StrykrSeven Profile picture
Mar 10, 2020 32 tweets 7 min read Read on X
This is my semi-livetweet thread of the March 10 primary contests. #GoJoeGo #WeKnowJoe #BlueTsunami
First off, Michigan exit polls already show Biden crushing it, so it might be a really early night, TBH 😉
Polls close in a few minutes in MS, MO, ND, and most of MI. Let's see how many of those states are called by the news networks immediately at 8:00 pm.
The Daily Kos site does not appear to be running a liveblog tonight. That tells me they probably expect this will be a very good night for Biden.
Minor correction: they're beginning coverage at 8:00 pm. Still, same implication. If they were excited about it, it'd already be running.
MISSISSIPPI CALLED FOR BIDEN. (not a surprise)
Missouri too early, "Biden leads".
North Dakota too early, no further implication. That means ND is going to be closer than MO. None of these are any kind of surprise.
Sanders Vote Share in 2016-->2020
MS: 17%-->??
MO: 49%-->??
ND: 64%-->??
The fact "Biden leads" in MO but not ND kind of implies Sanders will be significantly lower than 64%, with a good chance to lose outright.
BIDEN got 75% of the black vote in Missouri. HE GOT 84% OF THE BLACK VOTE IN MISSISSIPPI.
Biden also winning noncollege whites in MO by 13 points.

...NBC doesn't want to call it this early, but f**k it, I will: BIDEN WINS MISSOURI.
BIDEN WINS SENIORS (65+) IN MISSISSIPPI WITH 86%, 77% IN MISSOURI.

THIS IS HOW YOU LANDSLIDE A GENERAL ELECTION, FOLKS. #BlueTsunami
NBC finally calls MO for Biden.
None of the newscasters seem nonplussed in the slightest about the results tonight. #WordOfTheDay
So @Redistrict called it before I could because I was busy stuffing a burrito in my face, but BIDEN WINS MICHIGAN. This is monumental because it was the state that revived Sanders' campaign in 2016. This time the polls weren't wrong, it was a decisive loss for him. #BlueTsunami
NBC finally called Michigan for Biden.
ANDREW YANG ENDORSES JOE BIDEN!!!!!! That definitely wins unexpected development of the night, hands down!
#ThankYouAndrewYang
MSNBC is so bored by the results tonight that they're about to run a full-length report on the Coronavirus 😏
So this is about where we are so far:
Sanders Vote Share in 2016-->2020
MS: 17%-->15%
MO: 49%-->34%
MI: 50%-->39%
ND: 64%-->TBD
WA: 73%-->TBD
ID: 78%-->TBD
Is it just me or is anyone else REALLY impressed Biden was able to end his speech exactly FIVE SECONDS before 11:00 pm?? 😆
Washington is looking very good for Biden in the exit polls...he's winning white college grads by 16 points, and white noncollege voters by 12. Together these groups represent 80% of the WA vote.

...you know what? The theme of tonight is consistent, BIDEN WINS WASHINGTON.
Toss up, my ass. Give it some time, Washington will pull through for Biden.
Biden's currently leading in Idaho, that's pretty cool...Sanders won it with 78% last time.
Check out this visual...Biden has won 3 and TOO EARLY to call in the other 3. That TOO EARLY distinction is important because the exit polls currently do not suggest they will be CLOSE, but that enough actual results haven’t come in yet to “declare” a winner (i.e. Biden in all 3) Image
Given Biden’s currently ahead by 10 pts in ID, evenly matched in WA, & trailing by 13 in ND, there’s a real chance Biden will come out of tonight with victories in every state except ND...he might battle to basically even in ND, which I’d count as close enough to a clean sweep 🤓
I got distracted and didn't notice they've moved Washington to TOO CLOSE to call. Not the development I'd hoped for, but Biden's chances are still pretty good.
It looks like Washington results have slowed to a crawl with only a few thousand votes separating Biden and Sanders. I presume that means it's pointless to hope for a resolution tonight, so I guess I'll assume Biden won and go to bed 😏
I'm watching NDakota with interest, though. Sanders started out up by 15 or so and it's closed to about 10 points now. It's worth noting he got 64% of the vote in 2016, but only seems to be pulling about 45% now. If Sanders wins the state, it's unlikely he'll even get a majority.
(and it's very plausible North Dakota could be the only state Sanders wins at all tonight) #GoJoe
OH WOW, SANDERS SLIPPED BELOW 15% THRESHOLD FOR DELEGATES IN MISSISSIPPI. BIDEN ABSOLUTELY CLEANED UP THERE TONIGHT!
A rather interesting set of developments from this primary season...we learned caucuses are a F**KING TERRIBLE electoral system, sure. But much more interesting is that early voting itself ALSO results in anti-democratic outcomes in our presidential primaries! #ElectionReform
Update as of about 1:00 a.m., Mar 11
Sanders Vote Share 2016-->2020
MS: 17%-->15%
MO: 49%-->35%
MI: 50%-->38%
ND: 64%-->45%
WA: 73%-->33%
ID: 78%-->42%
#DemocraticUnity #WeKnowJoe #BlueTsunami

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with StrykrSeven

StrykrSeven Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @StrykrSeven

Sep 25, 2020
OK...so now that Donald Trump has expressly refused to commit to a peaceful transfer of power should he lose the election to Joe Biden (𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭), some things now need to be said very clearly.
(thread)
1 First of all, when the sitting US President (chief of the entire military) threatens to not leave office 𝘱𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘦𝘧𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘺 should we vote him out, we're not talking abt a scathing editorial in the NY Times here.
It means people are going to die. 𝘏𝘪𝘴 𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘦𝘴. 𝙐𝙨.
2 𝗗𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗺𝗽 𝗶𝘀 𝗴𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗼 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗲. I assert this truth not bc of wishful thinking, personal jealousy, nor junkie desire for another hit off the ORANGE MAN BAD pipe.
Far from being "intoxicated with liberal outrage", I have never been more sober in my life.
Read 19 tweets
Jul 30, 2020
I’ll just say this for posterity, it won’t be a popular opinion today but there’s no ambiguity here:

I expect @JoeBiden will pick @GovMLG for VP.

1) I’ll be *SURPRISED* if he doesn’t pick her, but
2) I’ll be *DISAPPOINTED IN HIM* if he picks @KamalaHarris.

[Final 7.30.20]
The ultimate strategic electoral contrast between these two:

@GovMLG: “woman of color” to voters who care about that kind of thing; “white woman” to those who don’t.

@KamalaHarris: “woman of color” to voters who don’t care she’s not white; “black woman” to those who do. ImageImage
Part 3 — I will even go a step further:
I expect that IF @JoeBiden selects a black woman for VP, it WILL be @AmbassadorRice.
7/31/2020

I’m excited to see in about a week whether these predictions held up, stay tuned! Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 8, 2020
If you’re wearing a mask in public to avoid catching #COVID, your NOSE is more important to cover than your closed mouth if your mask doesn’t cover both.
Obviously, what you should do is get a better mask, but your nose is a hole that is always open. Your mouth has a natural shield that closes, called your lips.
I mean, it’s nice that you’re considerate enough to cover your mouth to show others you don’t want to spread it, but if you really want to avoid contracting it, cover all parts of your face that suck in air.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 6, 2020
And now...a VP pitch you haven’t heard before!!
NM Gov Michelle Lujan Grisham would be a very capable & competent chief exec & partner to @JoeBiden. She’d reflect our ethnic/gender diversity as modern Dems & Americans. ... Image
Gov. Lujan Grisham has a demonstrated ability to speak to the entire political spectrum (i.e. all the way from the liberal socialist Dems to conservative anti-Trump Repubs).

She’s a trusted, catastrophe-tested, battle hardened, just plain likable leader of diverse Americans. Image
And most importantly, Gov. Lujan Grisham’s broad appeal, soothing charm, and political skill provides us the real chance to retain the White House & just as importantly, DEFEND THE FRAGILE SENATE MAJORITY THAT WILL ALLOW US TO REMAKE THE ENTIRE FEDERAL JUDICIARY.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 29, 2020
I used to think of myself as a strong liberal. But reality is not like that. Now I’m something else.
[thread]
2/ That’s based on what general policy outcomes I would consider ideal if we had unlimited support and resources. In a better world I would have supported Bernie Sanders.
3/ The more time I spent on “liberal” news sites, the more I came to realize that preaching for progress was meaningless if you refused to help actually get anything done.
If outrage was your goal, progress was not.
Read 12 tweets
Jun 29, 2020
(thread)There’s clearly a big push at the moment to properly acknowledge people of color in entertainment being passed over for white actors.
I understand the need for characters like Apu (Simpsons) to be retired or recast, as they are, at kindest, a caricature of a race...
but please let’s think about how unhelpful decisions like Kristen Bell’s are, to drop from a production like “Central Park” already a season in, because she is white, voicing a biracial character.
Cynical explanations aside, how is it helpful or inclusive to viewers to say it’s not ok for someone who is (presumably) 95%+ white to earnestly voice a character who is by design approximately 50% white? The character is not Apu. It’s a normal girl, living in New York.
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(