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Apr 14, 2020 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
QUESTION: Mexico's #drugcartels are serious threats to U.S. #NationalSecurity. So, what are the main implications of #COVID19 on Mexico’s drug trade; particularly on Mexican cartels? We asked @GCorreaCabrera Ph.D. Assoc. Professor @ScharSchool. Follow this thread for the answer. Image
ANSWER: "Some security experts and other analysts foresee a rapid adjustment of Mexican drug cartels to the new market conditions, alleging that these groups are willing to take enormous risks and
normally adapt successfully to adverse circumstances by taking advantage of existing opportunities. Without considering other factors, some pose positive scenarios for drug trafficking organizations, alleging that these enterprises will transform and diversify their activities,
while generating higher levels of violence, crime and instability. Notwithstanding the opportunities that some perceive for Mexican cartels, as a matter of fact, they are illicit transnational enterprises whose business performance will be determined by...
the laws of supply and demand in international drug markets. In the era of the COVID-19 pandemic, we anticipate a very severe decline of the economies in all countries of the world.
This economic catastrophe will not discriminate between formal/informal, licit/illicit businesses. The big economic loses that drug trafficking organizations will suffer in this context, might lead them to look for alternative markets.
This will further a brutal confrontation among them for access to fewer and smaller markets in an era of crisis. We could then expect higher levels of violence due to much greater competition among the cartels."
You can learn more about @GCorreaCabrera's work here: schar.gmu.edu/about/faculty-…
If you have a question about national security, follow @NatSecAnswers, send us your question and we'll get the answer. @DEAHQ @ScharSchool @DHSgov Image

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More from @NatSecAnswers

Jul 8, 2021
QUESTION: What should the Biden administration do about growing frustration from the public over #Kremlin-sponsored cyberattacks on the US? We asked @natsec09 what he’s learned about this. Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: An Intelligence source tells me, "yes, @JoeBiden is facing pressure from pundits and politicos across the country to do something public to show he's punishing Russia for its attacks. But, embarrass Putin publicly, then what?"
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Apr 5, 2021
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Mar 30, 2021
QUESTION: How did the recent #Suezblockage impact global security? We asked Brandon Fried @AfAExecDirector. Follow this thread for the answer.
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Dec 28, 2020
QUESTION: Authorities have identified the person believed to be responsible for the massive suicide blast in #Nashville on Christmas Day 2020 as, 63 year old, Anthony Quinn Warner. What was his motive? We asked @stick631 - Follow this thread for the answer.
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QUESTION: How has President Donald Trump's firing of top national security officials impacted the intelligence community and the safety & security of the country? We asked Former Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence @suemgordon22. Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: “To begin, there is some overriding good news. The strength of the intelligence and national security communities lies in the expertise, ethos, and tradecraft of the women and men who serve.
Bureaucracies have downsides, but they have the upside of inherent stability over time. That said, leadership matters; and leadership during times of challenge and change matters a lot.
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QUESTION: President Donald Trump's knowledge of US secrets and his debt may make him and others targets of foreign spies. We asked @LarryPfeifferDC of the @mvhaydencenter, how significant is this threat? Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: "There’s been a bit of discussion in the media about how the large debt President Donald Trump carries into his post-presidency presents a significant security risk. What’s not discussed is the potential risks posed by those in his inner circle.
This is a president who has demanded loyalty above all—those who remain in his inner circle after 4 years are family and others undoubtedly the most loyal. If President Trump were predisposed to reveal classified or other sensitive US government information to foreign
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