1/ Ultimately, regardless of the decision on witnesses or documents, losing comes with a political cost. And spin as they might, an acquittal is a loss for Democrats.
2/ Now how the voting breaks will matter. But if Republicans hang together on all votes and the acquittal then this entire impeachment effort by Democrats will never have garnered a single Republican vote.
3/ Not retiring Republicans with no political future. No moderate Republicans Senators. Not even any Senators facing a tough re-election. That will be a stinging defeat and will have historical and narrative implications.
4/ The idea that people like Will Hurd in the House or Murkowski in the Senate voted out of fear of Trump is just a dog that won’t hunt. Then if on the final ballot Democrat Senators like Jones, Sinema or Manchin also join Republicans it’s going to be a devastating rebuke.
5/ In the final analysis, that result will not be easy to spin.

Democrats will have severly damaged themselves.

McConnell simply needs to hold the caucus together. Something Schiff and Nadler have helped him do.

#WhoTrappedWho

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More from @sethjlevy

Feb 9
Respectfully @GlennJacobsTN, what are you doing?!?

I don’t want to hear about how you think Judge Greer is wrong or how you disagree with him.

Not good enough!

You are letting a federal judge intervene in your county and do damage to our kids.

Enough is enough!

1/5
.@GlennJacobsTN it’s time to throw the weight of the county government behind non-compliance. Support any employee of your county that refuses to comply.

Left wing mayors refuse to comply with immigration laws every day!

Why are you allowing harm to our kids?!?

2/5
Force their hand. Give a speech ASAP explaining the righteousness of non-compliance with an order forcing your county to harm our children on a false premise that it is required by ADA.

You’re losing the confidence of your constituents.

We need strength not weakness!

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Feb 6
Did you know China is angling to become the owner of the world’s reserve currency? 1/5

asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…
Did you know that the core focus of the sanctions threatened by team Biden in response to a Ukraine invasion target Russian banks and are aimed at forcing a sudden devaluation of the Ruble? 2/5

nytimes.com/2022/01/29/us/…
The other target is Russian energy sales, specifically the Nordstream pipeline. 3/5

latimes.com/opinion/story/…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 3
For those of you saying that civilians near an ISIS leader deserved to die or that their death is their own fault, your knee jerk point of view is mostly a function of long term exposure to neocon political theory.
Until you know what the imminent threat was that drove the decision to launch this attack yesterday, it is impossible to know whether the killing of civilians was a worthy trade off to killing a leader of ISIS.
If the position is that killing leaders of ISIS is of such importance and value that civilian death is always an acceptable trade off then these attacks should be much more frequent.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 18
Feels like a good day to bbq! Image
So far so good! Image
Headed into the foil wrap for a bit. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 9
Pardon my French but fuck all of these people.

Not those that died. Of course. I mean the absolute hacks manipulating people’s emotions for the last year because they hated Donald Trump.

F every last one of them.
The facts are actually even more skewed than the CDC Director described. Because of those 75% of people with four comorbidities, 80% or more were ice 80 years old.

So the Covid death rate for those healthy and under 60 was basically zero. Extraordinarily small.
Because when they talk about the overall death rate, in every age bracket, they include those that were extremely ill already. Once you strip away the morbidly obese and those with four comorbidities the “true” death rate is basically zero.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 3
@SuitableAlias Here’s the better analogy.

A company has brought a product to market called vax-bestos. They claim it insulates and prevents fires. Benefits that will clearly save lives in the short term. The FDA approved this product based on short term studies.
@SuitableAlias As a result, this product has been put in buildings everywhere. One expert has concerns that there is potential that vax-bestos could cause cancer but since there are no long term studies it is impossible to know if this line voice is correct.
@SuitableAlias Instead of allowing this lone voice, an unquestioned expert in carcinology, the central authorities (Twitter) decide it is too dangerous in the short term to let people die of fires or cold and, since this sole voice may create skepticism leading to death, they ban him.
Read 5 tweets

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