How to beat the Index? From retail #investors to large fund house, everyone is trying to beat the index. It just means, making more or less similar returns to #Nifty but with lower risk. How does a retail investor can make better returns than index with lesser volatility?
Consider a year like 2008, where Nifty itself crashed more than -52% and many other mid cap and small cap stocks have lost more than 70–80% in that year alone. Any investor, who sees their fund value going down more than half, would never step back into the markets again.
Nifty Bees yearly returns since 2008. One lakh invested in the index in year 2008 would have grown to 2.3 lacs by end of 2019. But this return comes with a huge draw down of more than -52% in the year 2008
What if we can make a similar returns but with least risk, bringing down the volatility to a greater extent? Instead of investing only in Equity, if we could diversify into different asset classes, we can generate similar returns with less volatility.
So let's consider investing in Equity, Gold and Fixed Income. Let's see what's the historical returns of each asset class.
And liquid bees generates around 6% per year on an average. Combining all these instruments will generate a well diversified portfolio. Thanks to my friend @vishalmehta29 who suggested me this diversified allocation during one of our weekend discussions.
Since we have ETF for all these three asset classes, it's much easier for us to diversify. All we have to do is invest in the following ETFs 1. Nifty Bees (17.5%) 2. Nifty Junior Bees (17.5%) 3. Gold Bees (35%) 4. Liquid Bees(30%)
Consider you have 1 lac capital,
then invest Rs.17,500 in Nifty Bees,
another Rs.17,500 in Junior Bees,
Rs.35,000 in Goldbees and
Rs.30,000 in Liquidbees.
If we followed the above diversified allocation from 2008 to 2019, One lakh invested in the portfolio in year 2008 would have grown to around 2.32 lacs by end of 2019, the returns are almost same as investing in equity only, but we achieved this returns with the max risk of -10%
With investing only in #Equity, our risk exposure are very high, bringing in #Goldbees will offset some of the losses we might face during hard times in equity markets, and #liquidbees should generate fixed constant returns year after year.
Everyone wants small cap returns with large cap draw down. By following the above approach, it is much simpler for any retail investors to generate better returns with least draw down. Deatiled blog post here squareoff.in/single-post/Ho…
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Ever wondered how to combine the power of equities and gold to boost your returns while cutting down risk? I backtested a Dual Momentum Strategy using ChatGPT that returned 1221.50% over the last 14 years! Here's how you can do it too—no coding required. 🧵👇
As we know Equity and Gold are two completely uncorrelated instruments. Compared to Gold, Equity is highly volatile and prone to huge drawdowns. Mostly Gold price tend to go up when Equity corrects since investors move to safer asset like Gold.
💡 Here's the idea:
We combine Niftybees and Goldbees ETFs to create a dual momentum strategy. Simple rules:
1️⃣ Compare last 3-month returns of both ETFs.
2️⃣ If Niftybees outperforms, we invest in Niftybees.
3️⃣ If Goldbees takes the lead, we switch to Goldbees.
4️⃣ Every quarter, recheck and rebalance if needed."
One day, my 10-year-old kid asked me, "What do you really do?" He was curious, seeing me either watching Netflix or reading books most of the time, and rarely working on my laptop. "I want to understand what kind of work you do," he said.
I explained to him the basics of investing—how you invest in companies, wait for them to grow, and as they succeed, your shares increase in value, helping you build wealth over time.
Without missing a beat, he asked, "Can I invest in Roblox?" I told him, "Yes, Roblox is listed in the US markets." To make it more fun, I suggested, "Let’s create a demo account on Investopedia. You can pick 10 companies you know, and we’ll invest in them.
SEBI has released a 18 pages consultation paper related to F&O Trading, more than 78 lacs traders lost close to 50k crores in FY24, this is the major reason for SEBI's action, here's the short summary what it means and how it can impact active traders,especially Option Traders🧵
Here's the proposal from SEBI regarding index derivatives.
1. Limiting the no of strikes upto 4% with regular intervals, after increase the width of the strikes interval. Say Nifty is at 25,000, 4% of underlying is 1000, Nifty strikes will be between 24000 to 26000 - 50 interval
At the max Index can have 50 strikes only, in the above example we have close to 40 strikes, so remaining 10 strikes can be added, 5 in put and 5 in call. So below 24000 and above 26000, strike intervals will not be in 50s, it could be in 100s or 200s or 500s.
I went on a ten days family trip to Ladakh, what was suppose to be an adventure trip turned into a nightmare. If you are planning a Ladakh travel, this thread might help you in what you should expect once you land in Leh. 🧵
Many people have Ladakh trip in their bucket list mainly because of the picturesque landscape, high altitude motorable passes for bike ride. But we always wanted to go there because of low light pollution that lets you do star gazing where even Milky Way is clearly visible with naked eye.
Before we started our travel, we did a complete research about the places we wanted to cover. Nubra Valley, Pangong Lake, Tsomoriri lake, Lamayuru, Hanle. It’s hard to cover all these places in short span of time, you need minimum ten days to explore the landscapes of these places.
1 Lac invested in this stock has become 1.5 Crores in less than one year. Upon further research found a pattern in all such stocks which made a phenomenal move within short span of time, here's the detailed report 🧵
SABTNL is one such stock where stock price gained more than 20500% in less than a year. Inspite of having poor fundamentals the stock price has sky rocketed.
Fishy part is promoters have increased their stake from 22% to 60% in just one quarter. Public holdings and DII holdings decreased during the same period. Looks like an organised pump and dump play going on.
I have made close to 90 lacs profits in the last 267 trading days with my trading system. In the last 6 months made 50% net returns. Not even a single day I have interfered manually. I was in a dilemma, should I withdraw profits or continue to compound? I decided to …🧵
I decided to withdraw profits to buy a flat. If you check all my old tweets, I would have tweeted always against buying a property. What changed my mind to buy a flat instead of compounding my capital. Let me explain that.
Trading is a tough profession, market doesn’t care how intelligent you sound, end of the day if you are not disciplined enough to follow your trading system, it kicks you out. It’s not a question of does option buying works or option selling works or Greeks works?