in which goods that were clearly destined to remain inside Northern Ireland, would be exempted from border bureaucracy.

I am sure I have heard that somewhere before...
Oh yes! Maros Sefcovic's speech of 13 October 2021.

ec.europa.eu/commission/pre…

All he wanted was:
1. Labelling of NI-only goods (jeez - would it kill us?)
2. UK to man BCP's properly (as promised).
3. UK to grant EC real-time access to UK databases (as promised).
Maybe there's a faint hope the UK will back down and deliver on our 2 promises and the incredibly easy task of labelling. Then Truss can come back and say "I defeated Sefcovic! Express lanes! Glory, glory I have won".

Or maybe she'll start a war with Vanuatu by mistake.

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More from @mac_puck

Jim Grace Profile picture
Feb 11
@GeorgeMonbiot Both the Mail and the Telegraph are running attacks against smart meters today, in a clearly co-ordinated move.

More background here:

It is vital for the fossil fuel industry that they spike smart meters and surge pricing NOW, before there is a significant number of EV's, which owners will charge at night ( or even sell back to grid in the evening) because effective demand side electricity management...
Read 6 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
Feb 8
There are 3 very simple measures the UK government could take and the vast majority of checks on GB goods entering NI would disappear overnight.

That they are NOT doing these 3 things shows HMG are DELIBERATELY causing the problem at the expense of NI business and consumers.
1/
The 3 things:
1. Separately label GB goods intended for NI market only. (Jeez, we print sell-by dates, would it kill us to print "GB not for export"?)
2. Give EU realtime access to UK goods movements database (as promised).
3. Properly staff our BCPs (as promised).

2/
HMG could grant these 3 wishes in an instant. The EU would then:
1. Allow express lanes for NI only lorries
2. Permit 1 certificate per lorry, rather than 1 needed for each of maybe 100 different goods in a mixed load.
3. Dramatically reduce the amount of information...

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
Feb 4
Who wants to play BorisLiesBingo ?

Rules Below

Coming up, 10 of Johnson's favourite PMQ's lies, and at the end of the thread, the master tweet to reply to with your entries!
Lie 1: Best Vaccine Rollout In Europe / World / This Spiral Arm of the Milky Way

(Reality: 15th in Europe and 38th in the World)
Lie 2: Vaccine Rollout only possible because of Brexit
No: channel4.com/news/factcheck…
No:
fullfact.org/health/coronav…
Hell, no (click it) :
Read 12 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
Jan 23
Oh FFS. "Mutual enforcement":
a hard border between NI and IRL, but the border officials swap around - Irish check NORTHBOUND goods for compliance with British rules and British check SOUTHBOUND goods for compliance with EU rules.

Was there ever a more stupid idea?

1/
A. IT CREATES A HARD BORDER BETWEEN NI AND IRL.

Is a young nationalist firebrand, who objects to "Brits asking for papers" really going to be mollified by the check occurring on his southbond journey, instead of his northbound return?

I've never heard anything so dumb.

2/
B. It means asking the EU to trust the UK to enforce EU border controls. However, after 5 years of lying, lawbreaking, treaty-reneging, threats, insults & general f*ckery, the UK can be trusted to honour an agreement like you'd trust Jimmy Savile to give your daughter a lift.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
Jan 22
By 2050 Brexit will have cost us TWENTY times as much as Net zero.

My workings:

A. Cost of Net Zero.
The OBR say it is £321Bn (roughly £10Bn per year, or 40p per person per day)

instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/pay…

Fair enough.

1/4
B. Cost of Brexit.

This has 2 components:
1. Hit to UK GDP
2. Cost of Brexit "red tape"

1. GDP
(The OBR say "4%"
obr.uk/forecasts-in-d… )

What does that come to by 2050?

Assuming £2.35Tn GDP in 2022 and 1.9% per year long term trend growth, it totals £3.6Tn by 2050

2/4
2. Brexit red tape.

In 2019 the UK had about £700Bn 2-way trade with the SM (EU + Norway + Switzerland + NI)

Richard Barfield has gleaned from Government sources that NTB's will add about 10/11% to costs.



With 1.9% trend growth: £2.8Bn by 2050.

3/4
Read 7 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
Jan 13
Somewhere in a secure room, in a large building in Vauxhall Cross, a meeting recently took place. It went something like this:

"Stand up, M! Can't you see I am the Home Secretary!"

"Sorry, Home Secretary, I didn't see you behind the chairback... How can I help you?"

1/
"You've seen the news, M, the whole Government is topplin'; Johnson has blown it; this partyin' durin' lockdown is destroyin' us! We need a DISTRACTION!. I want the "special file", the "political file", I want the deadliest, darkest, dirtiest dirt you have on Labour."

2/
"Don't you want to holdvit back fir the next General Election, Home Sec? Like normal"

"No, dolt! We need it NOW! And it better be good!"

"Well... um... we have something on one of them, but he's a brexiter like you, Home Sec"

"Fuck him! Brexit got done"

3/
Read 9 tweets

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