#BoliviaEnCrisis
Añez is an interim president from a minority party who has appointed a partisan cabinet.
The MAS-IPSP majority had its first session last night, giving an institutional face to Evo Morales' plurality of voters.
Bolivia remains on edge.
Añez is an interim president from a minority party who has appointed a partisan cabinet.
The MAS-IPSP majority had its first session last night, giving an institutional face to Evo Morales' plurality of voters.
Bolivia remains on edge.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
Continuing risks:
Exclusion of the MAS-IPSP from the political arena.
Deadly policing by the Armed Forces.
Partisan violence in a conflict that cannot be solved by force.
Continuing risks:
Exclusion of the MAS-IPSP from the political arena.
Deadly policing by the Armed Forces.
Partisan violence in a conflict that cannot be solved by force.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
Another danger is that Añez will attempt to reshape Bolivia politically, economically, or culturally when she has zero mandate to do so.
Another danger is that Añez will attempt to reshape Bolivia politically, economically, or culturally when she has zero mandate to do so.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
The best case is that Añez delegates the election to nonpartisan technocrats and otherwise treats her mandate as a 90-day election commercial.
The best case is that Añez delegates the election to nonpartisan technocrats and otherwise treats her mandate as a 90-day election commercial.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
There are many, many worse cases.
There are many, many worse cases.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
The MAS-IPSP faces an extreme dilemma. Does it rally for Evo Morales' return (as the Delegates proposed last night) or prepare to contest the election without him.
The MAS-IPSP faces an extreme dilemma. Does it rally for Evo Morales' return (as the Delegates proposed last night) or prepare to contest the election without him.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
It's a personalistic party so it's hard to imagine not running Evo atop the ticket, but Añez's move to bar re-election has a lot of public support. No mutually agreeable legal arena.
It's a personalistic party so it's hard to imagine not running Evo atop the ticket, but Añez's move to bar re-election has a lot of public support. No mutually agreeable legal arena.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
However if the IACHR were to rule on whether reelection is a human right, that would be a nearly neutral arena. (IACHR's legitimacy substantially greater than OAS.)
However if the IACHR were to rule on whether reelection is a human right, that would be a nearly neutral arena. (IACHR's legitimacy substantially greater than OAS.)
#BoliviaEnCrisis
Big wounds within the grassroots left over the past month. However joint protests against any signs of racism or power-grabbing by the Añez government could begin to heal them.
Big wounds within the grassroots left over the past month. However joint protests against any signs of racism or power-grabbing by the Añez government could begin to heal them.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
There is a deep skepticism of politicians and the state in Bolivia's grassroots and indigenous movements, and lots of room for common ground on issues not happening at the polls.
There is a deep skepticism of politicians and the state in Bolivia's grassroots and indigenous movements, and lots of room for common ground on issues not happening at the polls.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
Carlos Mesa faces tough choices on whether to campaign to attract the radical Right or keep the center-left to center-right coalition he gathered in the October election.
Carlos Mesa faces tough choices on whether to campaign to attract the radical Right or keep the center-left to center-right coalition he gathered in the October election.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
Unclear how much unseating Evo was the political glue that held Mesa's coalition together.
Unclear how much unseating Evo was the political glue that held Mesa's coalition together.
#BoliviaEnCrisis
Overall, the past 24 hours have seen bad signs in the political arena but some lessening of violence over prior days. Still a dangerous time.
Overall, the past 24 hours have seen bad signs in the political arena but some lessening of violence over prior days. Still a dangerous time.
