Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 12, 2020 5 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
NEW: #ISIS in the #Philippines - 300-500 members in the south, per @DoD_IG report on Operation Pacific Eagle–Philippines

"There was no significant change in the reported strength, capabilities, territory or leadership of the Philippine ISIS affiliates" - acting IG Sean O'Donnell
.@USEmbassyPH warned in April #COVID19 #coronavirus was placing "significant operational constraints" the #Philippine military "which would limit its ability to deter terrorist operations as the AFP shifts its limited resources to supporting public health efforts" per @DoD_IG
#ISIS-Philippines led for now by Hatib Sawadjaan, who took the role following the group's defeat in #Marawi in September 2017

But US assesses Sawadjaan's hold on power is tenuous & ISIS is "divided among several factions & lacking an overall leader" @DeptofDefense told @DoD_IG
Per @INDOPACOM, #ISIS-#Philippines includes: Abu Sayyaf Group, Esmael faction of the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters, the Maute Group & Ansar Khalifah

All remain "geographically separated & likely had minimal direct contact with one another" @DefenseIntel told @DoD_IG
.@DefenseIntel tells @DoD_IG there's no significant flow of #foreignfighters to #Philippines but report warns "Indonesian & Malaysian terrorists likely continue to view the southern Philippines as an attractive destination to escape counterterrorism pressure"

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More from @jseldin

Jun 5
NEW: US targeting #Russia|n-linked destabilization/influence campaigns in #Moldova

@USTreasury sanctioning 7 individuals, 1 entity, all linked to #Russia|n intelligence ImageImageImage
Per @USTreasury, those sanctioned include:

-Konstantin Prokopyevich Sapozhnikov, the leader of the malign influence group who organized a plot to destabilize the #Moldova|N gvt earlier this year

-Yury Yuryevich Makolov, who helped w/logistical support for the plot
Per @USTreasury, those sanctioned include:

-Gleb Maksimovich Khloponin, who gathered info/intel for the plot to destabilize the #Moldova|N gvt

-Svetlana Andreyevna Boyko, a member of the malign influence group who helped with budgeting for the destabilization plot
Read 6 tweets
Jun 5
NEW: #China's leads world in high-impact research in 19 of 23 technologies, per new analysis by @ASPI_org

Analysis indicates #Biejing has a "commanding lead in #hypersonics, electronic warfare and in key undersea capabilities"
"In #hypersonics, undersea capabilities and electronic warfare, #China’s leads are so emphatic they create a significant risk that China might dominate future technological breakthroughs in these areas" per @ASPI_org
Also, "for some technologies, such as autonomous underwater vehicles, almost all of the leading research institutions are based in #China, where they generate nine times more high-impact research papers than their closest competitors in the #UnitedStates" per @ASPI_org
Read 6 tweets
Jun 2
US, #SouthKorea sounding the alarm -again- about #NorthKorea|n #cyber actors targeting think tanks, academia & the media

@NSAGov @FBI & ROK intel services say they are seeing sustained info gathering/spearphishing efforts from #DPRK impersonators

1/x
The main #DPRK threat is coming from #cyber actors known as Kimsuky, THALLIU or VELVETCHOLLIMA

"...strategically impersonating legitimate sources to collect intelligence on geopolitical events, foreign policy strategies & security developments" per @NSA_CSDirector Rob Joyce
Per a joint #cyber advisory, the spearphishing efforts "provides the [#NorthKorea|n] regime with broad intelligence collection and espionage capabilities"
Read 6 tweets
Jun 2
NEW: US does not planning bigger nuclear arsenal to dter #Russia #China Nat'l Security Adviser @JakeSullivan46 tells #ACA2023

"The United States does not need to increase our nuclear forces to outnumber the combined total of our competitors in order to successfully deter them"
"Nor does the United States need to deploy ever more dangerous nuclear weapons to maintain deterrence" vs #Russia, #China, per @JakeSullivan46

"Effective deterrence means that we have a better approach not a more approach"
"We believe in the current context, we have the number and type of capabilities today that we need' to deter #Russia, #China per @JakeSullivan46

But he adds the US is preparing to ensure deterrence in the future, too
Read 11 tweets
May 31
NEW: #ArtificialIntelligence-""I would look at #AI as yet anoher flavor of technology that has to be built w/security upfront, safety upfront" @CISAJen tells @axios News Shapers

"We have to be able to leverage the power of imagination & avoid the failure of imagination..."
"If you actually think that these [#ArtificialIntelligence] capabilities can lead to the extinction of humanity, well, let's come together & do something about it" per @CISAJen
On #AI - "We aren't having discussions" warns @CISAJen

To the signers of the recent letter warning AI can lead to extinction, she says "while we're trying to put a regulatory framework in place, think about self-regulation. Think about what you can do to slow this down"
Read 5 tweets
May 30
#FISA Section 702 "has been vital to countering these threats" from terrorists, #cyberattacks, espionage, WMD, @StateDept's Assistant Secretary for @StateINR
Brett Holmgren tells @CSIS
But @StateINR's Holmgren adds #FISA Section 702 "doesn't just help defend & protect US interests. It is essential to advancing & promoting US interests in the world"
"It is hard to overstate the centrality of [FISA] 702 collection to providing the secretary of state & US diplomats w/objective, timely intelligence & analysis & information, from assessments on #Russia, #China, #Iran & #NorthKorea to foreign influence" per @StateINR's Holmgren
Read 10 tweets

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