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The global response to #COVID19 has stalled over a question of scheduling:

When should there be a review of national and international responses to pandemic, including @WHO’s actions?

Thread cc: @ForeignAffairs & @CFR_org 1/

foreignaffairs.com/articles/china…
The US wants review now.

It has blocked actions at G20, G7, and put a hold to US funding to @WHO. It wants accountability for virus’s origins, for China’s behavior, and for WHO handling of the pandemic 2/ theguardian.com/world/2020/apr…
Australia also wants review now 3/
The UN and WHO want review later 4/
who.int/dg/speeches/de…
China too:
5/
The desire to keep the focus on the pandemic ravaging poor and wealthy nations alike is understandable,

but here's why @D_P_Fidler & I think that UN/WHO should seize initiative to launch a credible independent review now 6/
foreignaffairs.com/articles/china…
(a) Delaying independent review isn't fostering solidarity and it is jeopardizing needed progress at G7, G20 +other global institutions

Progress on global economic recovery, organizing for eventual equitable deployment of #COVID19 drugs/vaccines, removing export bans on PPE 7/
(b) Refusing to establish a credible interim independent review process at UN only cedes the initiative to state actors, which may have dubious motives for organizing their own reviews and setting terms 8/

apps.who.int/gb/ebwha/pdf_f…
(c) A credible, science-based interim independent review process can improve pandemic response both now and in the future. See e.g., 9/

apps.who.int/gb/ebwha/pdf_f…
(d) It will also call the bluff of the nations bullying @WHO to back up their rhetoric with evidence and credible reform proposals. That may be first step toward a more cooperative international approach.

If there was ever a need for coordinated global action, it is now 10/
For more, please read the new @ForeignAffairs essay on this topic, via @D_P_Fidler and me 11/11

foreignaffairs.com/articles/china…
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Tom Bollyky
@TomBollyky
Trump announces hold on WHO funding, blaming it for a “20-fold” increase in #COVID19 cases worldwide

@JeremyKonyndyk and I outlined earlier today in @washingtonpost the many reasons why this is wrong and a really dumb idea amid a pandemic @CFR_org 1/ washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/0…
On 1/23, @WHO held news conference, confirming a basic picture of #SARS2CoV that holds up reasonably well today:

- a novel coronavirus spreading person to person
- more transmissible than the seasonal flu and
- 40 times deadlier, with an estimated fatality rate of 4%

2/
Japan, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan all looked at that same @WHO info and triggered immediate action while the United States did not

WHO is far from a perfect institution, but it is hardly responsible for the slow U.S. response to this crisis 3/
Read 10 tweets
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Tom Bollyky
@TomBollyky
Blaming the @WHO for a 'faulty' recommendation on travel bans on #COVID19 that White House ignored is odd.

It also does not correspond with the evidence Thread 1/
Travel bans neither stopped the spread of this novel #coronavirus nor prevented it from becoming a pandemic.

This is latest update our @ThinkGlobalHlth tracker of #COVID19 cases in countries with travel restrictions on China (red) & countries without such restrictions (blue) 2/
96 countries and territories imposed travel restrictions on China due to #COVID19. The median duration was 66 days. Most frequently seen duration has been 68 days 3/
thinkglobalhealth.org/article/tracki…
Read 12 tweets
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Tom Bollyky
@TomBollyky
In this thread, I am going to try to answer some of the great questions that we’ve gotten on our @ThinkGlobalHlth tracker of #COVID19 in countries with & without travel bans 1/
If I don’t get to your question, there is a good chance it can be answered by reading the @ThinkGlobalHlth post itself, which identifies sources, methodology used, and limitations 2/
thinkglobalhealth.org/article/tracki…
Great question. The chart actually includes this. Countries with bans are indexed, showing cumulative growth in reported #COVID19 cases since the day that each country imposed its first travel restriction 3/
Read 6 tweets

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