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Remarkable moment from Sir Ian Diamond (ONS Chief Statistician) when he says govt officials think R has gone up a little as a result of the situation in care homes.

Raab still insisting R down “overall” but that’s quite a revelation...
"It's probably gone up just a little bit from these last estimates and that is driven by the epidemic in care homes... That is a real challenge to reduce the epidemic in care homes."
consider how bad the situation has to be in care homes to push the nation’s overall R up. No surprise when looking at their excess deaths as we did on @BBCNewsnight earlier in the week. Up 282% in the last week for which we have data.
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Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
Can confirm that a hotel with basically just you in it is far less fun than you might think.
In the Manchester Hilton, no one can hear you scream
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Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
Failsworth Independents in Oldham stocking up for their daily deliveries to vulnerable people. They’ve started a weekly fish and chip run. Last week they found an old lady who lives on her own sat waiting for them, saying the thought of it had got her through another week alone.
Sometimes, even the smallest things can make a huge difference for our elderly.
One of the gentleman the group visited was Eric. He’s been a widow and lived alone since 1996. He’s shielding as he’s in a high risk group. He says without the food parcels and five mins of company the deliverer provides “I don’t know what would have happened to me.”
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Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
NEW: @ONS data says that deaths in week 18 are down 4044 compared to week 17.

Good news. But our excess deaths are still way up-80% above normal in England and Wales. Not all of that is officially related to #covid19.
Total care home death (from all causes) fell in well 18- down 1502 to 6409.

But deaths from #covid19 as a proportion of all deaths in care homes has actually gone up- 37.8% compared with 35.3% in Week 17.
One group which can’t be furloughed but wants to be is sick carers. That’s because they don’t have full sick pay. Would cost govt a tiny fraction of furlough scheme and could have a public health benefit by reducing infected workers going into care homes
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