Neil Shah Profile picture
May 19, 2020 29 tweets 24 min read Read on X
Hello e-Shenzhen!

This Huawei Analyst Summit is going to be interesting.

On one end @Huawei will be educating the world on its latest/greatest tech for 2020 and beyond and

on the other end US looks to disrupt the party and destroy the company in 2020 and beyond.

#HAS2020 Image
@Huawei had solid 2019 for its smartphone business despite sanctions, thanks to growing domestic support and sales activity.

However, a small typo in the slide - The CBG Revenue climbed to US$467.3 Billion

//Should be CNY not US$ // Image
@HuaweiMobile continues their HMS and 1+8+N IoT strategy to drive connected experiences powered by a single platform.

This homogeneity is designed to offer significant scale for developers, Huawei and component suppliers.

#HAS2020 Image
With US stranglehold, losing access to Google Mobile Services (GMS), Huawei wants to scale its services revenues outside China via HMS as foundation.

Not going to be easy unless its opened to and (coerced to) be adopted by the other three big Chinese brands.

#HAS2020 Image
@Huawei shares some metrics on HMS:

Huawei 650M MAUs
Registered Devs : 1.4M
HMS Core Designed Apps: 60K up +67% Y/Y

Good growth but on a smaller base.

Though key metric needed is what % Devs are active, % of MAUs & % of HMS Core apps are of outside China

#HAS2020 Image
Privacy is the hottest topic attached to Huawei and it wants to address on the privacy & security certification for HMS-centric data.

Good to address the elephant in the room.

#HAS2020 Image
Lot of focus on #security and #privacy from app certification on the Huawei App store to component system level security

#HAS2020 ImageImage
More security and openness baked in HMS Core 4.0.

Interesting Dev SDK Kit library to drive deep feature integration within the apps. Security becomes even more critical now when devs have access this deep. Would love to understand how Huawei sandboxes the data.

#HAS2020 Image
@HuaweiMobile is also adding but software, hardware and content level security and free DRM services

#HAS2020 Image
@Huawei also pushing for cross-device distributed architecture for cross-device connectivity for seamlessly sharing, hopping and capabilities

This all need a strong cloud and AI capability to ensure seamlessness. Huawei nicely leveraging its vertical AI/Cloud infra.

#HAS2020 Image
@Huawei claiming 1/10th latency for its cross-device casting service Cast+ vs Apple AirPlay.

Will be interesting to see the Cast+ capability adoption in multiple devices in coming years to make it successful.

#HAS2020 Image
Analyst Q&A.

"Huawei wants to be a hardware & platform company."

The intention is to license/offer platform & different SDK Kits to other hardware partners and form a more robust ecosystem beyond first-party hardware.

#HAS2020
Talking about @Huawei_Cloud biz:

Building a broader ecosystem of partnerships across the value chain.

Huawei Cloud Marketplace is worth a look at and when you add IoT into the mix, even more mature.

#DigitalTransformation #HAS2020 Image
@Huawei_Cloud is one of the most comprehensive Cloud Platform you can get - breadth, depth and number of services powering key telcos, millions of developers across China & beyond.

Quite vertically integrated as well - chip to cloud.

#DigitalTransformation #HAS2020 Image
Took more than eight years for @Huawei to build the entire vertically integrated @Huawei_Cloud stack architecture, called as "QingTian".

Cases:

SHAREit app: Saw 30% reduction in costs
Changhong OEM: 35% decline in analytics processing time.

#HAS2020 #BigData #CloudComputing Image
In China, IoT is now called "AIoT" which is AI + IoT:

Big names and IoT benefits by adopting Huawei full-stack AIoT Cloud (Ocean Connect) from edge to cloud.

@GroupePSA : 7 Million Cars connected
DHL: 🔻40% Warehouse Efficiency / 🔻60% lower labor costs Image
Best use-case for Cloud+IoT+AI : "Saving Lives"

AI powered Medical Digital Twins to combat #COVID19

✔️Great efficiencies for virus genome detection from hrs to mins
✔️CT Scan digitized in secs for visual insights
✔️Drug effect simulation with AI from mnths to mins

#HAS2020 Image
Big blow: US government extends further ban on Huawei:

❌ Banning US apps from publishing on Huawei App Gallery,
❌Any Chinese apps & hooks to Chinese Clouds (BATH) won't be allowed on any app stores
❌Refrain from using Chinese under sea cables.

state.gov/announcing-the…
5G Module prices to go down moving forward as we have seen with NB-IoT & LTE Cat-1 which will drive broader IoT applications, thanks to the Chinese vendors driving the prices down with scale supported by @Qualcomm @Huawei @MediaTek chipsets

counterpointresearch.com/quectel-widens…

#HWMBBF Image
Tuning into @Huawei Global Analyst Summit 2021

Huawei has listed some key overarching goals for a & challenges to be overcome for achieving those.

Key Pillars which will dictate the future of communication networks:

ℹ️ Information
🥪Matter
🌅Energy

#HAS2021 Image
@Huawei outlined nine different challenges from Advanced Computing to
Industrial AI to
Denser Storage to
Hyper Reality to
Autonomous Networks, etc..

@Huawei strategy is to fund this growth as follows:

🎓Academic fynding
🤑VC Mindset
✌️M&A
💰CAP investments

#HAS2021 Image
@Huawei spent $110 Billion+ spent in last 10 years & to continue to invest tons of 💲 in R&D

However, the most important question is where Huawei is going to spend in the light of the US sanctions which decimated the smartphone biz!

The strategy showcases where!

#HAS2021 ImageImage
Hypothesis:

✔️Huawei will look a very diff org in next five years

✔️Huawei is pivoting to be a "Software+Services" Co. + some diversified "Intelligent Hardware" to support the AI+Cloud capabilities

✔️Huawei will look more like Google+Ericsson combined

#HAS2021 Image
Hypothesis (contd)

@Huawei will look to build a "Google" like software and services ecosystem (horizontal strategy)

💥Connected Things (1+8N+Car) = Harmony OS + HMS (Like Android)

💥Autonomous Mobility = Harmony OS + Intelligent ADAS platform (like Waymo)

#HAS2021 Image
Hypothesis (contd)

@Huawei is pivoting to S&S strategy - key reasons being:

✔️Reduce reliance on advanced semiconductors (mostly non-China)
✔️Invest in more meaningful horizontal "high margin" experiences - AI + Cloud + XR + 5G & build IP arsenal

#HAS2021 Image
Will be interesting to see how @Huawei can develop a cutting edge ADAS software, IP to compete with Waymo & others as they have years of experience and learning curve compared to Huawei.

Maybe M&A would be one way to get up to speed.

#HAS2021 Image
📶 @Huawei (Hisilicon) did a great job to build and boost the NB-IoT ecosystem in China & @Qualcomm @AltairSemi driving the demand outside China.

@Quectel_IoT has been the key IoT module vendor globally.

🗼100+ NB-IoT n/ws now deployed globally.

#HAS2021 Image
@Huawei envisioning completely end-to-end "Services" overhaul to significantly boost ARPU, reduce OPEX in the 5G Era

Services: Evolution ➡️ Agility ➡️ Prosperity

Key Drivers:

#Cloudification
#Openness
#Partnerships

#HAS2021 Image
Asi mentioned in Hypothesis, @Huawei's software ambitions & progress from devices to networks to cloud is often overlooked.

5G & Cloudification further boosts the software & services business. Growing % of revenues coming outside China.

#HAS2021 Image

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@realmemobiles was the fastest-growing (+65% YoY) smartphone brand globally in 2020 and the one to watch out for.

India & Europe bright spots for Realme.

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The world's second-largest smartphone market India crossed 150 million shipments in 2020.

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A great growth story for @Apple in India which is going to be one of the key market this decade

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@Huawei at #HDC2019 announced its foray into its own OS platform built ground-up called Harmony OS (HongMeng in Chinese)

1/ Harmony OS is microkernel based and cross-device which makes it promising and similar to what Google is trying with Fuchsia OS.
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The distributed bus architecture makes this possible and compatibility with different apps - HTML5, Android, Linux and so forth
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Not surprising re: Apple slowdown:

1/ China smartphone market slowed down Oct-Dec, but this is small part of issue. New iPhone Xs series from design standpoint is commonplace vs competition & super expensive with base iPhone Xs 64GB starts at ~US$1250

apple.com/newsroom/2019/…
2/ China smartphone market demand is expected to decline `9-11% but Apple iPhones is poised to decline 15-17% YoY in 2018, hence its market share will slip in 2018.

This highlights bigger problem for Apple as China is the second largest iPhone market for Apple.
3/ Chinese brands are are out-competing/out-marketing Apple on design, mobile-first innovations & value prop which is being recognized by brand-conscious Chinese consumers.

The current iPhones are great for older gen iPhone users but not enuf to attract mature non-iPhone users.
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Some indication on some powerful XR features coming to Snapdragon? 🧐

Look forward to the launch!!
Hello Maui!

Look forward to the 2nd Edition of #SnapdragonSummit
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@tim_cook on stage at #AppleEvent

500 million visitors come to Apple stores every year.
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Apple Watch is "intelligent guardian for your health"

#AppleEvent
Apple Watch Series 4

⌚️Stunningly beautiful
⌚️35% larger Display
⌚️Thus needs a complete UI redesign (Devs sigh!)
⌚️Great custom complications on watch face

Wont be surprised if Apple Watch will attract many Android users to actually adopt iPhones :)
#AppleEvent
Read 33 tweets

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