Funter Profile picture
Aug 18, 2019 11 tweets 10 min read Read on X
Today I cover the Government Securities (G-Secs) market. G-Secs, in short, are debt instruments through which Government borrows from the public (banks, financial institutions etc.). This post covers the size, type of lenders, and other broad contours of G-Sec market. Thread 1/8
The total size of the G-Sec market is approx. 92.86 lakh crore. In comparison, the size of the listed equity market (total market capitalisation of all listed stocks) was 141.47 lakh crore in July, 2019. (2/8)
Out of the total borrowing of Rs. 92.86 lakh crore, ~ Rs. 64.49 lakh crore borrowing is from Central Govt and the remaining Rs. 28.37 lakh crore borrowing is from State Govts i.e. of the the total borrowings 69.45 % is from Central Govt and 30.55 % is from State Govts. (3/8)
Bank and Insurance companies are the largest lenders to the Government. Banks own ~40% while Insurance companies own ~30% of all the Central and State Govt debt. Rest is owned by FPI, RBI, PFs etc in that order. (4/8)
The following comprises the central government securities
> Dated Securities - 55.19 lakh crore
> T-Bills - 5.33 lakh crore
> Special Securities - 1.99 lakh crore
> Floating rate bonds - 1.97 lakh crore. (5/8)
The following constitutes the state government securities
> State Development Loans (SDL) - 26.40 lakh crore
> Uday Bonds - 1.97 lakh crore

* Data for central and state government securities updated till June 2019. (6/8)
The borrowings have increased manifolds in the past 10 years. The value of total G-Secs at various points in time:

June 2009 - 23.79 lakh crore
June 2012 - 40.16 lakh crore
June 2014 - 53.15 lak crore
June 2017 - 76.82 lakh crore
June 2019 - 92.86 lakh crore. (7/8)
As a percentage to GDP, the total outstanding borrowing through central and state government securities is ~48%. These levels of debt are quite high - so much so that 25-30% of budget is eaten up in laying interests. (8/8)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Funter

Funter Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Funter21510910

Jun 28, 2020
Lessons in Debt for Equity Analysts

Most equity analysts I have interacted with till date had little understanding of debt beyond leverage ratios. As a result, they are not able to fully comprehend the risks associated with debt. Here are a few lessons for equity analysts. 1/11
1. Unviable promoter level debt would adversely impact the operating company eventually. A promoter who is financially cornered will always look for ways to squeeze money out from the operating company. Some of these desprate measures could well be unscrupulous. 2/11
2. A debt-stressed company drains out healthier companies of the group. It is rare that a promoter lets go of a company easily. He tries hard to support the weaker entity through the resources of stronger entities (via ICDs, guarantees etc.) thereby jeopardising the later. 3/11
Read 15 tweets
Jun 25, 2020
12 things to remember while buying Life Insurance:

1. Take term plan and not an endowment plan. The insurance cover is higher for a term plan for the same premium. However, you do not get maturity benefits in term plan. Remember, you are buying Insurance and not a FD. 1/9
2. Take your plan from an insurance company that is expected to survive 20-30 years. Insurance is used over long periods and therefore it is necessary to choose a company that has a size/ networth for a long life (what an irony!). Don't look beyond LIC, SBI, ICICI and HDFC. 2/9
3. Take adequate cover - If you think Rs. 2 Cr is a good enough cover for you; wait; increase your cover to Rs. 5 Cr. Inflation levels are high in India and money loses its value very fast. Remember how valuable Rs. 1 lakh were 20 years back. 3/9
Read 12 tweets
Apr 7, 2020
Microfinance Institutions on the brink...yet again!!

The microfinance industry in India could never really recover from the Andhra crisis of 2009-10. Just when things start to normalise, a new crisis rocks the boat. There has been no respite. Thread 1/11
From inept legislation to demonetisation, from political interference to religious diktats and from frauds to natural calamities, Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) have been battered by every risk possible. The latest in this series of pitfalls is the Corona lock-down. 2/11
Following is why I feel it's the biggest threat ever:

1) Collections have come to a grinding halt - The loan collections have largely been in cash. The lock-down has severely impaired collection efforts as the mobility of collection agents and borrowers is restricted. 3/11
Read 15 tweets
Dec 15, 2019
The Sovereign Rating (SR) scare for India

Recently, Standard & Poor (S&P) warned that India's SR will be downgraded if the country's economic growth does not recover. Bond yields spiked soon after the S&P red flag. Here's why India should take the warning seriously. Thread 1/11
SRs of 3 agencies - S&P, Moody's and Fitch are considered important. Currently, India is rated BBB- (Stable) by S&P, Baa2 (Negative) by Moody's and BBB- (Stable) by Fitch. Simply put, India is barely investment grade as per S&P and Fitch and a notch better as per Moody's. 2/11
Following are the reasons why SRs are important and why India should heed S&P's warning.

1. There is a clear correlation between bond yields/ spreads and SRs i.e. a poor SR could increase the cost of borrowings of Government as well as corporates. 3/11
Read 15 tweets
Nov 17, 2019
The Sterling Wilson debt saga

A letter from Sterling Wilson Solar Ltd. (SWSL) dated Nov 14, informing the exchanges about the extension of debt repayment deadline granted to promoters (Shapoorji Pallonji Company Pvt. Ltd. - SPCPL & K. Daruvala) has created widespread panic. 1/14
As at Aug 19, other companies of the promoters owed Rs. 2,563 crore to SWSL. SWSL, in Aug 19, was IPO bound and the promoters, in the red herring prospectus, promised to pay off the entire debt owed to SWSL, within 90 days, from the IPO proceeds. 2/14
The SWSL IPO was entirely an offer for sale i.e. the IPO was meant only to dilute the promoters' shareholding and no IPO proceeds went to SWSL. The IPO was under subscribed (92%) yet the promoters managed to raise ~Rs. 2,850 crore. 3/14
Read 18 tweets
Sep 19, 2019
Insolvency & Bankruptcy Code (IBC): The story so far

IBC was enacted in Dec 2016, with the objective of ensuring speedy resolutions of NPAs. It was hailed as one of the most landmark reforms in India. This post is an attempt to understand if this code lived up to its promise.1/9
Till June, 2019, 2162 cases have been admitted. Of these, 174 have been closed on appeal or review or settled; 101 have been withdrawn; 475 have ended in liquidation and 120 received an approval of resolution plans. 1292 cases are pending. 2/9
The 120 closed cases have yielded resolution worth ~Rs. 1,08,070 crore as against total admitted claims of ~Rs. 2,52,577 crore i.e. the recovery rate was 43%. The liquidation value of these assets was merely 23% of the claims. So, IBC yielded a better than expected recovery. 3/9
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(