👉Review the business of companies you are holding
👉Check whether your company will survive after few weeks of lockdown/slowdown in the country
👉Check post impact on the sector your company is into.
👉 Check the domestic/International exposure of your company
👉Companies mostly into Domestic business will make a fast Comeback than companies having international exposure
👉 Companies with good cash on books will revive faster than companies with debt
👉1st Sectors like FMCG, Chemicals & Pharma will Survive & Thrive with fastest pace after current slowdown
👉2nd Consumer discretionary will Revive & Thrive
👉3rd Service sectors like Airlines, Travel & Hotels will revive & thrive as per their business model
👉 Last we need to check business model of each company we are holding
👉 Sell companies which would struggle to survive or revive after this slowdown
👉 Buy/Average down companies which would would survive/revive/thrive after this slowdown
🟢Indian domestic textile & apparel market is estimated around $120 Billion in 2020 & it is expected to grow with 12% CAGR to reach at $220 by 2025
🟢India holds 4% share in global apparel market & it is one of the fastest growing market till 2025
1/n
Textile Theme🧵 🇮🇳
🟢Indian textile industry is 2nd largest after agriculture & employs over 45 Mln. people
🟢EU-28 & USA are major export destinations which has gained further traction after dynamics got changed in 2020
🟢FTA with EU will be a big boon for this sector
2/n
Textile Theme🧵 🇮🇳
🟢India's per capita denim & apparel consumption is significantly lower than world's avg.
🟢With changing lifestyles & rising income it is expected to rise significantly from here
🟢Share of Branded products will rise significantly going forward
🔵There are 2 types of price patterns in Technical Analysis
1️⃣Continuation:
It occurs when the trend continues in its existing direction following by a pause in ST
2️⃣Reversal:
It occurs when a price pattern signals a change in trend direction
1/n
Price Patterns Simplified📒
Continuation Patterns📈
🔵There are 3 common CP...
1️⃣Pennants—It is made using two converging trendlines
2️⃣Flags-It is drawn with two parallel trendlines
3️⃣Wedges-It is made with two converging trendlines, where both are angled either up or down
2/n
Price Patterns Simplified📒
Continuation Patterns📈
4️⃣Triangles
Its a pattern depicted by drawing trendlines along a converging price range
5️⃣Cup & Handle
Its is a bullish continuation pattern where an upward trend has paused & starts rising again after BO
Consumption - FMCG 🛒
🔵India's FMCG sector is estimated around $100 B in 2020
🔵Urban markets with a population share of 35% are driving 65% consumption in FMCG sector
🔵Rural markets with a population share of 65% are contributing 35% in FMCG sector
1/n
Rural India Theme 🇮🇳
FMCG 🛒
🔵Rural India FMCG market is estimated around $35B & it is expected to reach $200B by 2025
🔵Rising income, more nuclear families & changing lifestyle are the factors to drive the growth
🔵Its a big opportunity for FMCG players to tap into
2/n
Rural India Theme 🇮🇳
FMCG 🛒
🔵To grab the larger pie out this market FMCG players have started taking lot of initiatives & expanding their business in rural areas
🔵ITC has doubled its rural penetration last year
🔵Emami also added many new distributors in rural markets
Seeds 🌱
🔵Indian seed market is estimated around $4.5 Billion in 2020 & it is expected to grow with 13% CAGR to reach $9 Billion by 2024—25
🔵India contributes around 4% in Global seed market which lead by US & China with more than 65% market share
1/n
🇮🇳 Agriculture theme🌾
Seeds 🌱
🔵India's seed market has grown by 12% in last 5 years v/s 7% growth in global seed market
🔵Seed market is dominated by grains with more than 50% market share
🔵Cotton leads the seeds market with 20% share followed by maize with 15% share
2/n
🇮🇳Agriculture theme🌾
Seeds🌱
🔵With increasing awareness farmers have now started using better seeds to yield good production of crops
🔵With growing production there is immense potential & opportunity for India to increase its share in $70 Billion seeds market 🌍
Agrochemicals🧪🌱🌿
🔵India is 4th largest producer of agrochemicals in the world with an estimated market of $4.5B & it is expected to reach $8.5B by 2025.
🔵Avg. consumption of pesticides in India is 0.65gm/ha versus global avg of 3 kg/ha.
1/n
Agrochemicals🧪🌱
🔵Pesticides market is dominated by insecticides with more than 50% market share followed by Herbicides with 24% & fungicides with 18% market share.
🔵Herbicides segment is leading the growth due to increased awareness amongst farmers about its benefits.
2/n
Agrochemicals 🧪 🌱
🔵Insecticides kills the insects, Herbicides helps in growth of plant while fungicides helps in preventing fungus growth on plant leaves
🔵With increased awareness farmers have started using it to yield better production & to grow their income
Fertilizers & Nutrients 🌱🌿
🔵Fertilizers market in India is estimated around INR 6 Trillon
🔵It is expected to reach INR 11 Trillon by 2025 with a CAGR growth of 11—12%
🔵India is second largest consumer of fertilizers in the World 🌍
1/n
Agriculture theme🌾
🔵Coromandel, NFL & Chambel are the leading players of fertilizer industry in India
🔵We have witnessed good growth in fertilizers usage yet India's fertilizer consumption is lower than developed & emerging countries which is expected to pick up gng fwd.
2/n
Agriculture theme 🌾
🔵Urea is one of the highest consumed fertilizer in the country as a source of Nitrogen
🔵DAP is the 2nd most consumed fertilizer in the country as source to increase Soil's PH
🔵Nutrients are the other source which a plant need for better fertility