Thread by @jonworth

Thanks to this from @paulmasonnews there's now a V10.2 of my #BrexitDiagram, putting chances of an early VONC lower and prioritising legislative efforts to stop No Deal

https://twitter.com/paulmasonnews/status/1164064968364478464

This makes a few changes to the outcome

- chances of a General Election slip further
- chances of No Deal increase
- chances UK demands Art 50 extension w/o clear rationale increase

While I sympathise with this thinking - that thwarting No Deal makes sense to do first, tactically - it can cause headaches later, for the EU has already granted a 6 month extension - will it just do that again, w/o an election or referendum? Not sure

There are also some minor design changes to this version, but the essence of it is the same as V10 and V10.1, just with different odds.

As ever PNG, PDF, ODS and XML on my blog:
jonworth.eu/brexit-what-ne…