1/ I kept tweeting the last few weeks that spreading panic - instead of facts - about Coronavirus in addition to extreme lockdowns, will lead to angst, panic and suicides (and a stressed healthcare system too). The results are incoming, as my next tweets show. But before we start
2/ What defines spreading panic? Example:
A) Saying that 50% of the population will get Coronavirus in a year and that 2% - 3% of them will die. In the US this means 3.3 mill to 4.9 mill deaths in one year. No country/region has anywhere close to both those dark numbers at once.
A) Saying that 50% of the population will get Coronavirus in a year and that 2% - 3% of them will die. In the US this means 3.3 mill to 4.9 mill deaths in one year. No country/region has anywhere close to both those dark numbers at once.
“Both those dark numbers” as in 50% of the pop infected and also a 2% - 3% Case Fatally Rate (CFR). Italy at this point has 7,500 deaths which is a high CFR of 10% but 99.8% of the country does not have the virus. If a huge portion in Italy does have the virus, then the death
4/ rate at this time is less than 0.10%!
SE cup tweeted yesterday that we are risking 8 million Americans.
B) Focusing on the worst of headlines/countries spreads panic. Why focus only on Italy and in a an inaccurate way?
C) Spreading panic means pushing for the most extreme
SE cup tweeted yesterday that we are risking 8 million Americans.
B) Focusing on the worst of headlines/countries spreads panic. Why focus only on Italy and in a an inaccurate way?
C) Spreading panic means pushing for the most extreme
5/ and sudden lockdowns rather than to focus on slowdowns, hygiene or measured lockdowns?
D) “We can’t put a dollar amount on life. We can’t put the stock market over life.” This tries to explain away rapid lockdowns without factoring that an economic meltdown has a HUMAN cost!
D) “We can’t put a dollar amount on life. We can’t put the stock market over life.” This tries to explain away rapid lockdowns without factoring that an economic meltdown has a HUMAN cost!
“Isolation and anxiety over the coronavirus pandemic are taking a toll, with calls to a National Suicide Prevention Hotline call center rising 300%. Other suicide prevention services... also have seen spikes in calls. - 3/25/20 miamiherald.com/news/coronavir…
cc @secupp @ScottGottliebMD
cc @secupp @ScottGottliebMD
“Italian nurse, 34, kills herself after testing positive for coronavirus and worrying she had infected others.” - 3/25/20 dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8…
“Two youths committed suicide over suspicion that they were infected.” 3/23/20 deccanherald.com/national/north…
“Two youths committed suicide over suspicion that they were infected.” 3/23/20 deccanherald.com/national/north…
8/ A British teen petrified of being isolated with the coronavirus died following a suicide attempt... She warned relatives she was unable to deal with ‘her world closing in, plans being canceled and being stuck inside’.” - 3/25/20 nypost.com/2020/03/25/bri…
cc #LockdownGovernors
cc #LockdownGovernors
9/ Days ago, Trump started warning about suicides. Media outlets such as AP and ABC “fact checked” him rather than agreeing that it is an issue that leaders need to take into account. ‘The cost of doing nothing on Corona can cost 2.2 mil lives’ (ABC).
No one sane says do 0!
No one sane says do 0!
10/ 🚨 @PortlandPolice reports that calls to the suicide hotline is up 23% in the ten days since the state of emergency. Folks, this is before sharper lockdowns were in force and this is before millions are without jobs (for a while).
cc @GovMurphy
cc @GovMurphy
11/ Please follow the #StayHome and hygiene orders because hospitals can snap with only a few thousand severe cases at once. The stress on hospitals is EXACTLY why spreading angst/panic is BAD. Freaked masses are stressing EMS, doctors & ERs at a time when they need less stress.
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